GDT: Sabres @ Leafs

[Dekes For Days]

Cup winners get something like .927 goaltending.

I was curious.

2021: 0.937
2020: 0.927
2019: 0.913
2018: 0.916
2017: 0.929
2016: 0.920
2015: 0.926
2014: 0.912
2013: 0.932
2012: 0.946
2011: 0.940
2010: 0.910
2009: 0.909
2008: 0.923
2007: 0.922
2006: 0.911

So it has ranged from 0.909 to 0.946 in the cap era. Average of 0.923.

 

[ANDI P IS CUTE]

Wth no kase, Campbell hurt again, muzzin hurt again? Matthews?!

 

[LEAFANFORLIFE23]

I just =want to see Matthews hit 60

 

[leafsfan5]

It's a big issue. Cup winners get something like .927 goaltending. I don't think Campbell is a .927 goalie right now. We're gonna have to get a bit lucky. Fortunately, this team has a long history of good luck in the playoffs.

 

[authentic]

I was curious.

2021: 0.937
2020: 0.927
2019: 0.913
2018: 0.916
2017: 0.929
2016: 0.920
2015: 0.926
2014: 0.912
2013: 0.932
2012: 0.946
2011: 0.940
2010: 0.910
2009: 0.909
2008: 0.923
2007: 0.922
2006: 0.911

So it has ranged from 0.909 to 0.946 in the cap era. Average of 0.923.

Funny enough the goalie everyone wanted to get had the lowest save percentage of a Cup winner in the cap era.

I think with our offense it's definitely possible we could end up on the lower end here but it's still doable.

 

[7even]

I was curious.

2021: 0.937
2020: 0.927
2019: 0.913
2018: 0.916
2017: 0.929
2016: 0.920
2015: 0.926
2014: 0.912
2013: 0.932
2012: 0.946
2011: 0.940
2010: 0.910
2009: 0.909
2008: 0.923
2007: 0.922
2006: 0.911

So it has ranged from 0.909 to 0.946 in the cap era. Average of 0.923.

I did this last year and couldn't remember the exact number, thanks for doing my homework

 

[Coachcorner]

He had those last season also sire. Some human beings are not

So apparently Campbell is being rested tomorrow for some "reason" not related to his previous injury. WTF?

Solified to stay healty for a long time. Reading the bible and eating / drinking healthy and alkaline helps. Even that is not enough for some poor beings. Lets see how our gezuy campbell does sire. He might be back for the playoffs. Its fun and exciting. Even there, people might and WILL get injured again.

 

[tmlms13]

I was curious.

2021: 0.937
2020: 0.927
2019: 0.913
2018: 0.916
2017: 0.929
2016: 0.920
2015: 0.926
2014: 0.912
2013: 0.932
2012: 0.946
2011: 0.940
2010: 0.910
2009: 0.909
2008: 0.923
2007: 0.922
2006: 0.911

So it has ranged from 0.909 to 0.946 in the cap era. Average of 0.923.

Check this year average SV% compared to previous year. Scoring is way up this year.

 

[LeafsOHLRangers98]

I was curious.

2021: 0.937
2020: 0.927
2019: 0.913
2018: 0.916
2017: 0.929
2016: 0.920
2015: 0.926
2014: 0.912
2013: 0.932
2012: 0.946
2011: 0.940
2010: 0.910
2009: 0.909
2008: 0.923
2007: 0.922
2006: 0.911

So it has ranged from 0.909 to 0.946 in the cap era. Average of 0.923.

I mean if our team defense is as good as it was during the regular season our goalies should honestly be able to achieve that.

The fact that they have had a sub .900 SV% as a group since January is nothing short of amazingly bad.

 

[2 Slick]

The fact that they have had a sub .900 SV% as a group since January is nothing short of amazingly bad.

It's the only reason I'm skeptical about any positive outcome in the playoffs. This time though my skeptics doesn't lie in whether Matthews or Marner will be productive, but this time, it'll be goaltending.

