We get fixated on prospects and when things are going well, we over-project, and when things hit speed bumps, we're ready to fire them out of a cannon.
There are a lot of variables still in play, regarding the the McD trade.
Does Howden find a niche and take the next steps in his third NHL season? Does he put it together and find chemistry on a potent third line? Probably not
Does Hajek get back on track and settle into a role as second pair defenseman? NO
Is Lundkvist the stud he is shaping up to be? Does he become a crucial part of our defense for the next decade? Maybe
Does Henriksson become a top six player for us? NO
If the answer is yes to all of those things, it's a clear win. If the answer is yes to some of those, its still a win. If one of those things happens, it can still be a win, though it'll be closer to a draw. If none of those things happen, it's a loss. But there's so many moving parts in all of this, we just don't know yet.
And that doesn't even take into account the follow-up moves that are connected to this deal, yet exist separately.
When we talk about McD, Hayes, Stepan, Zucc, etc. it's impossible to ignore that if you keep those players, we're not discussing Panarin, or Kreider, or Trouba, or ADA.