Leafs are horrible at blocking shots. Does it matter?

  • Xenforo Cloud will be upgrading us to version 2.3.5 on March 3rd at 12 AM GMT. This version has increased stability and fixes several bugs. We expect downtime for the duration of the update. The admin team will continue to work on existing issues, templates and upgrade all necessary available addons to minimize impact of this new version. Click Here for Updates

Is there a correlation between blocked shots and winning games?

  • Yes

    Votes: 15 30.0%
  • No

    Votes: 14 28.0%
  • It's more complicated than a Yes or No answer.

    Votes: 21 42.0%

  • Total voters
    50

Bluelines

Python FTW!
Nov 17, 2013
12,349
4,559
A stat (Blocked Shots) that I've always though correlated to a teams commitment to team defence and was a good measurement of their structured play, may not be that important.

BS-D , is your blocked shot differential, Blocked shots - Blocked shots against. If you are a team that shoots a lot your BS-A will probably be higher, increasing your BS-D.


[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Rk[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]PTS[/TD]
[TD]BS[/TD]
[TD]BS-A[/TD]
[TD]BS-D[/TD]
[TD]BS-D/GP[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]Florida Panthers[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]833[/TD]
[TD]1114[/TD]
[TD]-281[/TD]
[TD]-4.1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]Carolina Hurricanes[/TD]
[TD]98[/TD]
[TD]738[/TD]
[TD]990[/TD]
[TD]-252[/TD]
[TD]-3.7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]Colorado Avalanche[/TD]
[TD]104[/TD]
[TD]906[/TD]
[TD]1133[/TD]
[TD]-227[/TD]
[TD]-3.3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]Calgary Flames[/TD]
[TD]89[/TD]
[TD]803[/TD]
[TD]1002[/TD]
[TD]-199[/TD]
[TD]-2.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]Edmonton Oilers[/TD]
[TD]83[/TD]
[TD]826[/TD]
[TD]1023[/TD]
[TD]-197[/TD]
[TD]-2.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]Toronto Maple Leafs[/TD]
[TD]93[/TD]
[TD]796[/TD]
[TD]988[/TD]
[TD]-192[/TD]
[TD]-2.8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]New Jersey Devils[/TD]
[TD]54[/TD]
[TD]857[/TD]
[TD]971[/TD]
[TD]-114[/TD]
[TD]-1.7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]Los Angeles Kings[/TD]
[TD]86[/TD]
[TD]918[/TD]
[TD]1009[/TD]
[TD]-91[/TD]
[TD]-1.3[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Four of the six top teams have the least amount of blocked shots.

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Rk[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]BS[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]Carolina Hurricanes[/TD]
[TD]738[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]Buffalo Sabres[/TD]
[TD]780[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]Toronto Maple Leafs[/TD]
[TD]796[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]Calgary Flames[/TD]
[TD]803[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]Edmonton Oilers[/TD]
[TD]826[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]Florida Panthers[/TD]
[TD]833[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


Are blocked shots really that important?
 
A stat (Blocked Shots) that I've always though correlated to a teams commitment to team defence and was a good measurement of their structured play, may not be that important.

BS-D , is your blocked shot differential, Blocked shots - Blocked shots against. If you are a team that shoots a lot your BS-A will probably be higher, increasing your BS-D.


[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Rk[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]PTS[/TD]
[TD]BS[/TD]
[TD]BS-A[/TD]
[TD]BS-D[/TD]
[TD]BS-D/GP[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]Florida Panthers[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]833[/TD]
[TD]1114[/TD]
[TD]-281[/TD]
[TD]-4.1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]Carolina Hurricanes[/TD]
[TD]98[/TD]
[TD]738[/TD]
[TD]990[/TD]
[TD]-252[/TD]
[TD]-3.7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]Colorado Avalanche[/TD]
[TD]104[/TD]
[TD]906[/TD]
[TD]1133[/TD]
[TD]-227[/TD]
[TD]-3.3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]Calgary Flames[/TD]
[TD]89[/TD]
[TD]803[/TD]
[TD]1002[/TD]
[TD]-199[/TD]
[TD]-2.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]Edmonton Oilers[/TD]
[TD]83[/TD]
[TD]826[/TD]
[TD]1023[/TD]
[TD]-197[/TD]
[TD]-2.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]Toronto Maple Leafs[/TD]
[TD]93[/TD]
[TD]796[/TD]
[TD]988[/TD]
[TD]-192[/TD]
[TD]-2.8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]New Jersey Devils[/TD]
[TD]54[/TD]
[TD]857[/TD]
[TD]971[/TD]
[TD]-114[/TD]
[TD]-1.7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]Los Angeles Kings[/TD]
[TD]86[/TD]
[TD]918[/TD]
[TD]1009[/TD]
[TD]-91[/TD]
[TD]-1.3[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Four of the six top teams have the least amount of blocked shots.

