What does the team need to do this year to get Jarmo off of the hot seat?
If they finish bottom 5 is he fired? Bottom 10?
Pretty safe to assume it will depend on numerous factors (point total, injuries, TDL, which players are carrying the team, what kind of impact Babcock has, ticket sales etc.) but I think bottom-5 finish would be inexcusable in any scenario from ownership's perspective. I can imagine Jarmo and JD surviving while being 6th-10th worst in the league but it's probably unlikely they would. 9th-12th in East and it's likely they will continue. Playoff spot would secure their jobs for at least another year.
I started thinking of different scenarios where Jackets would finish somewhere in the standings that would be tough to swallow for ownership but which wouldn't lead them to fire people necessarily -- suppose that would be around 12th in the East (80-85 points):
Scenario #1
- 25+ year old veterans play well or as expected, and for the most part are carrying the team (JG, Laine, Jenner, Kuraly, Merzlikins, Werenski, Severson, Provorov...)
- U25 players play as expected or worse. A lot of them spend time lower in the lineup, in the press box or in Cleveland (KJ, Fantilli, Marchenko, Voronkov, Texier, Chinakhov, Jiricek, Boqvist, Tarasov...)
- league average in man-games lost, goal differential and special teams
Scenario #2 (same amount of points as #1)
- 25+ year old veterans play as expected or worse, and are not carrying the team for the most part (JG, Laine, Jenner, Kuraly, Merzlikins, Werenski, Severson, Provorov...)
- U25 players play as expected or show significant development. A lot of them start to play higher in the lineup than some veterans and are at least temporarily carrying the team (KJ, Fantilli, Marchenko, Voronkov, Texier, Chinakhov, Jiricek, Boqvist, Tarasov...)
- league average in man-games lost, goal differential and special teams
In theory, which of these scenarios would be more "forgivable" for Jarmo and JD?