Blue Jays Discussion: Off-Season VI: It's no longer the off-season, but the thread isn't done yet

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I mean…it’s JRam

but am I crazy to think they’re just fine with a Biggio/Espinal combo at 2 and just holding on to Moreno, Kirk, Groshans, Orelvis, Pearson, Monoah etc

unless of course you can get him without any of those 6
 
I mean…it’s JRam

but am I crazy to think they’re just fine with a Biggio/Espinal combo at 2 and just holding on to Moreno, Kirk, Groshans, Orelvis, Pearson, Monoah etc

unless of course you can get him without any of those 6

They definitely can't do it without those six. Even if you want to keep the best from that group (Moreno, Orelvis, Manoah) you probably have to include all three of the others let alone keeping them all.

But yeah, going with Biggio/Espinal at 2B instead of paying a huge price for Ramirez makes a ton of sense. It's not like we're talking about a black hole at 2B.
 
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I mean…it’s JRam

but am I crazy to think they’re just fine with a Biggio/Espinal combo at 2 and just holding on to Moreno, Kirk, Groshans, Orelvis, Pearson, Monoah etc

unless of course you can get him without any of those 6
I’d trade Pearson, Kirk, & Groshans for him. Pearson is always hurt, Moreno in a year will challenge for the catcher spot and JRam will block Groshans.
 
I’d trade Pearson, Kirk, & Groshans for him. Pearson is always hurt, Moreno in a year will challenge for the catcher spot and JRam will block Groshans.
I don't know for sure but I think Cleveland would be more interested in the minor league guys on the Jays i.e Orelvis Martinez or Jordan Groshans more then they would the MLB guys in Pearson and Kirk. If they trade Ramirez their basically going full rebuild and will recoup assets with as much control as possible (which they should do) and they won't be competitive until at least 2024 or later so they would be just burning valuable years of Pearson and Kirk this year if they traded for them. I think guys like Martinez, Groshans (and Moreno but their not getting him) fit their timeline better. In addition, if we traded for Ramirez we still need a DH and as many arms as possible so just keep Kirk and Pearson because their more valuable to us. I would give them Groshans for sure. I would give them Biggio because we can't keep Biggio at 2B as Ramirez is 2B... I just don't know if the Guardians would want Biggio for the point I just made, so maybe a 3rd team could get involved that wants an MLB ready second basemen like the White Sox and Cleveland get more prospects. Biggio, Groshans, Jiminez are assets I would be willing to move. Perhaps Orelvis Martinez is a possibility but I'd push hard for a larger deal with Clase if we're giving up Martinez. So Martinez, Groshans, Jiminez, Van Eyk, Robberse are the players they're most likely looking at and also Biggio would make sense to go because he would have to but that might be a separate trade.
 
I don't know for sure but I think Cleveland would be more interested in the minor league guys on the Jays i.e Orelvis Martinez or Jordan Groshans more then they would the MLB guys in Pearson and Kirk. If they trade Ramirez their basically going full rebuild and will recoup assets with as much control as possible (which they should do) and they won't be competitive until at least 2024 or later so they would be just burning valuable years of Pearson and Kirk this year if they traded for them. I think guys like Martinez, Groshans (and Moreno but their not getting him) fit their timeline better. In addition, if we traded for Ramirez we still need a DH and as many arms as possible so just keep Kirk and Pearson because their more valuable to us. I would give them Groshans for sure. I would give them Biggio because we can't keep Biggio at 2B as Ramirez is 2B... I just don't know if the Guardians would want Biggio for the point I just made, so maybe a 3rd team could get involved that wants an MLB ready second basemen like the White Sox and Cleveland get more prospects. Biggio, Groshans, Jiminez are assets I would be willing to move. Perhaps Orelvis Martinez is a possibility but I'd push hard for a larger deal with Clase if we're giving up Martinez. So Martinez, Groshans, Jiminez, Van Eyk, Robberse are the players they're most likely looking at and also Biggio would make sense to go because he would have to but that might be a separate trade.
MLB teams rarely trade stars without getting piece(s) that fit their current roster.

Also, there's nothing stopping them from signing guys to make up for it.
 
