Ananda
Registered User
- Nov 22, 2017
- 31
- 41
golden mean = some magic numbers
((sqrt 5) - 1) / 2 = 0.61803398875
1 - 0.61803398875 = 0.38196601125
0.38196601125 / 0.61803398875 = 0.61803398875
0.61803398875 / 0.38196601125 = 1.61803398875
usually it is rounded to .382, .618 and 1.00
other values are .146, .236, .764 and .854
.236 * .618 = .146
.382 * .618 = .236
[.146 +.618] = .764
[.236 + .618] = .854
MLB has 162 games
winning 100 is a win % of 0.617
winning 62 is a win % of 0.383
When I evaluate a team I look at these number of games
12 = .146 * 82
gives an early taste of whether the team has started to gel or not
19 = .236 * 82
did things get better or worse or the same after 7 more games ?
31 = .382 * 82
this provides a pretty good indication of how the team is performing
51 = .618 * 82
after this amount of games a team with a good record [.618 P%] or above is in all probability going to make the playoffs
63 = .764 * 82
over the last 12 games is the team trending up or down or pretty much the same, i.e. are they above a .618 P% ?
70 = .854 * 82
most playoff positions probably have been decided except for some wildcard positions
GLG
((sqrt 5) - 1) / 2 = 0.61803398875
1 - 0.61803398875 = 0.38196601125
0.38196601125 / 0.61803398875 = 0.61803398875
0.61803398875 / 0.38196601125 = 1.61803398875
usually it is rounded to .382, .618 and 1.00
other values are .146, .236, .764 and .854
.236 * .618 = .146
.382 * .618 = .236
[.146 +.618] = .764
[.236 + .618] = .854
MLB has 162 games
winning 100 is a win % of 0.617
winning 62 is a win % of 0.383
When I evaluate a team I look at these number of games
12 = .146 * 82
gives an early taste of whether the team has started to gel or not
19 = .236 * 82
did things get better or worse or the same after 7 more games ?
31 = .382 * 82
this provides a pretty good indication of how the team is performing
51 = .618 * 82
after this amount of games a team with a good record [.618 P%] or above is in all probability going to make the playoffs
63 = .764 * 82
over the last 12 games is the team trending up or down or pretty much the same, i.e. are they above a .618 P% ?
70 = .854 * 82
most playoff positions probably have been decided except for some wildcard positions
GLG