Menzinger
Kessel4LadyByng
I'm fine missing out on Manson. Not what the Leafs need.
In Simmonds defense it must be real hard to play his style of game 82 times a season when you know no one will ever have your back.Physicality is important but they have to be able to play .. Simmonds is plenty physical but the rest of his game makes him a pretty non-impactful player on the ice.
At this point in his career Simmonds is limited in what he's going to bring offensively but you could maximize the things that he does bring by having him on a line with someone that will have his back when he's going into battle.Physicality is important but they have to be able to play .. Simmonds is plenty physical but the rest of his game makes him a pretty non-impactful player on the ice.
To be fair, people clamouring for adding those attributes to this team are not suggesting it be on the 4th line/3rd pair.Same thing happened last year with Foligno, and this offseason with Ritchie.
I suggest we don't do what people want.
Getting good young players willing to do that will require a new GM.At this point in his career Simmonds is limited in what he's going to bring offensively but you could maximize the things that he does bring by having him on a line with someone that will have his back when he's going into battle.
Yeah that’ll show them.At this point, I just want this to happen. Just so the people that insist that this team is too soft can finally get what they want. Just f*** it and do it.
I want Ben Chiarot, Jacob Middleton, Zach Sanford, Andrew Copp, Nic Deslauriers... bring them all. Give up anything and everything to make it happen outside of Matthews.
To be fair, people clamouring for adding those attributes to this team are not suggesting it be on the 4th line/3rd pair.
Dubas has added a laundry list of players that check these boxes, but they are almost all exclusively over-the-hill, injury ridden, cast-offs, or depth players (Clifford, Foligno, Simmonds, Lyubushkin, Bogosian, Jumbo, Ritchie, etc.). There has yet to be an add of that style that can contribute in the top half of the lineup.
The only exception is Muzzin who is conveniently one of the best moves on Dubas' resume.
EDIT: and arguably the best value move of his tenure? Bunting.
I'm fine missing out on Manson. Not what the Leafs need.
The problem is, there are not many guys who play well enough to play in the top half of a lineup and have those elements.
Even Chiarot and Manson are maybe #4, and not even good #4, defensemen. They are not guys you want being key defensemen.
It is possible to get hard-working types. Guys like Bunting, Kase, Hyman, etc. Those exist, we have a few guys like that at both ends, and we are developing a lot of guys who play that way. But the guys who hit, fight, and really play that physical game like Muzzin and Simmonds? Most of them are 4th liners and 3rd pairing guys at best. Otherwise, you take swings at guys like Ritchie who are still relatively young and have some ability to play higher up in the lineup. Finding guys who have enough skating ability to play in our system too? You are talking about guys who would effectively be top 5 picks in the NHL draft.
Hence, if a guy like Knies works out, you are looking at a massive win. Although even he is not conventional "tough".
For me, I am focusing on guys who play hard but can also actually play. The Hymans and the Buntings. Guys like Steeves and Anderson coming up. They will stand up for their teammates, but they are not going to look for fights or go out of their way to play "physical" if it doesn't serve a purpose. Those in the Marlies thread have probably seen this already:
I think we could use Manson, but you could also probably get that player type and pay a No Name price as well.
All comes down to how much the Leafs decide they should be going all in this year. With holes leaking everywhere do you just do a modest patch job?
I think we could use Manson, but you could also probably get that player type and pay a No Name price as well.
All comes down to how much the Leafs decide they should be going all in this year. With holes leaking everywhere do you just do a modest patch job?
But the moment we get those guys and they start to throw their weight around the league is going to put the stink eye on their every move. We're going to get penalties up the wazoo while our skill players still get mugged with no calls. And if one of those tough guys engages with the other teams "stars" as payback you can bet yer ass the suspensions will soon follow. Until the bias in the DOPS and the rest of the league offices stops, there's no point. We're doomed to mediocrity because Gary wants it that way.It does matter. That's why I'm saying to go and get it.
I want the fans to get what they want and I'm all for it. I just want Dubas to channel his Brian Burke and just go full meat head. Grab those tough players, be tougher to play against and make sure we don't get pushed around. It's probably the biggest issue of this team.
To me the real problem is that the 3 "holes" we have, aren't really "holes" as much as areas for theoretical improvement.
