NHL Draft lottery race II - Bruins locked into 5th before ping pong balls.

[Bruin4]

BruinsNetwork use to post here, too bad he doesn't anymore,because he has some very-good takes,

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]

60% of the time, we're either drafting 1st, or no worse than 5th.

You’re missing the point but ok.

 

[goldenblack]

Assuming we finish fourth, the only way to look at it is we get the sixth pick. Anything above that is us moving up. It’s the way the probabilities steer it.

And finishing sixth is fantastic.

It is not. Not 60% of the time. The odds presently favor us in the 1-5 range.

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]

It is not. Not 60% of the time. The odds presently favor us in the 1-5 range.

Again, you’re missing the point of what I said.

 

[Jorah Marshmont]

Philly gets a point, bruins lose in regulation, and we can all go back to hoping for a win on shirts off their back night

 

[goldenblack]

I mean, ok? You can explain.

Because really nobody should assume we have the 6th pick. It would be against the odds to fall to it.

 

[NeelyDan]

Assuming we finish fourth, the only way to look at it is we get the sixth pick. Anything above that is us moving up. It’s the way the probabilities steer it.

And finishing sixth is fantastic.

This really deflated my excitement lol

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]

I mean, ok? You can explain.

Because really nobody should assume we have the 6th pick. It would be against the odds to fall to it.

On lottery night when we see the teams revealed, I’m assuming we are the sixth pick. We have a 66% chance of being 5th or 6th. So if we end up 5th or higher I am looking at it as a win. I’m aware it’s only a 21% chance if sixth. It’s only a 15.4% chance of staying at 4.

 

[Bruin4]

I mean, ok? You can explain.

Because really nobody should assume we have the 6th pick. It would be against the odds to fall to it.

At worst we would get the 6th pick at best we can win the lottery, but if we expect the 6th and end up higher its a win. Is what I believe he's saying.

Of course thats with the Bruins losing one of their last two and Philly getting a point by seasons end.

 

[NeelyDan]

God I don’t want 6th

 

[DiggityDog]

This really deflated my excitement lol

It’s the absolute worse we could do in that scenario. I would love the highest possible, but I look at it like we are getting a quality player regardless.

 

[goldenblack]

God I don’t want 6th

odds are we don't get it

Happens 21% of the time

Staying 5th is 45%


Guys, 79% of the time, we're 5th or better

 

[DominicT]

God I don’t want 6th

Might be the safest pick.

Assuming the top 6 is set in the draft rankings, let the other teams decide who to pick and you take the one that is left over.

Then we don't have to spend the next 10 years reading about who they should have selected.

 

[Guelph Bruin]

I'm wondering internally where they have Martone on their rankings past the obvious 1st three (Schaefer, Hagens and Misa) ....sure would be a model Bruin if we had 4th ...do they skip over him to select Fondue or the Destroyer given they are still available at our pick? ...I'm getting a head start on nicknames

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]

Might be the safest pick.

Assuming the top 6 is set in the draft rankings, let the other teams decide who to pick and you take the one that is left over.

Then we don't have to spend the next 10 years reading about who they should have selected.

lol right. “Should have drafted McQueen. Should have drafted Eklund” etc etc.

 

[22Brad Park]

Bruins will be the one moving up come draft day. Staying positive

 

[Gee Wally]

Might be the safest pick.

Assuming the top 6 is set in the draft rankings, let the other teams decide who to pick and you take the one that is left over.

Then we don't have to spend the next 10 years reading about who they should have selected.

That’ll probably happen anyway.

 

[NeelyDan]

The everlasting low-brow brute in me is really drawn to Porter Martone but the need for a high end C trumps nearly all

 

[since76]

Let’s say bruins got choice 6 and the one of top 6 left is Desnoyers
Habs nation get wet when they think of him
If they offer choice 16-17-40-49
That would give bruins 6 choices in first 60 !
You do it ???

 

[DiggityDog]

That’ll probably happen anyway.

View attachment 1012872

Death, taxes, …

 

[MarchysNoseKnows]

Let’s say bruins got choice 6 and the one of top 6 left is Desnoyers
Habs nation get wet when they think of him
If they offer choice 16-17-40-49
That would give bruins 6 choices in first 60 !
You do it ???

Nope

 

[RiverbottomChuck]

Come on Jacobs! Say give us #2 or no more ice cream at NHL games.

 

[Bruinfanatic]

So if they finish 4th what are the odds of moving to 1st

 

[22Brad Park]

So if they finish 4th what are the odds of moving to 1st

 

[Bruin4]

Let’s say bruins got choice 6 and the one of top 6 left is Desnoyers
Habs nation get wet when they think of him
If they offer choice 16-17-40-49
That would give bruins 6 choices in first 60 !
You do it ???

No, only because I think its a huge drop off at those picks and it'd be fun to watch him tear up the Habs for years to come.