I was bored this morning and ran some TOI numbers for top picks over the last 15 years. This is 1 & 2 OA forwards in their rookie years. Some general observations:
- Kakko and Lafreniere are towards the low end of the spectrum on both total / PP TOI relative to other players picked where they were picked.
- There are likely many contributing factors to this - their abilities at 19 relative to other top picks, the position depth ahead of them on the NYR relative to other teams on this list, the NYR management/coaching philosophy regarding prospect development, and the league as a whole getting faster and more skilled.
- The most optimistic rationale for Lafreniere/Kakko ranking low on this list would be to look at Tyler Seguin. He developed fine despite low TOI in his rookie year. The question I would pose is, would have have followed the same trajectory in Boston or did the change of scenery pay off? I would also challenge that the 2010-11 Bruins who won the Stanley Cup probably have more of a leg to stand on in terms of giving Seguin a short leash than the playoff bubble 2020-21 NYR.
My 2 cents: Objectively, they are getting less ice time than top picks usually get. Yes, part of this is undoubtedly the unique situation they find themselves in...being drafted by a team that has a lot of talent on the wings during an odd pandemic season. But they NYR ultimately have to own this. They are either explicitly or implicitly
choosing this path...
a path that is materially different than most teams choose to take. It sure better work.
[TABLE="class: brtb_item_table"][TBODY][TR][TD="align: center"]
Rank
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Player
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Rookie Year
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Age
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Total Avg TOI
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
1
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Eichel
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2015-16
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19:07
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
2
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
McDavid
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2015-16
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
18:53
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
3
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Landeskog
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2011-12
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
18:37
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
4
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
P Kane
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2007-08
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
18:22
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
5
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Hall
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2010-11
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
18:13
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
6
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Tavares
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2009-10
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
18:00
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
7
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Laine
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2016-17
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
17:55
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
8
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
RNH
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2011-12
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
17:37
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
9
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Matthews
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2016-17
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
17:37
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
10
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
MacKinnon
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2013-14
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
17:20
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
11
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Barkov
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2013-14
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
17:06
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
12
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Reinhart
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2015-16
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
20
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
16:51
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
13
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Hischier
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2017-18
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
16:18
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
14
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
J Hughes
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2019-20
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
15:52
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
15
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
J Staal
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2006-07
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
14:56
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
16
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Stamkos
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2008-09
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
14:56
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
17
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Svechnikov
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2018-19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
14:39
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
18
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Yakupov
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2012-13
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
14:34
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Kakko
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2019-20
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
14:17
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
20
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Lafreniere
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2020-21
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
13:57
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
21
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Patrick
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2017-18
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
13:44
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
22
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
JVR
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2009-10
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
21
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
12:57
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
23
[/TD][TD="align: center"]
Seguin
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2010-11
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
12:13
[/TD][/TR][/TBODY][/TABLE]
[TABLE="class: brtb_item_table"][TBODY][TR][TD="align: center"]
Rank
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Player
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Rookie Year
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Age
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
PP Avg TOI
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
1
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Tavares
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2009-10
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
4:08
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
2
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
P Kane
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2007-08
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
3:57
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
3
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
J Hughes
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2019-20
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
3:11
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
4
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Eichel
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2015-16
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
3:02
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
5
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
RNH
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2011-12
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
3:01
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
6
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
McDavid
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2015-16
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:58
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
7
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Reinhart
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2015-16
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
20
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:56
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
8
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Stamkos
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2008-09
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:50
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
9
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Hall
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2010-11
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:44
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
10
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Laine
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2016-17
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:44
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
11
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Barkov
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2013-14
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:40
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
12
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Yakupov
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2012-13
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:29
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
13
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Matthews
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2016-17
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:27
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
14
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
MacKinnon
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2013-14
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:20
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
15
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Kakko
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2019-20
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:14
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
16
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Landeskog
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2011-12
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:09
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
17
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Hischier
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2017-18
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2:03
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
18
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Svechnikov
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2018-19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
1:55
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Patrick
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2017-18
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
1:50
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
20
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Lafreniere
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2020-21
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
1:38
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
21
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
JVR
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2009-10
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
21
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
1:25
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
22
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
Seguin
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2010-11
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
1:22
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD="align: center"]
23
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
J Staal
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
2006-07
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
19
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]
1:12
[/TD][/TR][/TBODY][/TABLE]