Sypher04
Registered User
- Jan 20, 2011
- 13,069
- 12,008
Yeah I read it backwards apparently lol
If Knies is coming, I'd shift Engvall to the fourth line and replace him on the third line with Knies.I want to try Blackwell 2LW.
Bunting-Matthews-Marner
Blackwell-Tavares-Nylander
Engvall-Kampf-Miky
Kase-Kerfoot-Spezza
That 4th line on paper is one of the best in the league
Why would you change the 3rd line though? If it ain't broke don't fix it.If Knies is coming, I'd shift Engvall to the fourth line and replace him on the third line with Knies.
Can't really roster Kase at this point can we?
It's predicated on Knies' arrival and the notion that while a thing may not be broke perhaps it can be augmented. The idea is strength throughout the lineup. Engvall's not an overly consistent player and if there's one thing Scotty Bowman demonstrated it's that a championship team is a team that can improvise when the situation demands and responds when it's asked to.Why would you change the 3rd line though? If it ain't broke don't fix it.
This literally gave me a jingle in my jungle ahhhhI completely agree, you cannot touch L1 and L3. Way too dynamic and way too consistent. We need to find the right formula for the other lines with the remaining players on roster.
To me, Matt Knies is the wildcard with our team. I don't think there is any possibility he does not sign an ELC at the end of the NCAA tournament with all the comments circulating lately. He is ready for the pro game, it's so painfully obvious at this point. I just don't think Robertson can be trusted to make an impact in the playoffs anywhere in the lineup quite yet. It's really nothing against him, but as much as he has brilliant moments, he also has far too many pedestrian shifts. Until he can iron that out consistently, we need to hold him out of the lineup. He really is only effective in a top-6 role at this point and he's just too inconsistent to pen into any playoff lineup. Love the player, he's going to be good for us in time. Just not now.
Back to Knies, I think Knies might be able to add value up and down that lineup, and in a dream scenario he may even be our answer to 2L LW. He's built for playoff hockey physically, and his style of play is exactly what we need. It will really all come down to his ability to adapt to the pace of the NHL, which I'll be honest could be a an issue. But how much worse off could he be with the pace of the game over Simmonds or Clifford? I really think his skill and physicality is exactly hat we need down the lineup. I'd start him there, and if he plays his way onto that second line I'd drop Kerf down to 4L C and move Blackwell to the 4L LW. But to me, Knies has to be given a look on that 4th line
To start playoffs:
Bunting - Matthews - Marner
Kerfoot - Tavares - Nylander
Micheyev - Kampf - Engvall
Knies - Blackwell - Kase
If Knies plays well, and that 2nd line continues to stay flat:
Bunting - Matthews - Marner
Knies - Tavares - Nylander
Micheyev - Kampf - Engvall
Blackwell - Kerfoot - Kase
HS: Spezz/Simmonds/Clifford
I know this will be a blow to Spezz and Simmer's ego's, but they'll get their shot eventually. Injuries occur, and new looks are always needed. But the truth of the matter is they haven't done enough to get into that lineup every game. We need pace and energy. Both of which they can provide but in small doses. I'd much rather Simmer check into game 4 when their guys are hurting and simmer is chompin' at the bit and looking for blood. I actually think Sheldon is already prepping them for this potential outcome. Spezz and Simmonds have both seen the press box a bit more frequently lately.
I know starting Knies is a major risk, but he is a major part of our future. Arguably our most important prospect. We need his style of play in the worst way imaginable. We also need to take risks against whoever we play IMO. We need something that can be our X-Factor, because as it stands we will be the underdog against every R1 matchup. I'd rather go down swinging, or at least first pitch swinging (game 1). Open up with Knies in the lineup and scale back if/when needed.
do you not realize that both Tavares and Nylander and playing at near PPG this year?So I think we all agree that we have 2 amazing lines.
1. Bunting-Matthews-Marner is simply one of the best lines in the league.
2. Mikheyev-Kampf-Engvall is an excellent bottom-6 forechecking and checking line.
We probably don't want to touch these two lines.
But the other two lines are obviously works in progress, so what do we actually want to do here?
There's 5 guys that are locks for these two lines if healthy, IMO, and they are Tavares, Nylander, Kerfoot, Kase, Blackwell.
The good news is that no matter what the combo we pick, neither line looks 4th line quality - any 2 of these guys makes a line closer to at least 3rd line quality than 4th line.
So, if healthy, there's only one spot left for these guys to fight over: Spezza, Simmonds, Clifford, Robertson, Anderson, Seney, Steeves, Knies, Abbruzzese. I'll just lump these guys together and call them XXXXX.
so which line combos would be the best?
A. Kerfoot-Tavares-Nylander + Blackwell-XXXXXX-Kase
Pros: Despite their scuffles, that Tavares line has been one of the most productive 2nd lines in the league this year. Blackwell-Kase should make a good line no matter who the center is.
Cons: That Tavares line has struggled for a while now, especially defensively. Center is the most important slot and we probably don't want to be relying on Spezza or Abbruzzese at center in the playoffs.
B. Nylander-Tavares-Kase/Blackwell + XXXXXXX-Kerfoot-Kase/Blackwell
Pros: there's a chance a more grindy type winger like Kase/Blackwell could make that 2nd line click. Kerfoot should be a plus as a bottom-6 C that doesn't face the toughs like Kampf does, and along with Kase/Blackwell that should be closer to a 3rd line quality line than 4th line quality.
Cons: no big cons. Tavares-Nylander may still not click tho.
C. XXXXXXX-Tavares-Nylander + Blackwell-Kerfoot-Kase
Pros: That Kerfoot line would likely be an above average 3rd line quality line. Even boderline 2nd line quality with 2 20gl capable wingers and all three well capable of 40-50pt type offense. One of the kids could finally click with Tavares-Nylander.
Cons: relying on a kid on the 2nd line is risky, especially when the other two aren't clicking right now.
D. Blackwell-Tavares-Kase + XXXXXX-Kerfoot-Nylander
Pros: Gives Tavares 2 plumber type wingers with some skill, more like he was used to in NY. Reunites the successful Kerfoot-Nylander combo, with lots of good options to replace Galchenyuk.
Cons: Neither is likely a top end 2nd line.
Follow-up question: Which player do you think is best suited to be XXXXXX?
do you not realize that both Tavares and Nylander and playing at near PPG this year?
likely 75% of the league would insert Tavares and Nylander on their #1 line, and we have the luxury of them being on our #2
Leafs likely try Blackwell there and see what happens
This team always feels like it's in some version of training camp.Lots of good suggestions here and I'm going on a limb that Keefe is going to try every single one of them over the next few weeks. Probably a few variations within the same game.
My own take:
Bunting-Matthews-Marner (No explanation required)
Blackwell-Tavares-Nylander (Blackwell b/c they need their own Bunting)
Engvall-Kampf-Mikheyev (Great line, have to contribute offense come playoff time or it will be a short spring, again)
Knies-Kerfoot-Spezza/Kase (Spezza when Kase inevitably gets injured and lets give Knies a look in a limited role)