A few random thoughts:
1. Agents got the summer of 2025 marked in their calendar. My bet is that there will be a gradual increase starting the summer of 2024. But 2025 will probably have a 3 digit cap.
With the way the land lies, I think we will see more 1 year deals. A limited number of teams have cap space. Everyone have their targets, but nobody knows exactly what everyone wants to do. Under these type of circumstances, you must act fast or risk be left without any of your top candidates.
As a result, someone will stand there 7-14 days into UFA without a contract, probably a bunch of attractive suitors, but with no financial resources. Under those circumstances, it seems attractive to me at least to take a one year deal at a bit higher rate in an attractive market and see if something can be worked out long term next summer instead.
2. Scouring the hockey world for potential candidates for “2C”, a bunch of names has caught my attention. Many are far fetched, and the only ones with any real potential are wingers with center history that might potentially switch to C. Everyone want Cs with speed, teams with bigger Cs are tripping over themselves to get rid of them. The reasons for this is quiet obvious watching the POs the last years.
3. The one name that I do think make more sense than others are Carl Järnkrok. He isn’t the fastest guy, but his high end offensive ability is underrated.
Järnkrok is the typical boom/bust pick, originally made in the second round by DRW, who everyone thought either would become a star our would bust because he was too 1-dimensional for the NHL. Who then trolled all onlookers and became a responsible 4th line center instead, before slowly clawing his way up the lineups for different teams.
He will get a contract of course, but will anyone pay him?
We can offer him something nobody else can, a chance to play with Panarin. He is 30 y/o, but lightly built and not a ton of miles on his body. He could have 5-6 years left in this league. He just came of a 6 year 2m per deal. He out performed that contract slightly the last couple of seasons being over 0.5 PPG three years in a row without PP time and top linemates. I mean, that is not bad.
Could we get him to sign here for like 2m per for two years? Play with Panarin two years in a row, he could definitely ice his best seasons, would of course, or zero reason to not expect him to get 50 pts.
We get a cost controlled asset for two years. It doesn’t matter if Panarin carry him to 65 pts, he is still here at the same cheap rate the following years.
4. There are other alternatives out there. Johan Larsson has been mentioned. But from my POV, Järnkrok has much more potential with Panarin and is the better fit. A RHS, who can feed the LW with his forehand, easier for Panarin to find him. Half good on FOs. And he got that finesse/creative side to his game too. BUT, like he can also be really disciplined which won him a job as Barry Trotz 4th line center for a handful of years.
Take my word for it, if we play Panarin with like a C with size like Sam Bennet, you will ask for way too much 5 on 5 from Panarin when that line is matched up against Tampa, Carolina and co. It will be another line that won’t help our possession numbers against the best teams.
But a Panarin-Järnkrok-X line might just have potential to be really hard to play against. Especially if they really can mesh with the 3rd link.
5. You can create space under the cap with young valuable assets like prospects and picks.
We are dealing away picks like candy lately and won’t draft high in a while probably.
Hence it’s super valuable if Drury can recoup more dealt picks. We are venturing a bit into dangerous Gorton territory here, who sometimes it felt like he only focused on these things and lost sight of the big picture.
But take Chytil and Kravy for example. Both aren’t long away from arbitration rights and if they play well we might not afford to keep them. BUT, they would fetch assets even if they are cap casualties. Getting a 1st here, a 2nd there, is almost a must for this team. Give these kids a chance to succeed, that is win/win. Blais is lose/lose. A 1 year rental.