Can Igor Shesterkin get the Rangers into the playoffs considering how he has played?

[romba]

Minor pet peeve. I wish polls didn't have cop out choices like the 3rd one here.

And if they do, they should be labeled 'cop out choice' or 'I have difficulty with commitment'

 

[Edge]

The Rangers would need to win about 18 of the next 27 games to be around the wild card race. I don't think it's out of the question. Depends what team shows up. Last night they played very well. Could go on a nice run if they play Shesty and have the same style of play for a bit. Hamburgler like final 20 games in the works!

Just for a point of reference, 18 out of 27 games would mean they won 66 percent of the games they played.

That mark would eclipse the pace set by every team in the NHL thus far this season --- including Tampa, Washington and Boston. No one has won more than 64 percent of their games thus far.

 

[CasusBelli]

Well finish 4-6 points short of a WC spot — assuming we don’t sell key assets — with Igor. Without him? Try 10-12 points.

 

[Fireonk]

Minor pet peeve. I wish polls didn't have cop out choices like the 3rd one here.

The problem is the wording of the poll. Can he? Sure. Do I think he will? No.

So to answer the actual question of the poll I would vote yes. But to answer what I think is the intention of the poll I would vote no.

I am choosing to not vote instead of answering the 3rd choice, but I am guessing thats why most would answer that way.

 

[SA16]

Just for a point of reference, 18 out of 27 games would mean they won 66 percent of the games they played.

That mark would eclipse the pace set by every team in the NHL thus far this season --- including Tampa, Washington and Boston. No one has won more than 64 percent of their games thus far.

The likelihood of winning 66% of your games over a 27 game sample is much higher than the likelihood of winning 66% of your games over a 55ish game sample.

 

[Edge]

The likelihood of winning 66% of your games over a 27 game sample is much higher than the likelihood of winning 66% of your games over a 55ish game sample.

The likelihood of THIS team winning 66 percent of its games of a 27 game sample is what I'm focused on. And I would not give that that very good odds at all.

 

[Greg02]

If you're doing calculations of what our record needs to bee to get into the playoffs, remember that Shesterkin won't be starting every game.

 

[Maximus]

Well finish 4-6 points short of a WC spot — assuming we don’t sell key assets — with Igor. Without him? Try 10-12 points.

And that would be just fine with me if we came up short as to me that would be the best of both worlds.

Maybe I’m on an island here thinking this but Rangers falling just short would mean that the team would have been playing important March hockey games while at same time all the young kids will get to experience the difference in intensity that games in March are like versus the rest of the year.

To me this year was all about taking the next step in the rebuild and the kids getting their feet wet and begin their development.

This year was never about playoffs but if the kids can play in games that will feel like playoff games in March all the better and it will serve them better going forward so that when the Rangers are ready to be a playoff team which hopefully will be next year.

What’s nice, it won’t be a shock to them how much more intense the games are seeing they would have already gone thru it hence the best of both worlds feeling I have even if we don’t make playoffs which very very likely will be the way the season ends for us.

 

[SA16]

The likelihood of THIS team winning 66 percent of its games of a 27 game sample is what I'm focused on. And I would not give that that very good odds at all.

Yes and I am saying using the league as a whole to say "No team has won more than 64% of their games all year" has nothing to do with anything.

The probability of a .500 team winning 18+ out of 27 is ~6%. The probability for the same team to win 36+ out of 54 drops way down to 1%. Comparatively in only 3 games the chance is 50%.

 

[Zibanejbread]

Nope

 

[EdJovanovski]

Aren’t a lot of our remaining games against our own division too? That would be a positive for playoff hopes as every win for us is also a loss for them. And we have a pretty good record against the Metro.
I think if we started Shesterkin to begin the season, we’re in the playoffs.

 

[EdJovanovski]

Just for a point of reference, 18 out of 27 games would mean they won 66 percent of the games they played.

That mark would eclipse the pace set by every team in the NHL thus far this season --- including Tampa, Washington and Boston. No one has won more than 64 percent of their games thus far.

Our record with Shesterkin is better than Tampa, Washington & Boston’s record

 

[duhmetreE]

The likelihood of THIS team winning 66 percent of its games of a 27 game sample is what I'm focused on. And I would not give that that very good odds at all.

