Is John Tavares starting to slip?

Regal

Registered User
Mar 12, 2010
26,673
16,643
Vancouver
Hmm...you might be right. I may have fallen in to bias trap. What are some comparable Hall of Fame centers that got in and were not controversial? Sundin was PPG for 1350 games. Also 500+ goals. That does sound like a good Hall of Fame resume.

Yea, I think he’s one of those guys where his longevity really makes him a clear HOFer imo based on the usual standards. I think his tier of player can go either way and if he had started to regress earlier then he’d be a lot more borderline, but a guy who was considered a clear #1 C for a decade plus with high level career stats is usually going to get in. I mean someone like Getzlaf will probably get in, and Backstrom might as well.
 
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seafoam

Soft Shock
Sponsor
May 17, 2011
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He has had elite highs, they just don't look as such because he played in a low scoring environment for a majority of his prime

He's finished 3rd in goals 2x, 2nd in points in 14-15, finished top 3 in MVP voting 2x
Regular season champion doesn’t really mean anything. He won NYI one series against a terrible FLA team.
 

Zybalto

Registered User
Dec 28, 2012
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You realize he didn’t play in the DPE, played with all the new rule changes.

Its easy enough to just look at era adjusted stats instead of using any guesswork.

Via hockeyref's era adjusted stats webpage:

Tavares currently sits 33rd all time for goals scored (just ahead of Frank Mahavolich)
Tavares currently sits 41st all time for points scored (just ahead of Bobby Hull)
 

leafsfan5

Registered User
Jun 14, 2014
14,881
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Regular season champion doesn’t really mean anything. He won NYI one series against a terrible FLA team.
I mean yes he hasn't had playoff success, but you said he hasn't had highs. Unless you solely identify highs as playoff success (which is silly), it's clear he has had them.
You realize he didn’t play in the DPE, played with all the new rule changes.
He played the prime years of his career in an incredibly low scoring environment - that is a fact.

It was so low that his 1.01 PPG from 12/13-15-16 ranked him 4th among all forwards with 200 games played - only Crosby, Kane and Malkin were ahead of him. It's understandable why one would look at his stats during those years and come away unimpressed, while in reality he was close to a top forward in the league

The reason he has stayed close to his prime production levels at this point in his career is because scoring has risen rapidly. For example, Sidney Crosby from last year isn't close to the Crosby from 14-15, despite their numbers being comparable (1.14 last year vs 1.09 in 14-15).
 

Golden_Jet

Registered User
Sep 21, 2005
26,456
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He played the prime years of his career in an incredibly low scoring environment - that is a fact.
Which was a little higher than DPE, like previously mentioned,
DPE had the clutching and grabbing allowed, from 97/98 -03/04 (then lockout).

Then we had the rule changes, plus 3 on 3 hockey.

If you prefer facts.
 

BraveCanadian

Registered User
Jun 30, 2010
15,403
4,718
Its easy enough to just look at era adjusted stats instead of using any guesswork.

Via hockeyref's era adjusted stats webpage:

Tavares currently sits 33rd all time for goals scored (just ahead of Frank Mahavolich)
Tavares currently sits 41st all time for points scored (just ahead of Bobby Hull)

Adjusted stats *are* guess work.. and not great guesses to be honest
 

gritdash60

Registered User
Aug 9, 2022
1,524
1,554
Behind the net
He isn't starting to slip, what wasn't shown in the Leafs sheets picture is these bad boys!
jtsock.jpg
 

leafsfan5

Registered User
Jun 14, 2014
14,881
25,937
Which was a little higher than DPE, like previously mentioned,
DPE had the clutching and grabbing allowed, from 97/98 -03/04 (then lockout).

Then we had the rule changes, plus 3 on 3 hockey.

If you prefer facts.
That's fine, I'm not sure what it has to do with my point, though.

I didn't say JT played in the dead puck era itself, but he did play in an extremely low scoring era, the 2nd lowest scoring after the DPE

As a result of that his numbers appear less impressive than they are when you compare to his peers during that timeframe
 

The Hanging Jowl

Registered User
Apr 2, 2017
10,622
12,012
The way people talk about Tavares is so odd, you'd think he just loafed around his whole career as teammates sometimes banked goals off him.

The really ironic thing about how this conversation has played out is people said a lot of the same things about Sundin. He had a playing style that made him look a little laid back and people mistook it for being lazy but nothing could have been further from the truth. The man was a warrior for the Leafs. So is Tavares though, just in a different way. Same production, different styles, same BS criticisms. It's just the way people are.
 

notbias

Registered User
Feb 16, 2017
11,908
9,936
Joe Thornton never had a 11M aav contract.

First off, irrelevant, but it is funny that you posted this.

He had a 17% CH... Tavares' is around 14%...

Not sure if you know, but the cap goes up.
 

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