I don't know for sure but I think Cleveland would be more interested in the minor league guys on the Jays i.e Orelvis Martinez or Jordan Groshans more then they would the MLB guys in Pearson and Kirk. If they trade Ramirez their basically going full rebuild and will recoup assets with as much control as possible (which they should do) and they won't be competitive until at least 2024 or later so they would be just burning valuable years of Pearson and Kirk this year if they traded for them. I think guys like Martinez, Groshans (and Moreno but their not getting him) fit their timeline better. In addition, if we traded for Ramirez we still need a DH and as many arms as possible so just keep Kirk and Pearson because their more valuable to us. I would give them Groshans for sure. I would give them Biggio because we can't keep Biggio at 2B as Ramirez is 2B... I just don't know if the Guardians would want Biggio for the point I just made, so maybe a 3rd team could get involved that wants an MLB ready second basemen like the White Sox and Cleveland get more prospects. Biggio, Groshans, Jiminez are assets I would be willing to move. Perhaps Orelvis Martinez is a possibility but I'd push hard for a larger deal with Clase if we're giving up Martinez. So Martinez, Groshans, Jiminez, Van Eyk, Robberse are the players they're most likely looking at and also Biggio would make sense to go because he would have to but that might be a separate trade.
But it's not like any of the guys you mentioned are short-term pieces. Pearson and Kirk each come with 5 years of control. Hell, even Biggio has 4 years left. They would be extremely valuable to a rebuilding Cleveland team, especially since they could all plug into the roster right now.
 
But it's not like any of the guys you mentioned are short-term pieces. Pearson and Kirk each come with 5 years of control. Hell, even Biggio has 4 years left. They would be extremely valuable to a rebuilding Cleveland team, especially since they could all plug into the roster right now.
I have questions about how well Biggio plugs in given that they have a 2B.

Kirk would be a dramatic upgrade for them both short and long term (and they would likely have to overpay to get a quality C in the future unless they can somehow develop one)
 
FanGraphs has updated their 3B chart. Toronto is now 7th with NYY 8th.

But to make sure that they keep the Yankees higher, they added Bird in getting 161 sub replacement level DH PA (as if that would happen) and Teo is still our most used DH.
 
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But it's not like any of the guys you mentioned are short-term pieces. Pearson and Kirk each come with 5 years of control. Hell, even Biggio has 4 years left. They would be extremely valuable to a rebuilding Cleveland team, especially since they could all plug into the roster right now.
I get Pearson and Kirk have 5 years of control but they're going to suck for at least 2 or 3 of those years without Ramirez by looking at their roster. So let's say by 2024 or 2025 when their ready to compete again Pearson or Kirk would only have 2 or 3 years left of control in 2024 or 2025 just when their getting good again. But if they trade for Martinez and/or Groshans they would just be arriving to the MLB at around 2023 or 2024 and would be more in line with their window to win if everything went right for them. If they also target guys like Jiminez or Pinto they would be arriving around 2024 or 2025 and would have 6 years of control vs in 2025 Kirk and Pearson would have 2. For a team that has a 37 million dollar payroll those extra years of control make a big difference especially if it aligns with their timeline of when they would be good again. I think that's why Oakland for example are willing to take the risk on more A ball players because they value those extra years of control. I don't know Cleveland's strategy though I'm just thinking what would make sense from a resource standpoint for a team that could go in the Oakland direction... they could also not go in the Oakland direction I'm just thinking it's a possibility if they move Ramirez.
 
I get Pearson and Kirk have 5 years of control but they're going to suck for at least 2 or 3 of those years without Ramirez by looking at their roster. So let's say by 2024 or 2025 when their ready to compete again Pearson or Kirk would only have 2 or 3 years left of control in 2024 or 2025 just when their getting good again. But if they trade for Martinez and/or Groshans they would just be arriving to the MLB at around 2023 or 2024 and would be more in line with their window to win if everything went right for them. If they also target guys like Jiminez or Pinto they would be arriving around 2024 or 2025 and would have 6 years of control vs in 2025 Kirk and Pearson would have 2. For a team that has a 37 million dollar payroll those extra years of control make a big difference especially if it aligns with their timeline of when they would be good again. I think that's why Oakland for example are willing to take the risk on more A ball players because they value those extra years of control. I don't know Cleveland's strategy though I'm just thinking what would make sense from a resource standpoint for a team that could go in the Oakland direction... they could also not go in the Oakland direction I'm just thinking it's a possibility if they move Ramirez.
Assuming that they fit Kirk and Biggio in (without losing value elsewhere), the Indians with these three are somewhere between slightly worse and better.
 
