Playoff predictions thread - statistically grounded analysis only

[NOTENOUGHRYJOTHINGS]

As many of you know I'm extremely educated and intelligent and I know hockey.

I've put together what those of us in the know call an "advanced stats" model of likelihood a team will lose. And losing means you don't win the cup. So the teams at the bottom of this list are the most likely to win the cup.

I don't see a playoff predictions thread or a thread for educated hockey professors and learned doctors such as myself.

If this isn't the appropriate time or place to start the thread then the mods can feel free to eat my ass.

• Montreal Canadiens – 58.75% (Quebec, Canada)
• Winnipeg Jets – 50.40% (Manitoba, Canada)
• Los Angeles Kings – 50.30% (California, USA)
• Edmonton Oilers – 48.00% (Alberta, Canada)
• Washington Capitals – 47.75% (Washington, D.C., USA)
• New Jersey Devils – 47.75% (New Jersey, USA)
• Minnesota Wild – 46.85% (Minnesota, USA)
• Toronto Maple Leafs – 46.16% (Ontario, Canada)
• Ottawa Senators – 46.16% (Ontario, Canada)
• St. Louis Blues – 41.70% (Missouri, USA)
• Colorado Avalanche – 41.40% (Colorado, USA)
• Carolina Hurricanes – 41.25% (North Carolina, USA)
• Tampa Bay Lightning – 37.00% (Florida, USA)
• Florida Panthers – 37.00% (Florida, USA)
• Dallas Stars – 37.00% (Texas, USA)
• Vegas Golden Knights – 37.00% (Nevada, USA)

 

[Avs2022]

I firmly believe, despite the turnover on the roster this year, that if we win 4 rounds, we can be cup championship again.

I'm also very smart. And not an idiot like my wife thinks I am.