some number theory that I use for evaluations

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Ananda

Registered User
Nov 22, 2017
31
41
golden mean = some magic numbers

((sqrt 5) - 1) / 2 = 0.61803398875

1 - 0.61803398875 = 0.38196601125

0.38196601125 / 0.61803398875 = 0.61803398875

0.61803398875 / 0.38196601125 = 1.61803398875

usually it is rounded to .382, .618 and 1.00

other values are .146, .236, .764 and .854
.236 * .618 = .146
.382 * .618 = .236
[.146 +.618] = .764
[.236 + .618] = .854

MLB has 162 games
winning 100 is a win % of 0.617
winning 62 is a win % of 0.383

When I evaluate a team I look at these number of games

12 = .146 * 82
gives an early taste of whether the team has started to gel or not

19 = .236 * 82
did things get better or worse or the same after 7 more games ?

31 = .382 * 82
this provides a pretty good indication of how the team is performing

51 = .618 * 82
after this amount of games a team with a good record [.618 P%] or above is in all probability going to make the playoffs

63 = .764 * 82
over the last 12 games is the team trending up or down or pretty much the same, i.e. are they above a .618 P% ?

70 = .854 * 82
most playoff positions probably have been decided except for some wildcard positions

GLG
 

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