Idk...

[Reclamation Project]

Click to read more...

 

[Captain Mittens*]

Oh hells yeah! Good looking out RC!

 

[Reclamation Project]

The other two are pretty laughable.

 

[Calirose]

Those are your words, my partial words were "The Kings or Chicago" logically that puts the Kings odds at 50%
Then if you use my full sentence of "Statistically about 5 or 6 teams really have a chance to win the cup and of those 5 or 6, the Kings and Hawks are statistically the favorites." that puts the Kings and Hawks odds at under 50%

this is unclear but all I'm saying is for Sports Illustrated to say 'Who will win it all LA or Chicago' produces a loaded question on a false pretense, as neither is more likely to win than not.

 

[JT8888]

what the hell just happened here?

Cool to see kopi on SI

 

[KingsKnight]

Good to see Kopi on the cover. Hope it's not a curse...

 

[Vamos Rafa]

Some people here wish the guy on the left was Mike Trout, but Anaheim is thataway.

 

[Captain Mittens*]

this is unclear but all I'm saying is for Sports Illustrated to say 'Who will win it all LA or Chicago' produces a loaded question on a false pretense, as neither is more likely to win than not.

that is their prediction

 

[Ron*]

this is unclear but all I'm saying is for Sports Illustrated to say 'Who will win it all LA or Chicago' produces a loaded question on a false pretense, as neither is more likely to win than not.

that is their prediction

Yup. Pretty much sums it up.

But some posters get their feathers all ruffled up. How dare they? Doesn't SI understand high-level probability theory and how scum-bag Vegas odds makers know probability theory more than any others?

 

[SLang]

Hahah this thread needs some housecleaning!

Awesome cover shot.....I assume this is the national cover, not the regional cover which was the case with "Jazzhands"?

Kopi looks pretty stoked in that shot - you can see it in his eyes!

 

[Calirose]

Someone recently called Kopitar the third best player in the NHL. Hmm... who was that... Oh, that's right, Wayne Gretzky. The two players ahead were not Kings.

Kopitar is a machine in all three zones. He's huge, strong, he can't be beaten along the boards, and he's smart as hell. I think there's a good case to be made that he's the perfect player right now.

How could he be perfect, but only 3rd best? The evidence for your argument proves it wrong.

 

[Buddy The Elf]

I just realized that I mailed my ticket for my Stanley Cup bet about 2 months ago and still never received my check. I guess that got jacked in the mail. It was only for $40 but I would've framed the damn ticket if I knew I wasn't going to get the money.

 

[jfont]

What's the difference between the two?

About $20M...

 

[The Night King]

The other two covers are less optimistic about the Kings (or the LA cover is just deceptive).

Why the Blackhawks will in it all

 

[Vamos Rafa]

I know Baltimore doesn't have a hockey team but they should've had a Nats player on there.

 

[Reclamation Project]

The Capitals might not even make the playoffs and the Blues won't do anything anyways. Funny covers are funny.

 

[DapperDan]

This little tiff here ignited my math curiosity, so I dug back to my probability knowledge and did the math if anyone cares. According to the odds provided by calirose...

Chicago = 5/2 odds which translates to a probability of 1/7 = 0.1429 = 14.29%
Los Angeles = 15/2 odds which translates to a probability of 2/17 = 0.1176 = 11.76%

Prob(Chi wins or LA wins) = Prob(Chi wins) + Prob(LA wins) - Prob(Chi & LA wins)

But since the events are mutually exclusive: Prob(Chi & LA wins) = 0

14.29% + 11.76% = 26.05% Either Chi or LA wins the cup


Yay math. Now let's get back to hockey

 

[ADifferentTim]

The other two covers are less optimistic about the Kings (or the LA cover is just deceptive).

Why the Blackhawks will in it all

Shenanigans like those are the reason why East Coast Bias will forever dismiss Chicago into "Bad Apple/New York of the Midwest".

 

[Trolfoli]

finally. Someone gets it.

Yeah I don't get it.....

Mathematically sure...

Your %'s are based off bookies where the line moves based off of how many people are betting on any given team... (is that right? Haven't seen a sports betting movie in a while ) So a Pit fan isn't going to bet for say the Rangers even though he knows that Pit has goalie issues.

Things that aren't taken into account ....
Pit... MAF... chokes in playoffs ...

St.Louis... just can't finish, St.Louis fans "believe" in their team and don't want to accept reality and will still place bets on St.Louis.

Sharks.... good team.... history tells us they have a strong probability of choking....

Ducks... about a 0% chance of making it by the Kings and Hawks with their 2 rookie goalies and a defense that Carter man-handles.

Bos... Good chance of winning if they can get by the Pygmy's of the North.

Your numbers are just estimates and lack correction factors for serious problems. (Joe's leadership issues) So betting on who is going to win the cup I'd go with 1 of the 2 teams that have been dominate over the last 3 years....

I just don't like when someone gets out a math book and starts trying to throw out numbers to make a point and they forget that their numbers are just estimates and leave out major points in order to simplify the math so the problem can actually be solved.

 

[Captain Mittens*]

finally. Someone gets it.

You DO realize that what he posted actually works against what you were attempting to argue

 

[Ron*]

Yeah I don't get it.....

I just don't like when someone gets out a math book and starts trying to throw out numbers to make a point and they forget that their numbers are just estimates and leave out major points in order to simplify the math so the problem can actually be solved.

You just don't get pure genius. Calirose's numbers cannot be disputed.

 

[Buddy The Elf]

So what kinda range are we talking about here? Remember the topic of range and the math conversation that ensued. This is getting close to that level.

EDIT: If I remember correctly, that was related to Patrick O'Sullivan's contract extension.

 

[Chruceg]

So what kinda range are we talking about here? Remember the topic of range and the math conversation that ensued. This is getting close to that level.

EDIT: If I remember correctly, that was related to Patrick O'Sullivan's contract extension.

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Well PLAYED!!!! I remember the range debate between Squid, Diehard, and I think Herby. The most non-sensical diatribe this board has ever seen. But it was definitely about what RANGE of points we would be in during 10-11(?). Epic thread was epic.

 

[Chruceg]

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Well PLAYED!!!! I remember the range debate between Squid, Diehard, and I think Herby. The most non-sensical diatribe this board has ever seen. But it was definitely about what RANGE of points we would be in during 10-11(?). Epic thread was epic.

Sorry it was not Herby it was Tikkanen ... find the thread here. Starts with post 227. It was about the 08-09 season.

PS - For those who are new here Squidward changed his name to Captain Ron who is NOT the Ron that is on here now. So when reading that nonsense just remember Captain Ron = Squidward.

 

[Captain Mittens*]

SquidRon could defintely argue. sometimes I think he argued even though he knew he was wrong.
Maybe he reregistered as CaliRose


The best part of that thread

Kings17 to Squidward

I used to think arguing with you was pointless, now I know.

x 1,000,000