I can see the comparisons, but there is a risk of him being Brendan Smith rather than Stralman. He probably isn't attending a bunch of weddings right now, but still, we could end up regretting that contract. If he doesn't maintain his level of play, he could be difficult to move with the flat cap.
I don't see any team trying to offer sheet him, so the 1st and 3rd value doesn't really have any meaning. He will very likely elect arbitration. Once he does that, he can't sign an offer sheet. Honestly, his best bet might be to sign his 3.2 mil QO, play out the year next to Panarin, and then try to get a long term deal next year as a UFA. He seems like a smart guy and he and his agent will know that the money is tight. Asking for more might result in him getting traded and ending up in a less ideal situation. He could try to get more in arbitration, but he's likely to get a number that we can walk away from, which is a risk for him.