Agree with most of this. Disagree as to Z’s contract, it made sense at time but Z has regressed due to injuries. Have no issue with Gudbranson the player, but the contract was “way way” too much. Otherwise agree on all other points. JK’s moves for players “as billed” could be made by any of us. He earns his pay by projecting what players will be in year 2, 3 etc of a contract, and how they fit “the plan” - whatever that is??!! On this last point, imo JK has missed badly w recent decisions (not counting last 2-3 drafts). Maybe too isolated, too small a sample, but Severson just isn’t very goo; combined effect of term and AAV only amplify that, and we aren’t in “win now” mode anyway. I agree withe concept that many recent moves look to be attempts to shortcut the rebuild, not to fit a longer-term plan.
I agree that he is supposed to project players 2-3 years in advance, but he isn't a fortune teller. He basically looks at their body of work and makes a reasonable guess. I think there are some players where his guess is reasonable (Gaudreau, Laine, Werenski, Provorov, Boqvist, Kuraly) and some where his guess is - in my opinion - not (Merzlikins, Gudbranson, Roslovic, Peeke).
A clear example of what I mean was the Vegas Expansion Draft. We were in a spot where we were going to lose a decent player no matter what. He paid assets to protect Korpisalo and Anderson. He also protected Wennberg who just had 60 points. They took Karlsson. Now, nobody could have reasonably expected Karlsson to be a 40 goal scorer the next year. The debate was between paying to protect some players or just biting the bullet. I was in favor of the latter. But I admit that his decision was at least sound and didn't pan out due to factors nobody could have foreseen.
As for his vision - Looking at his history as the GM his vision and mode of operation us clear: Jarmo will always add talent when he is able no matter the state of the team. That's pretty simple but it's one that I can get behind. If he sees an opportunity to add talent to the roster, he will do it. I am supportive of that approach for two reasons.
1. Columbus as a market has nothing to offer players besides one thing - a competitive team. So getting the team to be competitive on paper as quickly as possible is pretty much the only way to attain and retain talent.
2. The inability to surround young talent with veteran talent is the surest way to ruin your young talent. Look at Edmonton and Buffalo. That is why I think he adds guys like Gudbranson, Severson, etc. The length of those contracts is the sticking point but players tend to be easier to move late in their contracts especially if/when the cap goes up.