playasRus
Registered User
- Mar 21, 2009
- 9,292
- 2,038
Would be weird to get any of these guys to replace Chabot in 4 years when he'll be 29 yo, in his prime, most of his salary paid off, still has 2 prime years left at a reasonable AAV (in 1-2 years the going rate for a top pairing D will be 10M+ as it alreayd basically is.
Werensky, Jones, McAvoy, Fox, Nurse, Josi, Hamilton, Makar all make >9M on 8 year contracts basically.
Pietrangelo, OEL, Burns, Trouba, Carlsson, Hedman, Ekblad all make >8M and the only reason they're not in that 10M range is eithe rbecause they signed 3-4 years ago when the cap was 79M, or they signed as 30+ year olds.
From a monetary perspective, it makes no sense to consider trading Chabot in 4 years as he'll still be in his prime and likely paid less than most top 1-2 D by then.
In 5 years if you don't see the possibility of extending him, then i coulud see us do a re-tool/rebuild for a haul.
All these names, Chychryn, Marino, Burns, Weegar, are also older or the same age as Chabot - so in 4 years, they'll need just as much replacement. Chychryn is the only that's a year younger, but again, his contract ends in 3 years, and he'll need a bigger contract than Chabot already has.
I don't know if there's any data to back that up but from a points perspective alone, he'd have to score 35, closer to 40 points this (his rookie) season, whilst on the 3rd line with no hope on the PP, coming off a major injury with loss development, to command 4-5M let alone on a bridge.
He might get 4-5M on a 5-6 year term contract a la Batherson but still requires a hint of a 50 pt season. He projects to likely get a 2.5-3M bridge at this rate assuming he production is in that 30 pt +/- 5 pts range.
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