LD Henry Thrun - Harvard Univ., NCAA (2019, 101st, ANA, traded to SJS) | HFBoards - NHL Message Board and Forum for National Hockey League

LD Henry Thrun - Harvard Univ., NCAA (2019, 101st, ANA, traded to SJS)

Pavel Buchnevich

Pavel Buchnevich "The Fake"
Dec 8, 2013
57,724
29,897
New York
Another potential first round pick in 2019 from the U17 NTDP team. Thrun has been the most impressive defenseman on the team, from what I've seen. He has good size and skates well. He's very reliable defensively, he has a high hockey IQ at both ends of the rink, can move the puck and chip in some points. He's not a big offensive player, but not bad either in the offensive department.

Henry Thrun
 
do you like him more than Vlasic? Vlasic is such a raw prospect - kid is huge and still growing. I need to see better skating out of him next year, but Vlasic could be the real deal from this group.
 
do you like him more than Vlasic? Vlasic is such a raw prospect - kid is huge and still growing. I need to see better skating out of him next year, but Vlasic could be the real deal from this group.

Yes, I see why some might like Vlasic though. He has some skill and shutdown potential, but the skating is very worrying. He remind me of Adam Samuelsson. I wouldn't have Vlasic as a first rounder because of his skating, but round 2-3 is a decent range, and some might have him as a first rounder.
 
Not much talk about this guy, but I think there's a decent chance he goes towards the end of the first round. He might be the most underrated player in the 18 NTDP program.
 
I never heard about this kid before but when i am looking at his stats, he seems like a kid to follow.

  • Position D
  • Height 6'2" / 188 cm
  • Weight 190 lbs / 86 kg
  • Shoots Left
2018-19
6.png
USNTDP Juniors
USHL724624|
6.png
U.S. National U18 Team
USDP1949136
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
 
I thought Thrun was the best defenseman at the WJC18. He didn't make that many big plays, but he might've made 1 or 2 bad plays in a 7 game span. He played an incredibly good tournament. Thrun has a tendency to play very consistent and very inconsistent. By that I mean that he has stretches where he can go a number of games playing a very good game in all zones, and he looks like a top 20 pick, and then he has stretches where he plays 2-3 very bad games in a row. His form fluctuates a lot during different stretches of the season, and I've seen tournaments where he plays awful and tournaments where he plays great. When he struggles, he's usually trying to too much offensively. He's capable offensively, but he can get caught with poor positioning in all zones when he's trying to do too much offensively. It doesn't help that the NTDP gives up a lot of odd-man rushes.

In a draft that lacks many top-end defensemen, I think he could find his way into the late first, although early 2nd wouldn't surprise me either. The other thing to keep track of with his draft stock is his college commitment. He's going to play at Harvard next season. Two of the last 3 big time prospects from Harvard have caused trouble for the team that drafted them with the free agency loophole. That could cause his draft stock to drop.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Sens of Anarchy
Absolutely love Thruns game. Very cerebral and smart player that makes the right plays all the time. Isnt overly flashy in any aspect but does everything well. He will be an absolute steal for a team in round 2.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Pavel Buchnevich
I've started to think that I'm the only person that likes his game, but it looks like thats not the case.

The only thing I wouldn't like is the Harvard commitment. Three of the last four good prospects from Harvard haven't signed with the team that drafted them. The other was drafted by his hometown team, so it wasn't the same issue. Looking at this from a fan's point of view, I don't care about that because two of those three signed with my team and we would probably have a good chance to also sign Thrun if he followed suit, but I think this is something that could have his draft stock drop. He's a first rounder, in my opinion, but might be more of a second rounder for teams that don't think he'll sign.
 
The Harvard thing is certainly a factor and does throw a wrench in there for sure. Vesey opted to get his degree and become a free agent, Donato signed after junior year with Bruins while Fox eventually did sign but basically demanded a trade to do so. All three players stayed for 3+ years in NCAA which is rare nowadays for high draft picks. If I was an NHL team and interested in his services its something I certainly would have discussed that topic in the interview process. I dont think Thrun would need 3 years in the NCAA at this point - he has good size already and the rest of his game to match but a Harvard degree and the option to pick where you want to play is a carrot dangling at the end of a college career that is pretty enticing. The player interview process should have shown some light on Thrun's plans and that would be a huge factor on where he gets picked. NHL teams can afford to lose a #1 or even #2 pick to a player that doesnt sign and becomes a free agent.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Pavel Buchnevich
The Harvard thing is certainly a factor and does throw a wrench in there for sure. Vesey opted to get his degree and become a free agent, Donato signed after junior year with Bruins while Fox eventually did sign but basically demanded a trade to do so. All three players stayed for 3+ years in NCAA which is rare nowadays for high draft picks. If I was an NHL team and interested in his services its something I certainly would have discussed that topic in the interview process. I dont think Thrun would need 3 years in the NCAA at this point - he has good size already and the rest of his game to match but a Harvard degree and the option to pick where you want to play is a carrot dangling at the end of a college career that is pretty enticing. The player interview process should have shown some light on Thrun's plans and that would be a huge factor on where he gets picked. NHL teams can afford to lose a #1 or even #2 pick to a player that doesnt sign and becomes a free agent.

Thrun's skating doesn't look to be anywhere close to NHL ready so 3-4 years in college looks likely unless that really improves in the near future....
 
Flabbergasted that he lasted to the 4th round. The draft isn't a science but if you're Anaheim, you should be ecstatic to get a player with his ability there. Maybe I'm too high on him as USAH also didn't invite him to the WJC camp, which was a shock, but I think he's pretty underrated because while he's not a standout at any one one thing, he's also not bad at anything either. He's got good size, high hockey IQ, he's got some offensive skill, and he's good defensively. There's a lot to like. If I were him, I'd focus on his skating. It's fine but if he can turn that into a strength, he'll be well positioned to be a good NHLer.

My guess would be two things worked against him:
  • Probably a belief that he's tapped out his upside.
  • He's going to Harvard.
Those things in tandem probably had him slide as he's definitely a guy you'd want to park in the NCAA for at least 2-3 years and let develop. He needs to be on a similar development path as guys like Slavin and Pesce were. If teams believe that's his path too, I'm sure that gave quite a few teams pause given the history with Harvard prospects playing all 4 years and heading to free agency instead.

While it's cliche because Slavin and Pesce were also picked around the same range and they're American, I wouldn't be surprised to see a bunch of us look back in 5 years at Thrun the way everyone looks back on those two and talk about what a steal it was. Thrun felt like a guy that would just go to Carolina or Nashville, and in a few years everyone would be like "damn, they did it again with another d-man." Carolina's experience with Adam Fox though probably nixed that idea.
 
I ranked this guy as a first rounder, so this is a very good pick, in my opinion.

The only thing I wouldn't like if I was most teams is the Harvard commitment. He's not going to turn into Dahlin because he doesn't have that type of talent, but he has a very good all around game, and I could see him being a middle pairing defensemen pretty easily with maybe a chance to be a #2D.

I also thought he was our best defensemen at the 2019 WJC18. He was brilliant at that tournament in a role that didn't get him much praise because he wasn't putting up big point totals.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Ad

Ad