The Lightning are the two-time defending Champions and the Leafs haven’t won a playoff round in nearly two decades. Tampa has the best goalie, best defender and arguably the best winger in the whole league, as well as a generally stacked roster. Toronto putting up 115 points vs Tampa’s 110 in the season does not make them the favourites in this series and I think a pretty strong majority of neutral observers would have picked Tampa to win this series at the start. Heck, I still think they are at least at even money to come back from 1-2 and beat the Leafs and I am a Leafs fan like everyone else here.
If Toronto pulls off the series win then that is a pretty impressive accomplishment. It isn’t just a typical 4 seed beating a typical 5 seed.