A few random thoughts about some likely 1st round picks:
Cam Ward -- Becomes an above-average starter in the league, but not much more. Can win if a solid team is put around him, but won't do a ton of elevation of those around him.
Shedeur Sanders -- A slightly more mobile Chad Pennington. Pretty much the definition of mid-tier starter that needs good/great WRs around him to win.
Jihaad Campbell -- Might wind up being the player with the best career. I see him becoming a near-elite do-it-all LB.
Malaki Starks -- Might not be elite, but will be viewed as one of the best at his position.
Travis Hunter -- Eventually settles in as a near-elite CB that can spring a big play at WR, but spends most of his time on the defensive side of the ball.
Tyler Warren -- Reverses the trend of 1st-round TEs busting/having less-than-expected careers.