Until very recently, they've been in 31st place for nearly a 4 months span in team save percentage.

Won't win a round in the playoffs with goaltending in the range of .875% to 890% which is what we've seen over the span of the last four months. The last few weeks, there have been better performances and that may ring true moving forward, but I don't think it'll be enough to overcome it all.

Campbell still isn't even 100%. Our back-ups revolve around Kallgren, who has shown he's not very good unless the team plays well in front of him. Outside of 2-3 games, the rest of his games have been sub .900% and spotty at best. The next option they have is Hutchinson. I don't need to break down the analytics of that nightmare playing out.

What's funny to me is the lengths they went last season to get some help on goaltending by getting Rittich, why didn't Dubas do it when we needed insurance the most? Sateri wasn't insurance, that was just a freebie random shot in the dark.

Goaltending will bite them in the ass, no matter how much I love the team and their performances this season, that doesn't take away from my better judgment. The Leafs can't outscore their bad goaltending in the first round at the rates they did in January and February. Almost every game in January they gave up 4+ goals, but won most of them on the backs of 2nd place offense in the NHL outscoring garbage goaltending.

It blows my mind that they have 100 points in the standings with 10 games left with goaltending this awful. Imagine if they had received even .910 to .915% goaltending all season.

I may be called a negative Nancy (or Norman) for spelling doom and gloom, but hey, I can't change how it makes me feel. It doesn't mean I'll be right or that I am right, but my criticisms are valid and based on actual facts of what has happened this season, I'm not just blindly bashing their chances on past playoff failures. My predictions are based on this season only.

 

[Da Cool Rula]

Hahaha

 

[TIGERCOOL]

I'd like to try swapping Blackwell and Kerfoot for a couple of games. I imagine Blackwell with Mikheyev would be an absolute headache for other teams and Tavares would really benefit from that tenacity. I like Kerfoot but Keefe said Blackwell would get a shot playing up in the lineup and its time to have a look.

 

[saltming]

Muzzin is out so Lilly will be in

 

[29Potvin]

Still time for Campbell to get healthy.

I'm with not getting anyone considering who was available and how the prices were. A 1st round pick + whatever else for a few weeks of MAF, no thanks!

Not good news obviously that Campbell isn't playing yet but there's plenty of time for him to get healthy so a bit early to throw in the towel. All we need is average goaltending and we could go far and even Kallgren might be able to do that.

Remember when some posters wanted Jack to play both games of the FLA trip?? I get that he had to play but what if he started blew the full lead and got hurt. Physical and mentally broke Jack would be fun!

 

[danron1376]

when matthews scores his 60th goal he'll be only the 3rd player to score at least 60 this century. ovechkin did it in 07-08 and stamkos in 11-12. bure came close with 59 in 00-01. if that's not the definition of generational i don't know what is.

 

[The Blueprint]

It's the only reason I'm skeptical about any positive outcome in the playoffs. This time though my skeptics doesn't lie in whether Matthews or Marner will be productive, but this time, it'll be goaltending.

Until very recently, they've been in 31st place for nearly a 4 months span in team save percentage.

Won't win a round in the playoffs with goaltending in the range of .875% to 890% which is what we've seen over the span of the last four months. The last few weeks, there have been better performances and that may ring true moving forward, but I don't think it'll be enough to overcome it all.

Campbell still isn't even 100%. Our back-ups revolve around Kallgren, who has shown he's not very good unless the team plays well in front of him. Outside of 2-3 games, the rest of his games have been sub .900% and spotty at best. The next option they have is Hutchinson. I don't need to break down the analytics of that nightmare playing out.

What's funny to me is the lengths they went last season to get some help on goaltending by getting Rittich, why didn't Dubas do it when we needed insurance the most? Sateri wasn't insurance, that was just a freebie random shot in the dark.

