I enjoy reading these boards. They are interesting banter, if nothing else. I do find that a lot of people (not all) are missing the big picture and not giving management credit for focusing on the big picture. By the way, this isn't limited to here. This includes twitter and your most popular NYR bloggers and commentators. There's a business side that many ignore or don't understand.
This offseason is bizarre due to covid and the upcoming expansion draft. I think JG and JD are playing everything very well. There are essentially two issues that management and players must consider this offseason: the cap and expansion.
Cap: The rangers have very little room to work with. It is still NY and we are used to NY being enough to sway players when all other factors are equal, or even less than equal. Players pick NYC. The Rangers have no real money to offer. I, like everyone, hates the Jack Johnson signing. I would've preferred a Lucas Wallmark over JJ. But if I'm Lucas Wallmark, I ask myself am I playing over Zib, Chityl, Howden, Strome, Barron or any of the wingers? I'm not guaranteed, and so, where do I fit? The only players who would likely pick this scenario are players with limited options (like the ones the NYR have signed to date). If you're the Rangers, you also want to see what you have in your current young players, because of the next issue.
Expansion: I think this is even the more complex issue than the cap. I'd like to trade for Vince Dunn. If they do, which three defenders are they protecting out of Trouba, Lindgren, Deangelo and Dunn? They have to protect Trouba, and so one of the other three must be exposed. Do you want to give up something valuable now to only lose Dunn or Lindgren next year? In a normal year, Dunn deal is a no-brainer. Perhaps they include Deangelo in a trade but there aren't many teams out there without a similar expansion protection issue who also have the cap space. The rangers have more then 8 people they must protect and so they have to go 7-3-1 in the protection slots. Zib, Panerin, Chytil, Kreider, Buch, Strome, Lemieux, Gauthier, Howden, Hypothetical New Player - which 7 are you protecting? You have to protect Zib, Panerin, Kreider, Chytil and Buch, right? Perhaps Strome is a UFA after signing a one year deal and you don't worry about him. You still can only protect two of Lemieux, Gauthier, Howden, New Player. At least two of them can be lost for nothing. So, why would a Fast commit to this? He was exposed the first time around. There's a strong likelihood that he'd be exposed and taken this time too. Why would he sign here right now? No expansion, perhaps he signs here.
Perhaps we trade for a player instead of signing one. Hypothetically, lets trade Buch and his protection slot now goes to the newly acquired player. You now have to find a team with the cap space and interest in Buch. I'm sure there's interest in Buch, but the other team isn't giving up something valuable unless they can assure themselves they don't lose Buch in the expansion draft. The Rangers want a 2c or a 1st pair LD. Those aren't cheap. JG said teams aren't doing hockey trades right now, and so any trade will have to be complex. If you get bored and look at other teams' rosters, there aren't many options out there. Lets say the NYR talk to Toronto about Nylander. Perhaps he'd be great. So, the NYR offer strome and Deangelo though we don't even know their AAV yet this year. That makes the current timing difficult. Let's say combined they are 9.5 million AAV. Toronto doesn't have that type of cap space either. Take Strome out. Based on Toronto's signings to date, it doesn't look like they are looking for a Deangelo anymore - they signed Brodie. There's no obvious way to swing this deal, or any deal for that matter this off-season.
I am convinced that the Rangers found themselves in the rebuild position because Glen Sather went "all-in" to try to win a cup before he retired. He focused on the short-term. The only way to be successful with that strategy was to win the cup. They didn't. In the end, as fans and in the long-term, we suffered. We are watching other GMs make the same mistake. We all like shiny new toys - one of Jeff Gorton's bigger financial mistakes was signing Shattenkirk. We are paying for it now. I am glad the Rangers' management is playing it smart (in my opinion). We are finally building for the long-term.
Please keep speculating. It's a fun read. Don't get your hopes up though because you're likely to be let down in the short-run. In the long run, the Rangers are making smart choices, and building something special (I hope).