Rumor: Laughton trade talks heating up

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Well that's an incredibly short sighted definition of "Draft Depth". There is far more to a draft than the top 10 - 20 picks and where the top tiers drop off.

It's not short-sighted at all. It's realistic. :laugh:

By the time you're into the 3rd and 4th round, the percentage of players who even manage to carve out an actual career of any kind (hitting 100GP), even as just "depth players", is somewhere in that 10-15% range in pretty much every draft. The percentage of players who become impact guys from those rounds is firmly in the small single digits...in every draft.

Talking about "Depth" of a draft in that range is just spitting in the wind. It's completely nonsense. If anyone actually knew these "depth of the draft" guys in the 3rd and 4th rounds were going to hit...they'd take 'em over dozens of players right up into the 1st round where less than three quarters of those guys will ever even hit the threshold of long-term player of any kind. But they don't, because that's not how the mid rounds of the draft work, at all.

It's just not a way that is remotely viable to characterize a draft. You talk about the elite talent at the top, the depth of "Top-10" type prospects, and how many "1st round caliber" prospects there are in general. Trying to predict "depth" anywhere beyond that is just delusion, or scouts smelling too many of their own farts.
 

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