Yeah, you'd like a top 6 LW with some size to be what Ritchie couldn't, probably on the 2nd line... but you do have Kerfoot who's shown some success there, and Kase/Mikheyev who might also fit there too. If you're going to add, it's gotta be a material upgrade on those 3. How many LWers on the market are clear upgrades on Kerfoot/Kase/Mikheyev?
On D, you'd like a legitimate top 4 defenceman to help do some physical heavy lifting... but at the same time, after Rielly/Muzzin/Brodie, you've got Holl, Dermott, Lyubushkin, Sandin & Liljegren. On a given night, two of them are in the pressbox. If you're adding, it's gotta be somebody who's a fairly substantial upgrade on "the 3rd worst of them". How many defencemen are out there on the market who fit that criteria?
Another poster mentioned Carson Soucy -- to me he's somewhat more of the same calibre that the Leafs already have 5 of. I think if you're shopping Seattle contracts, it's Oleksiak or Larsson.
In Goal, Mrazek's been bad, but it's not like there's a long list of goalies that have been better than he has. Fleury & Varlamov apparently don't want to come here. Braden Holtby plays for Dallas who are seemingly not selling. I think that leaves the best possible move leaning towards something along the lines of Mrazek for Craig Anderson in Buffalo.
Agree but this is where the debate usually gets muddy. It's not solely face punchers, but ultra competitive physical players that can contribute (a balance is still needed). This team needs more Bunting's specifically.
They're the definition of scarcity: demand > supply, which is why you almost always have to draft them unless you want to get rinsed. Dubas is on record saying this element can be addressed almost exclusively via trade/FA, which has proven to only offer my above list of broken down cast-offs, or insanely expensive bidding wars through trade. You'll get the odd contributor once every several years.
Those player types are certainly not always top 5 picks:
Benn, Marchand, Bertuzzi, JT Miller, Comtois, Jenner, Lee, Wilson, Trocheck, Lowry, Cirelli, Greenway, Josh Anderson, Gallagher, Coleman, Killorn, Foligno x2, Wood, Hagel, Konecny, etc. etc. etc. Overwhelmingly mid-round picks with a few late first rounders sprinkled in. Defenseman of this ilk seem to be even more readily available mid-round, but I won't post that list to keep this short.
Knies is looking like a massive coup for that reason but you cannot throw one dart in 3+ years at a player like this and expect it to work long-term.
Right now a guy like Hagel is on the market. Not proposing that trade, but it's the player archetype that is desperately needed. The Leafs have some internal options, but whether or not they are physically built for a career of that role is questionable, especially in the case of Anderson/Steeves/Robertson.
Bunting came here in a unique circumstance as a gift. Hyman too, was a gift. If we can rely on the hometown pull, that's the only way FA will work long-term. The others, including Marchment and Moore, were again bottom sixers here, albeit valuable ones.Anderson and Steeves are the same size or bigger than Hagel, Konecny, Gallagher, Trocheck, etc.. A lot of the guys you listed are not really huge players, and some of the larger ones would struggle in systems like ours.
And then what about the likes of Trevor Moore? Does he count? Zach Hyman? Ondrej Kase? I know people would count Mason Marchment.
You will notice that Joey Anderson, Marchment, Steeves, Moore, Bunting, Kase, and Hyman were all brought in through trade or UFA. A few guys on your list were also brought in through trade or UFA (Foligno x2, Trocheck, Josh Anderson, Coleman, Hagel, and Miller). Goodrow, who is not listed, was actually signed as a UFA twice and traded, as is the case with some of those names as well. Tanner Jeannot and Brandon Tanev are two other gritty examples signed as UFAs.
Additionally, the Leafs have actually been able to transform guys into these hard working, gritty players on the Marlies. Trevor Moore, for example, was a perimeter playmaker not much unlike SDA. So we do draft a few guys like that if they have great skill and intellect even if they are perimeter-type players: Abruzzese, Voit, Ovchinnikov, Miettinen, SDA, Koster, etc. I am sure they hope that once the Marlies staff gets a hold of them, we can maybe turn them into another Moore or they can make it as a guy who doesn't engage physically a whole lot; no shame in that either if they help you win games.
