Peru is currently 22nd in the World with Wales 20th. Neither is optimal.
The odds on pot 1 are 75% chance of a Uefa team, 12.5% chance of Qatar and 12.5% chance of Brazil in a vaccuum.
Pot 2 is extremely skewed. Because we cannot hit Mexico or the US (which will both be in that pot), we can only hit Uefa (66% chance), Uruguay or Senegal.
Pot 3 is an interesting bag. We cannot end up in a group with the US and Mexico. The other European countries cannot end up in a pot with 2 Euro countries. So we are hoping that Qatar and/or Brazil draw European countries in pot 2 because if they don't, the odds against us drawing Qatar drop off a cliff (due to Uefa not being able to have 3 teams in a group and them having 6 members in pot 1, 4 members in pot 2, and 2 members in pot 3).
Yeah here are the odds for us based on each pot. The real shame is Pot 3 reduces the chance of playing Brazil since I think playing Brazil in a WC is super cool.