Goaltending will bite them in the ass, no matter how much I love the team and their performances this season, that doesn't take away from my better judgment. The Leafs can't outscore their bad goaltending in the first round at the rates they did in January and February. Almost every game in January they gave up 4+ goals, but won most of them on the backs of 2nd place offense in the NHL outscoring garbage goaltending.

It blows my mind that they have 100 points in the standings with 10 games left with goaltending this awful. Imagine if they had received even .910 to .915% goaltending all season.

I may be called a negative Nancy (or Norman) for spelling doom and gloom, but hey, I can't change how it makes me feel. It doesn't mean I'll be right or that I am right, but my criticisms are valid and based on actual facts of what has happened this season, I'm not just blindly bashing their chances on past playoff failures. My predictions are based on this season only.

I'm trying to stay positive but it's hard not to be worried about goaltending. Absolutely love the make up of the rest of the team.

Praying Jack gets healthy and gives us another November

 

[LeafsOHLRangers98]

It's the only reason I'm skeptical about any positive outcome in the playoffs. This time though my skeptics doesn't lie in whether Matthews or Marner will be productive, but this time, it'll be goaltending.

Until very recently, they've been in 31st place for nearly a 4 months span in team save percentage.

Won't win a round in the playoffs with goaltending in the range of .875% to 890% which is what we've seen over the span of the last four months. The last few weeks, there have been better performances and that may ring true moving forward, but I don't think it'll be enough to overcome it all.

Campbell still isn't even 100%. Our back-ups revolve around Kallgren, who has shown he's not very good unless the team plays well in front of him. Outside of 2-3 games, the rest of his games have been sub .900% and spotty at best. The next option they have is Hutchinson. I don't need to break down the analytics of that nightmare playing out.

What's funny to me is the lengths they went last season to get some help on goaltending by getting Rittich, why didn't Dubas do it when we needed insurance the most? Sateri wasn't insurance, that was just a freebie random shot in the dark.

Goaltending will bite them in the ass, no matter how much I love the team and their performances this season, that doesn't take away from my better judgment. The Leafs can't outscore their bad goaltending in the first round at the rates they did in January and February. Almost every game in January they gave up 4+ goals, but won most of them on the backs of 2nd place offense in the NHL outscoring garbage goaltending.

It blows my mind that they have 100 points in the standings with 10 games left with goaltending this awful. Imagine if they had received even .910 to .915% goaltending all season.

I may be called a negative Nancy (or Norman) for spelling doom and gloom, but hey, I can't change how it makes me feel. It doesn't mean I'll be right or that I am right, but my criticisms are valid and based on actual facts of what has happened this season, I'm not just blindly bashing their chances on past playoff failures. My predictions are based on this season only.

So that's the scary thing, is that as bad as those raw numbers are, it doesn't account for how we've limited pretty much anything from getting to our net for the better part of 4 months. The defense has been outstanding.

The encouraging thing is that I doubt any of these guys are truly that bad (except maybe Hutch) so you'd hope some kind of equalization happens conveniently during the playoffs.

 

[Gary Nylund]

Campbell still isn't even 100%. Our back-ups revolve around Kallgren, who has shown he's not very good unless the team plays well in front of him. Outside of 2-3 games, the rest of his games have been sub .900% and spotty at best. The next option they have is Hutchinson. I don't need to break down the analytics of that nightmare playing out.

The obvious answer to that is play well in front of him then, shouldn't that be what's expected anyway?

It's time to stop expecting goalies to carry this team. If this team is going anywhere in the playoffs, it's the high priced talent that has to lead the way. We're not paying any goalies above average money so there's no reason to blame them for not being elite. The team in front of the goalies needs to play well and if like you said, that means that Kallgren will be very good behind them then there should be no problem.

GLG!!

 

[CabanaBoy5]

It's the only reason I'm skeptical about any positive outcome in the playoffs. This time though my skeptics doesn't lie in whether Matthews or Marner will be productive, but this time, it'll be goaltending.

Until very recently, they've been in 31st place for nearly a 4 months span in team save percentage.