Mixed in there are a lot of guys who, while maybe not Knies' size, are not content just sitting on the perimeter either. Amirov, Hirvonen, Holmberg, Abramov, Joe Miller, Tverberg, Kokkonen, Niemela, Kral, Villeneuve, Robertson... Most of these guys will probably hover around 6'0" once they are in the NHL and most will need to bulk up in order for their games to be effective, but these are guys who are not shying away from contact and tough battles in tight areas. Some of them even thrive on it and are a little bit pesty (like Tverberg). Of course, Dubas has also brought in a few larger, grittier guys on AHL/ELC's as well: Marchment, Rubins, Holl, Brazeau, Douglas, Kopacka. Some have worked here (Holl), some have worked elsewhere (Marchment), some are TBD (Rubins and Douglas), and others have not really worked out well (Kopacka and Brazeau, at least as guys who project as more than solid AHLers).
So Dubas has a point. He has not drafted guys like we saw Hunter draft. Every single one of those guys failed except for Grundstrom (who is not that big and is similar to some of the guys Dubas has drafted/signed). He goes for skill and IQ first, and if they have size like Knies does, then bonus. But that skill still needs to work hard, and he is not drafting guys with character issues or guys he does not think can develop into those roles.
This upcoming year may say a lot about him too. If Dubas keeps his top 2 picks, there will be many opportunities to draft some large guys (both forward and defense) with a great mix of skill, intelligence, and size/physicality... This draft more than many of the ones Dubas has been controlling. Previous years had slim pickings for those types unless you were willing to deal with major overhauls in skating or had a higher pick than we possessed (a few picks in 2020 aside). Just avoid some of the potential major pitfalls like Lamoureux and I am happy.
If you are giving up a lot of those chances, it would be reflected in xGA. Unless you are giving up one-timers to a bunch of scrubs, then a direct shot from a Matthews is probably worse. We would have to effectively say that, due to our eye-test, the Leafs are some major outlier in a stat which has more or less accurately represented every other team in the league.
But we can even use the eye-test too. Most of the goals we are giving up are not exactly impossible for our goalie to stop. Sure, some are tough saves. Some are shots that you can't expect the goalie to save every time. But there are not a lot of easy tap-ins or tips that go top corner or are just like "wow, the goalie had no chance". We have seen those kinds of games with Andersen in net a few years ago. I think Leafs fans can tell the difference at this point. It is not even like we had very many games where they could do whatever they wanted in front of our net either (and Muzzin has arguably been the worst in front of the net this year).
There are a lot of goals that are getting through the goalie. Stuff that they should be saving 95%+ of the time, but they simply aren't. Stuff that our defense should not even have to worry about, but seemingly has to. And when the defense starts to worry about that, then can't focus on stopping the types of chances that they should be worried about stopping. One thing would be 2-on-1's. Obviously, it is one thing to give them up and preventing them in the first place, but there have been some cases recently when we are seeing our defenseman cheat towards the shooter and instead they are able to get an easy tap in. I am going to use the most recent MTL game as an example.
This is a game where I felt like we defended poorly. One of the worst efforts we have had this year, but also a game where the goalie was not good as well.
First goal, no coverage on Josh Anderson. Type of goal that people think the Leafs give up a lot by getting out muscled. We don't, but we have to do better there. The pass can't get through that many guys (although I think it bounced off of someone so it was a little bit lucky to get to Anderson as clean as it did) and Brodie can't let Anderson get free like that. The shove itself was not really anything. That was just poor coverage on Brodie's part. Not Mrazek's fault.
Second goal, should not have gone in. It was an odd man rush, but that was a muffin shot from the dot and Mrazek overplayed it.
3rd goal, same thing. Not a goal that should have gone in. That is exactly the type of shot you want him to take if he is going to shoot in that situation.
4th goal, was another one that beat him too clean, but Kerfoot should have noticed the trailing Anderson.
And I think 5th goal is the effect you see when you are not getting goaltending. 3 goals given up from that general area that should have been saved. Rielly goes after the shooter, and the other guy is left wide open in front. If you are trusting your goalie, Rielly is not chasing the shooter there.
To conclude in this thread, we improve our goaltending and our defense almost certainly looks better, and does better. Defense is not our problem, at least to the point where we need a trade addition.
And there is absolutely zero chance Vancouver even entertains that offer.Just for fun. John Tavares for Demko + Cap dump (Tyler Myers).
Myers would improve Leafs D even though he has negative value cause of his contract.
And there is absolutely zero chance Vancouver even entertains that offer.