[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Rk[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]BS[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]Carolina Hurricanes[/TD]
[TD]738[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]Buffalo Sabres[/TD]
[TD]780[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]Toronto Maple Leafs[/TD]
[TD]796[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]Calgary Flames[/TD]
[TD]803[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]Edmonton Oilers[/TD]
[TD]826[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]Florida Panthers[/TD]
[TD]833[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


Are blocked shots really that important?
They are important but when is the big factor.
Personally I think the strategy of taking away the shooting lanes early negates the shot that usually would get blocked a lot. Doing that seems to force a pass instead of a possible blocked shot turned over going the other way for an odd man rush or breakaway

But that's just my two cents
 
Interesting results. Blocked shots make up about 25% of corsi, yet those poor shot-blocking teams are amongst the leaders in CF%.

Edit. Nevermind, was reading the differential wrong. You would expect those teams to have good corsi numbers.
 
Last edited:
Important at important times, like blowing leads in the playoffs. When teams do not block shots at key times you have to wonder about commitment.
Flamingo legs are not appreciated by goalies.
 
  • Like
Reactions: horner
Not sure about block shot advanced stats. Say what you want about Holl, but he blocks and tips a lot of shots out of harms way. Even putting his head in there once in a while. Once Muzzin comes back (at truly 100% hopefully) the blocks will be much higher in the playoffs.
 
I feel as though blocked shots can be akin to faceoff wins in some respect - they can go unnoticed when they occur often enough in a game. That said, either can be crucial when they happen at a pivotal moment. A team having the puck all of the time is a nice idea but one unfortunately that isn't going to be rooted in reality all that much. Blocked shots are merely one element in a litany of them that have their place in, and effect on, any given game.
 
  • Like
Reactions: banks
Blocking shots are like filling holes on a ship. If you don't do it, you'll sink. If you have to do it more often than usual, there's something wrong with the ship.

Having that few blocks can mean 2 things:
1. We're like the Sabres, who suck at everything
2. We don't need to block as many shots because we don't give up as many shot attempts.

In FA/60 (unblocked shot attempts against) we rank 9th best. The teams that above us are: Bruins, Panthers, Kings, Flames, Canes, Golden Knights, Penguins, and Lightning.

In CA/60 (shot attempts against) we rank 7th best. The teams in front of us are: Canes, Flames, Bruins, Panthers, Lightning, Kings.

In xGA/60 we rank 6th best. The teams in front of us are: Bruins, Wild, Flames, Avs, and Penguins.

What we see here is that typically the best way to prevent unblocked shots, and better chances is by simply not giving up as many shot attempts. If you compare the top-10 in CA/60 with both FA/60 and xGA/60 they're virtually the same teams besides two major outliers:

1. Vegas is 15th in CA/60, 6th in FA/60, and 22nd in xGA/60. This is because they block an inordinate amount of shots. They were lucky to have Lehner playing for them because they give up so many chances, but now that he's been injured they stopped being able to win. This goes back to point #1, blocking shots is good, but having to keep doing it isn't a sustainable strategy.

2. Minnesota is 12th in CA/60, 13th in FA/60, and 2nd in xGA/60. Now this could be simply due to them not allowing any good chances and forcing guys to the outside, but it's well known that the Wild's trackers typically put shot locations in the wrong place more often than most (similar to the Rags, but the opposite) which means they're likely not the 2nd best defensive team in the league.

Anyway, the first paragraph still stands.
 
