i like the underdog role also, to me it's an advantage.
my picks that i gave my dad, for vegas
EAST - NYR and PIT (darkhorse - BOS)
NYR - best overall team and depth. scoring will likely improve this season. very good team D and the #2 goalie in the league.
PIT- close behind, but (and this is a big but) is Crosby. if he goes down can Malkin carry the team again? no Stall to fall back on down the middle if 87 is out. there D corp is not even close to NYR. i also can't forget the series against PHI last year. they were horrible and Fleury couldn't stop anything.
BOS - if either trips then BOS
comes down to a NYR and BOS series, with NYR advancing. PIT goes down after losing either 71 or 87 and their porous D we saw last year returns.
WEST - LA and STL (darkhorse - VAN)
LA - have a lot to prove. can they repeat? can they show doubters and the league they aren't a fluke. big ? marks are Kopi's and Willie's knee and Quick's back. will they come back fast and with no complications? i think they find a great balance of scoring finally, coupled with strong D and the #1 keeper make them deadly.
STL - to me they are LA in a different uniform. they play similar styles and the team build is similar, just a bit smaller. they had the best goalie tandem last season, but not in the playoffs where it counts. this combined with being over matched against LA's size made the difference.
VAN - they keep sniffing around, but can't win the big one (fine by me as i hate Vancrapper). dumping Roberta Lu will help their cause. beyond that i honestly don't know if they can win the big one. some teams just never can make it.
the west is won by LA or STL, which ever team is healthy. both teams play so physically that which ever team has their roster intact advances to the SC. the two teams are so close i can't call it.
SC is NYR - LA or STL