GDT: Canes at Leaves

chaz4hockey

Old man but still a PP2 Candidate
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Jan 21, 2021
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Naples, FL
Tonight starts arguably our most difficult slate of games in the year. If we can win more than our fair share through the end of the month (6 of the 7 are top shelf difficult games), then our chances of finishing 1st in the Division are considerably higher.

Schedule comparison, Canes/Devils (sorry Sens fans, I didn't slot you as playoff material):

1679070759786.png
 

chaz4hockey

Old man but still a PP2 Candidate
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Jan 21, 2021
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Naples, FL
Another interesting stat: Leafs & Canes both have the same amount of PK & Penalty Kill opportunities. Top teams are not League leaders in penalty opportunity differential with Boston, Canes, Toronto, Kings, Devils, Wild, Oilers essentially neutral to slightly negative. Only our playoff "friends" in NY, Tampa and of course Pittsburgh buck the trend.

1679071685889.png
 

LakeLivin

Armchair Quarterback
Mar 11, 2016
5,126
15,126
North Carolina
Tonight starts arguably our most difficult slate of games in the year. If we can win more than our fair share through the end of the month (6 of the 7 are top shelf difficult games), then our chances of finishing 1st in the Division are considerably higher.

Schedule comparison, Canes/Devils (sorry Sens fans, I didn't slot you as playoff material):

View attachment 670696

True, Canes have a difficult stretch coming up. But there isn't a discrepancy in overall difficulty, only in distribution. Using your categories, both teams play 7 playoff teams and 3 fighting-for-playoff teams. A big difference is that Canes have 2 extra games to collect points, and both of those are against non-playoff teams.

If the Canes finish 2nd it won't be because of the schedule, imo.
 

chaz4hockey

Old man but still a PP2 Candidate
Sponsor
Jan 21, 2021
8,398
17,879
Naples, FL
True, Canes have a difficult stretch coming up. But there isn't a discrepancy in overall difficulty, only in distribution. Using your categories, both teams play 7 playoff teams and 3 fighting-for-playoff teams. A big difference is that Canes have 2 extra games to collect points, and both of those are against non-playoff teams.

If the Canes finish 2nd it won't be because of the schedule, imo.
"If we can win more than our fair share through the end of the month (6 of the 7 are top shelf difficult games), then our chances of finishing 1st in the Division are considerably higher."

This was pretty clear....our tougher ones are now and if we can move through them successfully we are positioned nicely.
 

LakeLivin

Armchair Quarterback
Mar 11, 2016
5,126
15,126
North Carolina
"If we can win more than our fair share through the end of the month (6 of the 7 are top shelf difficult games), then our chances of finishing 1st in the Division are considerably higher."

This was pretty clear....our tougher ones are now and if we can move through them successfully we are positioned nicely.
Mine was a general assessment of the situation more so than disagreeing with anything in your post. But I replied to your post in order to include the schedule and difficulty categories you listed.

edit: having said all that, I'm not counting points just because a game is against "lesser" teams. Seems we've been bitten in the ass by a number of bottom dwellers already this season.
 

A Star is Burns

Formerly Azor Aho
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Dec 6, 2011
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People worry about the schedule too much. Even with the Svech injury, they'll likely win plenty of games cause that's what they do. They'll lose a few to good teams and people will freak out. They'll lose a few to bad teams and people will freak out. And they'll still probably win the division and people will freak out.
 

Tryamw

Loyal Fan of Jerks
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Nov 2, 2016
41,092
79,233
Durham
Tonight starts arguably our most difficult slate of games in the year. If we can win more than our fair share through the end of the month (6 of the 7 are top shelf difficult games), then our chances of finishing 1st in the Division are considerably higher.

Schedule comparison, Canes/Devils (sorry Sens fans, I didn't slot you as playoff material):

View attachment 670696
Someday I can read this
 

Tryamw

Loyal Fan of Jerks
Sponsor
Nov 2, 2016
41,092
79,233
Durham
People worry about the schedule too much. Even with the Svech injury, they'll likely win plenty of games cause that's what they do. They'll lose a few to good teams and people will freak out. They'll lose a few to bad teams and people will freak out. And they'll still probably win the division and people will freak out.
I am not Freakazoid. I do not freak out. Instead I panic in the moment
 

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