Guffman discovers new Advanced Stat

[Guffman]

Hey guys, Guffman here.

I have been accused of being a caveman on my team forum because I don’t embrace a lot of these so-called advanced stats like Corsi. After much deliberation, I realized that advanced stats ARE the way of the future but the current advanced stats just are not advanced enough.

After months of careful study, I have come up with something called Goal Differential (aka The Guffman). Mere weeks after I released it privately, it is being quoted by the hockey elite.

How Goal Differential works is you takes goals scored and subtract goals against. The amazing thing about this calculation is that you can apply it at a game level as well as a longer duration of time.

Did you know that there is a 100% correlation between goal differential and winning % in any game you want to pick out? IT’S TRUE!

In the latest 31 Thoughts, arguably the best coach out there, Mike Babcock said this:

Earlier in his tenure, I asked Mike Babcock what he considers the most important statistic. Without hesitation, he replied, “Goal differential.”

Is there something to this madness? Let’s take a look at the current standings.

The top 8 seeded teams in the east also have the top eight goal differential in the conference. Is this an aberation? Let’s check out the west.

The top 8 seeded teams in the west ALSO have the top eight goal differential in their conference.

You know what guys? I think it’s safe to say, as proved out by stats, the goal differential is THE most important stat, whether you look at it at a game basis or overall for the entire season.

Click to read more...

 

[Bobby Terrance]

Cool.

 

[DistantThunderRep]

14/10, would read again.

 

[Tasteless Beaver]

Next you'll tell us that the team with the most goals in a game is likelier to that game, too.

 

[George Clooney]

Hi Guffman,

As a long time fan, I always wanted to ask you your opinion on + and -

 

[hamzarocks]

Who the fook is guffman

 

[Vertain]

I never did understand these advanced stats too well; so let me see if I got this.

If Team A scores more goals then Team B, they win the game? (descriptive?)

If Team A scores more goals in the future then Team B, they win the game? predictive?)

Can you graph this out to help explain it?

 

[Mr Tadakichi]

Let's talk about OP's avatar instead.

 

[dubey]

This ain't it chief

 

[DistantThunderRep]

Mr Guffman, how does this stat prove Matthews is generational? If it can not, you might have to revisit the whole thing.

 

[Bear of Bad News]

Closed.