I posted my piece on Leafs vs Panthers but I add this.
I will ask this question. In 2023 the Leafs lost to the Panthers, caught off guard really. They lost in 5 games, 4 of the games were decided by a goal, two of the games in OT. It wasn't nearly as dominating a victory as people suggest. I watched every game.
Now, compare those teams and ask yourself "which of the two teams has improved the most and/or is most different"?
Leafs have a new coach, new system, new approach, a revamped back end, a new goalie (their biggest difference), a few tweaks up front to play this different game.
Did the Panthers improve from that time to now? If so, was it more than the Leafs that fans would expect an improvement of 4 games by 1 goal difference, 2 wins in OT?
I'm not suggesting the Leafs are the favourites and I understand the doubters as I am one as well. There are many approaches that I would take to improve Leafs chances. Leafs could rise to being the underdog and if they can match Floridas emotion, this series can be won by the Leafs no question.
They wont be as unprepared in this series as 2023 and Leafs definitely lost goalie vs goalie in 2023.