Toronto FC: Toronto FC/Canada Soccer Discussion (2022 Edition) - Italy Edition

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Peru is currently 22nd in the World with Wales 20th. Neither is optimal.

The odds on pot 1 are 75% chance of a Uefa team, 12.5% chance of Qatar and 12.5% chance of Brazil in a vaccuum.

Pot 2 is extremely skewed. Because we cannot hit Mexico or the US (which will both be in that pot), we can only hit Uefa (66% chance), Uruguay or Senegal.

Pot 3 is an interesting bag. We cannot end up in a group with the US and Mexico. The other European countries cannot end up in a pot with 2 Euro countries. So we are hoping that Qatar and/or Brazil draw European countries in pot 2 because if they don't, the odds against us drawing Qatar drop off a cliff (due to Uefa not being able to have 3 teams in a group and them having 6 members in pot 1, 4 members in pot 2, and 2 members in pot 3).

Yeah here are the odds for us based on each pot. The real shame is Pot 3 reduces the chance of playing Brazil since I think playing Brazil in a WC is super cool.

 
Yeah here are the odds for us based on each pot. The real shame is Pot 3 reduces the chance of playing Brazil since I think playing Brazil in a WC is super cool.


I love the graphic.

It's such a complicated thing to calculate. Getting into a pot with Qatar will give whatever team that is a very good chance to qualify.

The biggest thing I am hoping for is that we don't draw Germany in pot 2.
 
Part of me wants a really tough group. Expectations are for 2026 - give me Brazil/Netherlands or something fun to see where we are and get some real good experience.

I definitely want at least one big team. Qatar + non-Germany/Netherlands will be disappointing.
 
Part of me wants a really tough group. Expectations are for 2026 - give me Brazil/Netherlands or something fun to see where we are and get some real good experience.

I definitely want at least one big team. Qatar + non-Germany/Netherlands will be disappointing.
I don't disagree. I would definitely like 1 big team. I just would like 1 non-big team as well.

I'd be fine with Qatar/Germany or non-Qatar and say Serbia.
 
This is the last 32 team World Cup.

2026 will be 16 groups of 3 where the top 2 from each group move to single elimination knockouts (same number of games possible per team but more games overall spread over the same number of days)
 
something i have been thinking about since sunday is that it's too bad that Alphonso Davies wasn't with the team in person this window. i don't know if this is something that was talked about behind the scenes, but how special a life moment would it have been for him to celebrate with the team on the pitch. Bayern could have allowed him to fly over just to be with them on the sidelines. it's not like he would have been at risk for injury which is the obvious reason why clubs are hesitant to send players on international duty.

It's a bit of a shame in my opinion
 
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I thought Davies should have been there too. I felt really bad for him watching him cheer from home.

Hopefully he will back at 100% before the start of the tournament.
 
I thought Davies should have been there too. I felt really bad for him watching him cheer from home.

Hopefully he will back at 100% before the start of the tournament.
i believe hes training with bayern at the moment getting ready for a return(great news). but ye wish he could have been part of it. but he will be there for qatar thank jeebuz!
 
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Some things to look out for when the draw happens:

1) Karma - Qatar drawing one of Denmark, Netherlands, Germany for pot 2 would be wonderful. While having the 52nd best team in the world hosting is always going to have them have a weaker group, giving them a legit pot 1 candidate would at least offer some balance.

2) Anarchy - The most ridiculous thing that could happen in this draw is if Qatar drew Senegal, Canada and Tunisia.

3) While pot 1 is just assigning teams to letter, count the Euro-Euro combos for pot 2. Less means less chance we get locked in against a Euro opponent.

4) Not only do we want to look at our pot (for whether we have a shot at advancing), but we want to look at the corresponding group (where A corresponds to B, C to D, E to F, and G to H) because one in one group plays two in the corresponding group in the knockout round.
 
Some things to look out for when the draw happens:

1) Karma - Qatar drawing one of Denmark, Netherlands, Germany for pot 2 would be wonderful. While having the 52nd best team in the world hosting is always going to have them have a weaker group, giving them a legit pot 1 candidate would at least offer some balance.

2) Anarchy - The most ridiculous thing that could happen in this draw is if Qatar drew Senegal, Canada and Tunisia.

3) While pot 1 is just assigning teams to letter, count the Euro-Euro combos for pot 2. Less means less chance we get locked in against a Euro opponent.

4) Not only do we want to look at our pot (for whether we have a shot at advancing), but we want to look at the corresponding group (where A corresponds to B, C to D, E to F, and G to H) because one in one group plays two in the corresponding group in the knockout round.
Don't think scenario 2 can happen. Only uefa teams can be drawn together
 
Pretty stupid to restrict this game Sportsnet360 despite the ratings the National Team is drawing. I mean really every other SN channel just has two show Jets-Sabres? That’s a marquee matchup that you have to put Team Canada on the specialty channel.
 
Pretty stupid to restrict this game Sportsnet360 despite the ratings the National Team is drawing. I mean really every other SN channel just has two show Jets-Sabres? That’s a marquee matchup that you have to put Team Canada on the specialty channel.
It's on regular SN
 
1-0 loss. Sucks but the main goal of a World Cup berth was gotten. Finished first in the qualifying group as well, for whatever that’s worth.
 
ye our passing for the 1st hour between our midfield and forwards was really bad. i suppose after such a high from sunday this game was always gonna be an uphill battle. oh well! qatar here we come!
 
Part of me wants a really tough group. Expectations are for 2026 - give me Brazil/Netherlands or something fun to see where we are and get some real good experience.

I definitely want at least one big team. Qatar + non-Germany/Netherlands will be disappointing.
Ya, we'll get a big team in the knockout rounds :sarcasm:
 
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