We should turn the puck over more and block shots :sarcasm:

Needs to be in context, we are one of the best puck possession teams. Good teams control the puck and pressure, bad teams are stuck in their own end playing D. Garbage teams are stuck in their own end playing D letting every shot go through to the tendy. We'll be fine.
 
  • Like
Reactions: saffronleaf
I think it should be blocked shot rate.You should weight every shot from lethal to weak, sum the weights and use this as your denominator.
 
  • Like
Reactions: saffronleaf
blocking more shots is not an indicator you are a better team, because it means the other team is shooting more and you aren't in possession.
 
  • Like
Reactions: saffronleaf
Blocking shots are like filling holes on a ship. If you don't do it, you'll sink. If you have to do it more often than usual, there's something wrong with the ship.

Having that few blocks can mean 2 things:
1. We're like the Sabres, who suck at everything
2. We don't need to block as many shots because we don't give up as many shot attempts.

In FA/60 (unblocked shot attempts against) we rank 9th best. The teams that above us are: Bruins, Panthers, Kings, Flames, Canes, Golden Knights, Penguins, and Lightning.

In CA/60 (shot attempts against) we rank 7th best. The teams in front of us are: Canes, Flames, Bruins, Panthers, Lightning, Kings.

In xGA/60 we rank 6th best. The teams in front of us are: Bruins, Wild, Flames, Avs, and Penguins.

What we see here is that typically the best way to prevent unblocked shots, and better chances is by simply not giving up as many shot attempts. If you compare the top-10 in CA/60 with both FA/60 and xGA/60 they're virtually the same teams besides two major outliers:

1. Vegas is 15th in CA/60, 6th in FA/60, and 22nd in xGA/60. This is because they block an inordinate amount of shots. They were lucky to have Lehner playing for them because they give up so many chances, but now that he's been injured they stopped being able to win. This goes back to point #1, blocking shots is good, but having to keep doing it isn't a sustainable strategy.

2. Minnesota is 12th in CA/60, 13th in FA/60, and 2nd in xGA/60. Now this could be simply due to them not allowing any good chances and forcing guys to the outside, but it's well known that the Wild's trackers typically put shot locations in the wrong place more often than most (similar to the Rags, but the opposite) which means they're likely not the 2nd best defensive team in the league.

Anyway, the first paragraph still stands.

Yeah, I think Morgs has it right here. High and low shot blocks can be the product of different environments and situations. It can be useful, and it can be a sign of trouble.

Maybe you don't block a lot of shots because your team sucks at everything and your goalie is getting peppered.

Maybe you have the puck more frequently.

Maybe you're an elite shot blocking team that simply reduces the number of shots that make it to the net.

Maybe you block a lot of shots because you're always just hanging on for dear life.
 
As a defenceman growing up my goalies always said block it or get the you know what out of the way. There’s a time for blocking a shot but in my opinion letting the goalie see the shot and getting a face off is the better option more often than not.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Ciao
I seem to recall a lot of Dallas' cup winning success coming from Hatcher and Ludwig blocking shots. They were the first team I noticed that really did this well.
 
Have to be chasing the puck to have blocked shots.

Not really concerned.
 
There's a better way to determine blocks "skill" btw.

Corsi = all shot attempts
Fenwick = all shot attempts


So subtract fenwick from corsi to get all blocks, then divide it by corsi to get the percentage of all shot attempts blocks.

For example:

At 5v5

TOR: 52.59ca/60, 40.46fa/60 = 12.13bk/60 = 23.1bk%
TBL: 51.74ca/60, 39.54fa/60 = 12.20bk/60 = 23.6bk%
FLA: 50.49ca/60, 38.32fa/60 = 12.17bk/60 = 24.1bk%
BOS: 50.46ca/60, 38.05fa/60 = 12.41bk/60 = 24.6bk%
 
  • Like
Reactions: danny90 and Morgs
Blocked shots are not tracked consistently in different arenas, just like takeaways and giveaways. You can't trust the stats.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 666
Blocked shots are not tracked consistently in different arenas, just like takeaways and giveaways. You can't trust the stats.

To what extent do they differ and which teams are known for overrating their players? Just curious not sure if there's an actual answer to this.
 

Ad

Ad