Won't win a round in the playoffs with goaltending in the range of .875% to 890% which is what we've seen over the span of the last four months. The last few weeks, there have been better performances and that may ring true moving forward, but I don't think it'll be enough to overcome it all.

Campbell still isn't even 100%. Our back-ups revolve around Kallgren, who has shown he's not very good unless the team plays well in front of him. Outside of 2-3 games, the rest of his games have been sub .900% and spotty at best. The next option they have is Hutchinson. I don't need to break down the analytics of that nightmare playing out.

What's funny to me is the lengths they went last season to get some help on goaltending by getting Rittich, why didn't Dubas do it when we needed insurance the most? Sateri wasn't insurance, that was just a freebie random shot in the dark.

Goaltending will bite them in the ass, no matter how much I love the team and their performances this season, that doesn't take away from my better judgment. The Leafs can't outscore their bad goaltending in the first round at the rates they did in January and February. Almost every game in January they gave up 4+ goals, but won most of them on the backs of 2nd place offense in the NHL outscoring garbage goaltending.

It blows my mind that they have 100 points in the standings with 10 games left with goaltending this awful. Imagine if they had received even .910 to .915% goaltending all season.

I may be called a negative Nancy (or Norman) for spelling doom and gloom, but hey, I can't change how it makes me feel. It doesn't mean I'll be right or that I am right, but my criticisms are valid and based on actual facts of what has happened this season, I'm not just blindly bashing their chances on past playoff failures. My predictions are based on this season only.

Sad but my thoughts exactly. You’re not being a negative Norman but a realistic Ronny. Let’s hope Jack has himself a great playoffs but I got feeling he’s not going to make it through healthy.

 

[Macallan18]

It's the only reason I'm skeptical about any positive outcome in the playoffs. This time though my skeptics doesn't lie in whether Matthews or Marner will be productive, but this time, it'll be goaltending.



I may be called a negative Nancy (or Norman) for spelling doom and gloom, but hey, I can't change how it makes me feel.

what a debbie downer!!!
sorry, couldn't resist!

 

[Advanced stats]

Until very recently, they've been in 31st place for nearly a 4 months span in team save percentage.

Not going to quote your whole post, but there is reason for optimism. In 5 of our last 6 games we've giving up 3 or less goals. It's not amazing, but definitely improving back to normal.

 

[Gary Nylund]

Sad but my thoughts exactly. You’re not being a negative Norman but a realistic Ronny. Let’s hope Jack has himself a great playoffs but I got feeling he’s not going to make it through healthy.

Understandable. The optimist in me says that maybe, just maybe he'll be able to play if not all, then at least a bunch of games and Kallgren will chip in like a gud pro and our goaltending will be decent.

The cup is always the goal and while it's certainly possible we get hot and win it all, let's be honest and admit that considering what's gone on the last 5 years, even winning one (or dare I hope more than one) playoff series would be something of a milestone, something we can take into next season as at least a small step forward and something we can build on. Considering how stacked our roster is, average goaltending should be enough to give us an excellent chance of at least doing that much.

 

[Gary Nylund]

Not going to quote your whole post, but there is reason for optimism. In 5 of our last 6 games we've giving up 3 or less goals. It's not amazing, but definitely improving back to normal.

This. And it hasn't been because our goalies have been playing out of their minds, it's because they've been good, not great/amazing, but good enough to win behind a team that's playing well in front of them.

And that boys and girls is how you win in the playoffs.

 

[Rude Dog]

Really hoping other teams dont figure out the best way to shut down the Leafs power play is to take another penalty. Crazy how good the pp is until they go up 2 men. Hoping for 60 tonight. Go buds.

 

[notbias]

Yeah, Campbell goes down and all of a sudden we have to rely on Kallgren against the back to back cup winner Lightning? Mrazek still has 5 weeks to go from his 6 week timeline.

Dubas really should've got another guy at the deadline.

Who?