On the Blue Jays' draft:
I also like the Blue Jays’ draft quite a bit, even though they took a high school arm in the first round — which historical data does not support — because 1) they did take a really, really good high school arm and 2) they backed it up with three solid position players who have a chance to stay up the middle and have reasonable floors.
On Brandon Barriera:
The Blue Jays haven’t taken a high school pitcher in the first round since 2013, and they haven’t signed a high school pitcher they took in the first round since Dustin McGowan in 2000, so it was a mild surprise to hear them take Barriera, the best lefty in the high school class this year. Barriera can show a plus fastball and changeup with good feel for two distinct breaking balls. While he doesn’t have much projection, he doesn’t need it, with a starter’s build already and the potential for front-line starter stuff. It’ll be more about command and control, as well as just staying healthy. Given where he was thought to be going, I imagine he’ll get an over-slot deal.
Scouting report: Barriera ended his season early, choosing to make his final start before his team’s schedule was over, which may become more common going forward (Hunter Greene did this as well) as pitchers try to avoid getting hurt right before the draft. He’s been up to 98 with a very fast arm and shows two very sharp breaking balls, both of which can touch plus, along with a plus changeup. He doesn’t offer much projection, but he also doesn’t need it given his present stuff, and his build right now seems sufficient for him to stay a starter. I don’t think he gets great extension over his front side, but it’s a minor quibble. It’s premium stuff, and he’s aggressive on the mound. If he gets to consistent strikes, he’s an above-average starter.