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Shaun Anderson starting
 
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Assuming that they fit Kirk and Biggio in (without losing value elsewhere), the Indians with these three are somewhere between slightly worse and better.
Biggio is currently projected for 1.7 in 490, Kirk for 1.8 in 351 and Pearson for .5 in 70 innings.

Give Biggio 600PA and he'd be at 2.1WAR. Give Kirk 500PA and he'd be at 2.6WAR.

Ramirez is at 6.2.
 
I get Pearson and Kirk have 5 years of control but they're going to suck for at least 2 or 3 of those years without Ramirez by looking at their roster. So let's say by 2024 or 2025 when their ready to compete again Pearson or Kirk would only have 2 or 3 years left of control in 2024 or 2025 just when their getting good again. But if they trade for Martinez and/or Groshans they would just be arriving to the MLB at around 2023 or 2024 and would be more in line with their window to win if everything went right for them. If they also target guys like Jiminez or Pinto they would be arriving around 2024 or 2025 and would have 6 years of control vs in 2025 Kirk and Pearson would have 2. For a team that has a 37 million dollar payroll those extra years of control make a big difference especially if it aligns with their timeline of when they would be good again. I think that's why Oakland for example are willing to take the risk on more A ball players because they value those extra years of control. I don't know Cleveland's strategy though I'm just thinking what would make sense from a resource standpoint for a team that could go in the Oakland direction... they could also not go in the Oakland direction I'm just thinking it's a possibility if they move Ramirez.

I guess I'm just not convinced Cleveland is going to do a full tear-down rebuild even if they do trade Ramirez. They still have pitching, they've been a good developmental team for a while now, and the division still sucks.
 
Does seem light but ill never question the A's unless they are trading with the Jays except for one trade.

They got;
-Donaldson for Rich Harden
-Semien and Bassit for Jeff Samardzija
-Manaea for a few months of Zobrist
-Montas, Holmes and Cotton for a few months of Reddick and Hill
-Canha for a player never to make it to the bigs
-Khris Davis for Nottingham
-Laureno for 7 innings of Brandon Bailey
-Traded Doolittle and Madson for Luzardo and Treinen, then turned Treinen into an All Star

-And got Liam Hendriks for Jesse Chavez

And im sure im missing some. Many of the prospects they got this off-season, will become stars or better. Kevin Smith is having a fantastic Spring.
 
Does seem light but ill never question the A's unless they are trading with the Jays except for one trade.

They got;
-Donaldson for Rich Harden
-Semien and Bassit for Jeff Samardzija
-Manaea for a few months of Zobrist
-Montas, Holmes and Cotton for a few months of Reddick and Hill
-Canha for a player never to make it to the bigs
-Khris Davis for Nottingham
-Laureno for 7 innings of Brandon Bailey
-Traded Doolittle and Madson for Luzardo and Treinen, then turned Treinen into an All Star

-And got Liam Hendriks for Jesse Chavez

And im sure im missing some. Many of the prospects they got this off-season, will become stars or better. Kevin Smith is having a fantastic Spring.
All of these deals except 1 came within season and were baseball deals. The argument could be made that the Samardzija one was a baseball deal even if it had financial motivation. The Donaldson one would have been fine if Lawrie's career didn't spiral due to injuries.

These are the only two successful offseason transactions I can see going back more than a decade.
 
I guess I'm just not convinced Cleveland is going to do a full tear-down rebuild even if they do trade Ramirez. They still have pitching, they've been a good developmental team for a while now, and the division still sucks.
Fangraphs has them at 80 wins with Ramirez so without him... not good. It just seems like their going no where this year if they move Ramirez and they would only burn a year of control on Biggio, Kirk or whoever in a year where they aren't going to win. I think it's unlikely they would be better with Pearson and Kirk for example then Ramirez so less then 80 wins would be probable to me. These are their next wave of prospects who are all in the top 100.

Valera, 21
Espino, 21
Arias, 22
Rocchio, 21
Freeman, 22

I can't see why an owner of a low budget team would want to trade for Biggio when his service time has already begun when they could target Groshans and Martinez who have a similar eta with most of those other guys. Kirk or Pearson is possible but even then I would prefer Martinez/Groshans. An ETA of 2023 or 2024 for Groshans and Martinez seems perfect for them. At least from a control perspective it makes more sense for me to target Martinez/Groshans over Kirk/Pearson. That's just how I would approach it though if I'm an owner on a budget team that really values the additional control. In addition to that I'd move Bieber, Pleasec, Reyes and aim to be good again by 2024... I don't know what Cleveland will do though.
 
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