He's still very much a mystery in terms of what he can offer in the future. This season will give a much better indication. 2nd line center? 1st? 3rd? good on PP or not? PK specialist? No one knows at the moment.
I think what we've seen thus far gives indication. If someone guesses he'll be a 46.66 point center and they get it right between a certain standard deviation, they'd have gotten lucky. But I think we can guess with atleast an appreciable degree of confidence.
Scouts don't know what a junior player is, and they often have to make educated guesses on players they've seen a small handful of times. Believe it or not, I actually trust some people to have a clue on a player they've seen 10 times, especially when it comes in the NHL and not in junior trying to project into the NHL.
Thing about Pageau, he hasn't fluctuated. He's been the same guy every shift.
There is no elite skill set, but there's the possibility of elite hockey sense with appreciable skill set. His feisty may make up for size. I'm not gonna say there's a star player because I think that's quite a reach at this point....but lots of smoke and mirrors going on if he becomes a prototypical bottom 6 forward or worse.