You're right. That's too low. Shesty wins 90% of his games

Going 17-10 is not that unlikely if he maintains this level of play. We're essentially in every game but unlike Lundqvist-era, we have a potent offense/game-changers.

It all depends on what is done at the deadline and who's moved.

 

[Brief Candle]

It'll take a lot more than him to get us into the play offs. He's amazing thus far, but we're pretty far behind.

 

[Edge]

Yes and I am saying using the league as a whole to say "No team has won more than 64% of their games all year" has nothing to do with anything.

The probability of a .500 team winning 18+ out of 27 is ~6%. The probability for the same team to win 36+ out of 54 drops way down to 1%. Comparatively in only 3 games the chance is 50%.

Oh for Chrissakes.

Okay fine, there's a 6 percent chance the Rangers can win 66 percent of their games, which would mean the Rangers played better than any team has played so far this season, not that it has any bearing on anything at all, and if they can do that, they can possibly be in the hunt for a wildcard spot, which estimates say would require about 98 points.

Did I cover enough f***ing bases?

 

[BBKers]

Magic number is seemingly around 96 (or 97) this season. We have 60 points. 36 or 37 points left to get. 27 games left. 18-9. Possible but very improbable.

 

[NCRanger]

If it was a "normal" season, most definitely. A hot stretch could put the team on pace for 94 points, which is usually good enough for the playoffs. With the games in hand, they're not as far back as one might think.

Unfortunately, this season, it's possible a team with 97-98 points in the East misses, which is a joke.

 

[MetalJaws]

Just for a point of reference, 18 out of 27 games would mean they won 66 percent of the games they played.

That mark would eclipse the pace set by every team in the NHL thus far this season --- including Tampa, Washington and Boston. No one has won more than 64 percent of their games thus far.

I was more or less just aiming for that 96 point "Magic Number" to make it interesting for the Wild Card Race. Last year wild cards were at 98. Likely to be around that #. It's possible, just not probable.

 

[Kovalev27]

I brought this up couple days ago that it wouldn’t surprise me if he got them close.

When I posted it there were 28 games left. I figured if Quinn were serious he’d leave 8 for the back ups and 20 for Christerkin

assuming back ups play .500 hockey and get us 8 pts in those 8 games, Igor would need to go 16-4 to get us to 98 pts and a playoff spot.

he’s 6-1 right now. He won last night so he’s gotta go 15-4.

of course we have zero idea what we look like in the next 2 weeks.

however

is he going to lose 4 of his next 19 games? I wouldn’t put money against him

 

[Kovalev27]

In fact Gun to my head if I had to choose I’d bet our backups would struggle to pick up 8 pts in 8 games before I’d bet against Shesterkin losing 4 of his next 19

 

[SA16]

Oh for Chrissakes.

Okay fine, there's a 6 percent chance the Rangers can win 66 percent of their games, which would mean the Rangers played better than any team has played so far this season, not that it has any bearing on anything at all, and if they can do that, they can possibly be in the hunt for a wildcard spot, which estimates say would require about 98 points.

Did I cover enough ****ing bases?

Actually no.

 

[Edge]

Actually no.

Gimme a few minutes to work in some more qualifiers then.

This will just take a a few minutes, there's coffee and muffins on the table in the corner.

 

[SA16]

Gimme a few minutes to work in some more qualifiers then.

This will just take a a few minutes, there's coffee and muffins on the table in the corner.

Just take out the "so far this season" comment since it is extremely misleading. Would it make any sense if you took it down to one game and said "There is a 50% chance the Rangers can win 100% of their next one games and if they win 100% of game's that's better than anyone else has played all season!"? It's the same thing just 27 games, instead of one game, instead of 55 games.

Either way them making the playoffs now is unlikely but it is nowhere near as unlikely as that phrase makes it seem where you're saying they have to do something no team has done all year. It's not true. I bet there have been several instances this year in a 27 game rolling sample where a team won >64% of games.

 

[Brooklyn Rangers Fan]

Gimme a few minutes to work in some more qualifiers then.

This will just take a a few minutes, there's coffee and muffins on the table in the corner.

What kind of muffins?

 

[Edge]

Just take out the "so far this season" comment since it is extremely misleading. