Of those teams, the one team that really hasn't let us play our game (even though we still earned the points) has been Carolina....and I'm thinking that's to do with them being able to match or even better our speed.
5v5 xGF%
vs COL 61.49%
vs FLA 58.94%
vs BOS 54.95%
vs TBL 51.82%
vs CAR 44.85%
thanks, Fred!
Although I totally agree with the Carolina bit, they have been the team I would say without a shadow of a doubt has made us play their game the most. I also think TB has been pretty hard for us. We beat them early on in the year 2-1 in OT, but it took a late JT goal and I think Willy in OT if I remember correctly? But they really did force us wide that entire game. We stayed patient and played a great game, but we didn't break through 5v5 at any point in that game.
Then we got embarrassed by them in December.
TB is a team I'd not want to face at all. Stanley Cup moxy, best goaltender in the game, high end skill. We will lose that series more often than not IMO.
CAR is a very very good team. And you're right, they match our speed and even exceed it probably. Terrible matchup.
BOS is what they are. Will never go down without a fight, but they are far from a flawless team. They have struggled with depth scoring which has forced them to break up the perfection line. I personally don't think Swayman is any better than Jack Campbell, and if anything is equally capable of stealing a game or laying an egg. That's not meant as a knock on Swayman, he is a promising goaltender, I just wouldn't put him in that Vasy category that is at worst average. Just like Campbell, Swayman is Good, not elite. He may end up getting there, he's just not there yet. We are faster than BOS, and we have more talent. They have the confidence and will to win that we've never displayed, but that's about it. That confidence and will to win has been the reason they have won against us in the past, so there is no reason to think they can't do it again. But as good as they are as a team, we are better and if we can find the will and confidence, we should win that series.
FLA to me is the team I think will be bounced R1 regardless of who they play. They may score in bunches, but they allow goals in bunches as well. I actually think we'd fair the best against them by a mile. They have talent, but I'd argue our talent is better. They are definitely deeper than us at forward but not enough to tip the scales. Their defense is overrated with the exception of Ekblad and could easily be exposed by our talent. They are high octane, and the game is never over with them, but they will give us looks to score.
No matter what, we will be facing a good team and could easily be bounced R1. But I just hope we get BOS or FLA because I think they give us the best chance at advancing