League News: NHL Talk - (News n' Scores n' Stuff) - 2022-23 season, Vol. 4, Off-season Edition

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RedRocking

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The Ottawa/Oilers game seems like it is like 1.35 faster than the Cap/Rangers game.
Yea heck of a pace in this one. Draisaitl playing out of his mind - almost just killed Chychrun, who is apparently made of glass.

Stutzle having himself a game too.
 
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usiel

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I do appreciate the Team North America jersey that the Oilers are masquerading in. This is a sign that Canada wants to be the US's 51st state.
 

trick9

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This is the problem. 3% chance at Bedard is better than 0%.

They may end up just out of the playoffs AND just out of the lottery.

Worst possible outcome.
3% isn't actually that bad.

2017: Flyers had 2.4% chance of winning the 2nd overall pick. They won and ended up with the 2nd overall pick and drafted Nolan Patrick.

2018: Canes had 3% chance of moving into the top-3. They ended up with the 2nd overall pick and drafted Svechnikov.

2019: Blackhawks had 3.1% chance of winning a top-3 pick. They ended up with the 3rd overall pick and drafted Kirby Dach.

Rangers moved from 6 to 2 in 2019 and then from 8th - 15th to 1st in 2020. Metro does seem to have luck on their side in these draws. The players they drafted with those picks on the other hand...yikes.
 

AlexModvechkin8

At least there was 2018.
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3% isn't actually that bad.

2017: Flyers had 2.4% chance of winning the 2nd overall pick. They won and ended up with the 2nd overall pick and drafted Nolan Patrick.

2018: Canes had 3% chance of moving into the top-3. They ended up with the 2nd overall pick and drafted Svechnikov.

2019: Blackhawks had 3.1% chance of winning a top-3 pick. They ended up with the 3rd overall pick and drafted Kirby Dach.

Rangers moved from 6 to 2 in 2019 and then from 8th - 15th to 1st in 2020. Metro does seem to have luck on their side in these draws. The players they drafted with those picks on the other hand...yikes.
Svechnikov isn’t yikes unless you’re referring to his recent injury? Dahlin was already taken but the only guy I take for sure over him is Matthew Tkachuk. Quinn Hughes I’d consider over him but as of now Svechnikov is the third or fourth best player in that draft.

Patrick, Kakko, and Lafreniere I agree with, though the latter two are showing signs of life. Patrick is just a sad story with the concussions.
 

trick9

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Svechnikov isn’t yikes unless you’re referring to his recent injury? Dahlin was already taken but the only guy I take for sure over him is Matthew Tkachuk. Quinn Hughes I’d consider over him but as of now Svechnikov is the third or fourth best player in that draft.

Patrick, Kakko, and Lafreniere I agree with, though the latter two are showing signs of life. Patrick is just a sad story with the concussions.
Svechnikov is a good player, although his early career has been riddled with injuries. That's a fine pick, meant the rest of them really.
 
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Hivemind

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3% isn't actually that bad.

2017: Flyers had 2.4% chance of winning the 2nd overall pick. They won and ended up with the 2nd overall pick and drafted Nolan Patrick.

2018: Canes had 3% chance of moving into the top-3. They ended up with the 2nd overall pick and drafted Svechnikov.

2019: Blackhawks had 3.1% chance of winning a top-3 pick. They ended up with the 3rd overall pick and drafted Kirby Dach.

Rangers moved from 6 to 2 in 2019 and then from 8th - 15th to 1st in 2020. Metro does seem to have luck on their side in these draws. The players they drafted with those picks on the other hand...yikes.
3% is 3%. It's winning the draft lottery once per 33 years. It's pretty darn bad.

You're essentially engaging in survivorship bias here, by looking at the winners and then looking at their odds, and thus thinking those particular odds are good. In the process you're ignoring the 15 other teams with other variations of crummy odds, who didn't win the lottery.
 

g00n

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3% is 3%. It's winning the draft lottery once per 33 years. It's pretty darn bad.

You're essentially engaging in survivorship bias here, by looking at the winners and then looking at their odds, and thus thinking those particular odds are good. In the process you're ignoring the 15 other teams with other variations of crummy odds, who didn't win the lottery.

LOL no. Once again you miss the point entirely, probably because you missed half the conversation due to your filtering.

The point was 3% is not nothing in the context of this draft process. It's significant and worth keeping instead of writing off as a nothing chance so may as well win out instead of tanking.
 
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um

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LOL no. Once again you miss the point entirely, probably because you missed half the conversation due to your filtering.

The point was 3% is not nothing in the context of this draft process. It's significant and worth keeping instead of writing off as a nothing chance so may as well win out instead of tanking.
Even if we don't win, I'd much rather pick 10th than 16th.
 

RedRocking

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kicksavedave

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Jake the Snake, aka Vrana the Piranha, just scored his 4th goal in 5 games with the Blues. Man that dude is an enigma, talented AF but who knows what's in his head. I hope he can put it all together some day.



Edit, I mean this goal looks like a low key McDavid on the rush. So much talent.

 

Hivemind

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He came out hot in Detroit if I remember, I’m sure he will cool and then not provide much. But I always rooted for that kid so hopefully third times a charm
He never really cooled in Detroit. When he was on the ice for Detroit, he produced. He just had issues staying on the ice. He had 22 goals in 42 games spread across 3 seasons for Detroit, a 40G pace.
 

ClevelandCapsfan

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Watching Bolts-Devils play 3X3 OT. I fear there is no one on Caps that comes close to the skating abilities/speed on NJ’s top 6. Just frightening to watch their speed and finesse.
 
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