I feel that Matthews and Marner have developed and matured to the point of where they'll be able to perform under pressure. Their overall performance this season has transcended to new heights that we've not seen before from them.
When it comes to our second, third and forth lines, then that becomes a little bit more of a question mark for me. Tavares barely has more goals than Bunting who makes 1/11th the amount of money he makes. His point production is a point per game, but his overall performance as a whole this season has dropped considerably. He will have stretches where he looks good and performs well, but for even longer stretches he will look sluggish, unable to make any plays with the puck in the offensive zone, lost puck battles and just look lost out there. Watch him throughout the course of a game. When he hits the offensive zone, he struggles to keep the puck and make plays. He's strong on the boards, but still struggles as a whole.
Nylander is what he is, lazy, uninspired, only plays whenever he feels like it. He's proven after 6-7 years that he has no desire or care to change his mindset. He'll look good for a few games, then go back to coasting, not back-checking, making lazy plays, not working hard to get loose pucks, disengaged, that's who he is, through and through. A very talented player, a 60+ point forward that could easily be an 80-90 point player if he put forth the effort on a regular basis. He might be Nylander from the playoffs last season or he might be Mr. invisible, no one knows but him.
Players like Mikheyev, Engvall, Kerfoot, Spezza, Simmonds, Blackwell are always sporadic when it comes to secondary offense. While their performances from some of them have improved tenfold this season, that doesn't mean it'll translate into secondary offense in the playoffs.
Spezza has been horrible for a number of months. He's finally looking his age. He may turn it up a bit in the playoffs, but he shouldn't be relied upon for any substantial offense.
Simmonds has no offense of any kind to speak of, he's just physical and nothing more.
Mikheyev, Engvall, Blackwell, Kerfoot, guys like that will provide a huge spark on the penalty kill, they may even provide offense in that role. 4 of Mikheyev's goals are on the penalty kill.
Ondrej Kase could easily provide secondary offense if he's healthy and actually plays. He has missed 20 some odd games and still isn't far off 20 goals. Shame that he plays the way he does, he'll continue to miss games that way, so he's unreliable in that sense.
Bunting isn't going to provide top notch offense in terms of goal production. He's a very streaky player in that regard. He does fight hard for the pucks, works his ass off, isn't afraid to get in front of the net and draws a lot of penalties based on just how he plays. Love his style, we need that in the playoffs.
Our defense is better than last season. Giordano is a nice calming presence, makes good quick and safe plays. Is good in front of the net and has played well with Lillijgren.
It's Holl and Muzzin that are the question marks for me. Then two are a shit show more often than they are anything else. That is multiplied whenever they play together. So, as long as Keefe limits their ice time to the third line or healthy scratch for Holl, then it should be okay. If not, expect an extra goal or two against a game if they play together or get top line minutes.
Campbell is capable of providing .910 to .920% goaltending in the post-season, he did it last season. The problem with assuming that is that since December 15th, outside of maybe I'd say 5 games, he's been under .900% in every other single game since then. Ranging from .830 to .890 and well over 4 GAA+ in many of those outings. Whether or not any of that can be attributed to his ribs isn't important to me. It's Campbell's confidence that questions my confidence in him. He's a nice guy, loves his team mates, loves playing in Toronto, loves performing well, but his confidence is awful the last 4 months. I can't count how many times a game he constantly looks behind him when he's made a save. His confidence is in the shitter right now. I'm sure many will question how I could possibly know that or that I may be wrong and I could be, but it hasn't been proven to me otherwise yet. He is the BIGGEST question mark and concern for me heading into the playoffs.
If Campbell gets injured or has a bad game, it's lights out, game over.
Kallgren, with 10 games played in his career is sporting a dismal .899% and nearly 3GAA. He's not ready for that pressure. Teams will be even harder to play against, tougher to make saves on. If Kallgren is our goaltender in the playoffs, it's over before it even started... it JUST is.
Even if Campbell is healthy, it still may not be good enough.
Toronto's team save percentage has hovered at 31st for at least 93% of the time since December 15th to now. If that doesn't raise your eyebrows, then you have confidence, congratulations, I hope you enjoy the playoffs.
I have no confidence due to our goaltending. I've said it many times over the last four months. Many will say I'm being too critical or making assumptions. Maybe, but my assumptions are based on facts of what has transpired since December 15th.
My lack of excitement or positivity does not stem from past playoff failures. This season, this version of the Leafs has NOTHING to do with the Leafs of last season, or the one before that, etc.
It's a new season, my doubts are based on what's happening THIS season only.
I hope they do well and I hope they prove me wrong. I just don't think they have the goaltending to beat teams that have elite goaltending like Tampa Bay. Maybe if they face Florida instead of Tampa, as their goaltending is pretty suspect at best.
So, it's a combination of who they face in the first round and if Jack Campbell can A. stay healthy and B. perform at LEAST average or above.
Haven't had average goaltending on a consistent basis since November, don't even know what it looks like. It looks kind of like Campbell's two wins in a row from a week or so ago. I want that version of Jack Campbell, not any other one.