Scoring down this season?

tmg

Registered User
Jul 10, 2003
2,972
1,717
Ottawa
Average team GAA stands at 2.84 right now, a little down from the last 3 seasons (2.91, 2.97, 2.92) but slightly higher than each of the four years before that, and substantially higher than the years before those four.
 

WhiskeyYerTheDevils

yer leadin me astray
Sponsor
Apr 27, 2005
35,381
34,099
It's a copy cat league. The last two cup winners were both heavier teams that played a more defensive system, whose best players were both rock solid two way centers. It's not too shocking that we're seeing that proliferate a bit.

Prior to that, we had 3 consecutive high octane offensive teams (each with an offensive superstar as their best player) win the cup, so it's similarly not unexpected that scoring would jump league wide in the following seasons as teams seek to emulate that approach.
 
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SnuggaRUDE

Registered User
Apr 5, 2013
9,512
7,033
Rules enforcement is becoming more optional. Since expansion median PPO/game is 3.87/game. From 2016-today each season is in the bottom 10 PPO/game.

They're calling 20% fewer PPO.

Lax rules enforcement helps defense since more infractions are based around puck retriveal.
 

filinski77

Registered User
Feb 12, 2017
2,711
4,481
Short answer - no, things are consistent at the team-wide level based on the last couple years.

If you want to dig into the results of the elite players in the league, I used the top 1/2/3/5/10/20/30th point and goal-scorers, and assumed 19gp so far this season (on avg) and extrapolated to 82 games.

Results are that the top players are on pace to absolutely outscore the results from last year. Obviously there will be slowdowns as it's harder to maintain these paces over 82 games vs. 1/4 of a season. But it definitely shows that scoring is NOT down this season.

Pointsgp based on 19gp82gp paceLast year actuals
1​
34​
1.79147
144​
2​
33​
1.74142
140​
3​
30​
1.58129
132​
5​
28​
1.47121
110​
10​
26​
1.37112
98​
20​
22​
1.1695
88​
30​
20​
1.0586
77​
--
Goals
1​
15​
0.7965
69​
2​
14​
0.7460
57​
3​
14​
0.7460
54​
5​
13​
0.6856
49​
10​
12​
0.6352
44​
20​
10​
0.5343
37​
30​
9​
0.4739
33​
 

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