No i'm putting a lot of trust into dominating a game, playing the right way and badly out chancing your opponent. Obviously an elite goaltender needs to be taken into consideration, he's going to negate (not sure if it's the right word I want to use) a significant amount of the offence. If the skaters play the way they did over a 7 game series, they will win that series almost every single time. Going back to last years series, legit everything that could have went wrong did. It's like the hockey gods tehmselves came down and blessed the Habs.
The shooters also determine actual goals against, something you haven't acknowledged it. The puck doesn't magically go into the net, there's a shot that beats the goalie, and Matthews is the best in the business.
Also question for you, if it was us that was outshot 51-18 and won last night what would the narrative be then ? What would your stance be then ? We were the better team and deserved to win ? We played the right way and dominated ? The better team doesn't always win, there's always some luck involved, but dominating puck possession and scoring chances heavily tilts the odds in your favor and that's all you can do. You can't predict freak injuries to multiple core players, or ridiculous bounces or your player sending the opposing team on a 2 on 0 in OT. You give yourself the best chance to win and we did that, like it or not but luck is absolutely a factor in all sports.
I'll take that game last night from a puck possession/scoring chances point of view 100/100. Like the great Ray once said "That's the way she goes, sometimes she goes sometimes she doesn't" On to the next one.