We missed the POs this year. What are the outlook for next year?
1. Think we have
10 wins and
17 losses against the POs teams this year. NYI, Washington, Pittsburg and Boston. We aren’t really close to .500 against them.
We can rely on our skill against NJ, Buffalo and Philly, but we must improve as a team.
2. Our defense got a bump under Martin from my POV. Our PK has been excellent under him too. This is a big improvement. I think our 3rd pairing is a nightmare, if we can solidify that personel wise our defense as such will have come a long way.
3. We were basically a PO team last season. This year conditions have been different, yes. Fact of the matter is that we had 6 wins and 5 losses against the “PO teams” (NYI, Was, Pitt and Bos) last season. This just confirms what I think is very obvious, as a team we are not improving, if anything its the contrary. We are torn between (very) naive attempts to turn us into a team like the Islanders and being a team that gift wraps way to much for the other team. If anything I think we are regressing in all areas except the bump we got from Martin.
4. What can we expect in terms of individual efforts?
I am not nearly as positive here as I gather that many others are. Kakko’s production is basically unchanged from last season, despite huge expectations on improvements. Laf came in extremely far below expectations.
I know from experience that it is easy to take good performances for granted and expect improvements on a team level since the underperformers/kids should head in the right direction. Just Laf, Kakko and co should improve, guys like Buch and Fox can produce less next year if they face adversity.
5. Relative to other teams, we have largely been spared from big issues in terms of covid and injuries:
Man-games lost is not random and largely carries over from year to year. Panarin's absence hurt us, but at the same time, almost all teams have had huge issues this year and 10 games is only a minor stretch.
I am not sure if we can expect big improvements for us relative other teams just because we can't be expected to have Covid/injuries next season. If anything I think we are a bit exposed in this area with Ziba's concussion issues, we have no offensive depth behind Fox and so forth.
6. I see obvious marks of there being tensions between the players on how to play too. Everyone must be on the same page. Why are we so inconsistent? Why do we suddenly play the worst when the game matters the most? From experience, this is also exactly what you get when there is not a clear game plan and everyone aren't pulling in the same direction.
Strengths of this team: We have a tremendous amount of individual talent.
Weakness of this team: We gift wrap way too many offensive chances for the other team. Big issue is turnovers in the transition play.
Summary: Ultimately I think the next big step for this team is to adopt a
realistic game plan and work towards becoming a team that can have durable success.
We need to get away from being naive and gift wrapping offense to the other team. But what is the remedy -- for this team -- in relation to that? All teams that have won the Cup the last decade have one thing and one thing only in common.
They are all different. Chicago, Boston, Tampa, Washington, Pittsburgh and STL are all different. Designing something that will work with this NYR will be a very elaborate work and it can take time to get there. I know that I am a broken record on this, but I think Dave Quinn is hopelessly inadequate for this task.
One thing that stands out to me is that a lot of our faults are blamed on us making East-West passes per see, but there is almost no talk about how we are pretty mediocre moving the puck in the transition game. Especially compared to like the Chicago and Detroit teams that won like what 4 of the last 15 cups. That is not strange because we have a coach who puts all focus on erasing this part of our game from our game-plan in the transition play, and of course as a consequence never works with the team to improve it in this area. If we want a big immediate improvement that will result in more pts in the standings next season -- this is without any single doubt where the focus should be put. I.e. acknowledging that a big component of this team's future success will be a puck possession game, and improve the "mediocre" level its currently at. It is also extremely obvious that every player aren't on the same page here. This is a big mess.