Blue Jays Discussion: Confirmed: Vladimir Guerrero Jr is still good at baseball

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Pinto making his debut with Dunedin tonight.

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Looks like something I'd see in my softball league :laugh:

No clue why the catcher is throwing the ball to 3rd. The runner has already turned back towards 2nd. Get the ball to 2nd and you either have an easy out, or you force the runner on 3rd to run home where you probably get an easy out. Throwing to 3rd does absolutely nothing even if successful.

Even after going halfway initially off the bat how does the lead runner not score from 2nd? He must have thought it was caught and started back towards 2nd. Once it was down he still had plenty of time to score.
 
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Jays record based on who started the game

Berrios: 4-0
Manoah: 3-0
Stripling: 2-0
Gausman: 3-1
Ryu: 0-2
Kikuchi: 0-3

12-1 in games started by righties, 0-5 in games started by lefties.

Probably no correlation outside of the 2 lefties Ryu and Kikuchi not being great making losses more likely. Just thought it was a quirky stat
 

What I'm gathering from BNS's comment (and I agree wholeheartedly) is that while there are no stats to necessarily support the team to keep winning if they play like they are, they are in the middle of a gauntlet of a schedule with a 30 in 31 and a 20 in a row where the 20 is against Boston, Houston, Boston, Houston, NYY, Cleveland. The schedule gets significantly easier from this stretch (between quality of opponents and days off).

Another take away is that you shouldn't write off the Red Sox yet. They are 5 behind us in the division, but they are also 1-4 against Toronto so far, meaning that they are 6-7 in their other games. Edit: After looking, their schedule has been NYY, Detroit, Minny (1st in Central right now), Toronto, Tampa, Toronto.

The Yankees OTOH have already played 7 games against Baltimore and Detroit and had 2 off days
 
FWIW, Boston is currently a bottom 5 team in position player fWAR (dragged down significantly by Arroyo and Shaw) and pitcher fWAR.
 
What I'm gathering from BNS's comment (and I agree wholeheartedly) is that while there are no stats to necessarily support the team to keep winning if they play like they are, they are in the middle of a gauntlet of a schedule with a 30 in 31 and a 20 in a row where the 20 is against Boston, Houston, Boston, Houston, NYY, Cleveland. The schedule gets significantly easier from this stretch (between quality of opponents and days off).

Yup I'd even tack on the three series after it (albeit with two off days) - trips to NY/TB + Seattle at home. That is a hellacious stretch to start the season.

The stretch to finish the season on the other hand...38 games where you play exactly four on the road against playoff teams from last season.
 
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I always enjoy peaking in on former Jays. Today is Steven Matz. He has struggled early. He can’t seem to get people out with any consistency. He had a pretty decent year with the Jays. Is he worth 4 years and $44 M though.
 
I always enjoy peaking in on former Jays. Today is Steven Matz. He has struggled early. He can’t seem to get people out with any consistency. He had a pretty decent year with the Jays. Is he worth 4 years and $44 M though.

His underlying stats have actually been pretty solid. He is just being BABIP'd to death. He had that awful start against Pittsburgh where he gave up a million singles and a grand slam to Chavis. Solid for two starts, and then today against a tough lineup, more BABIP stuff. Currently at .471

If he keeps it up with his stuff, he should have some better luck ahead
 
Comeback. Wins. Are the hallmark. Of championship. Teams. Yahoo.

His underlying stats have actually been pretty solid. He is just being BABIP'd to death.
I never understood this line of reasoning. "He's actually really good! He's just unlucky". People said the exact same thing about Pillar for years. He never hit much better than 270. So many grounders to third base.

Funny thing is the Jays haven't even seemed like they're firing on all cylinders yet

They're not. Not even close. No Hernandez. Jansen looked like he was figuring things out. Kirk has been getting a lot of tap hits. Bichette tends to start slow...until recently. Bullpen still has a few kinks to work out.

Jays record based on who started the game

Berrios: 4-0
Manoah: 3-0
Stripling: 2-0
Gausman: 3-1
Ryu: 0-2
Kikuchi: 0-3

I can't believe there were some people telling me Ryu and Kikuchi were much more likely to be more useful pitchers than Stripling, heh.
 
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Comeback. Wins. Are the hallmark. Of championship. Teams. Yahoo.


I never understood this line of reasoning. "He's actually really good! He's just unlucky". People said the exact same thing about Pillar for years. He never hit much better than 270. So many grounders to third base.



They're not. Not even close. No Hernandez. Jansen looked like he was figuring things out. Kirk has been getting a lot of tap hits. Bichette tends to start slow...until recently. Bullpen still has a few kinks to work out.



I can't believe there were some people telling me Ryu and Kikuchi were much more likely to be more useful pitchers than Stripling, heh.
A player with good underlying numbers will be good over long periods of time if they keep doing what they are doing.

Pillar (and Grichuk) have periods of good play but completely change their approach when they go into a slump.
 
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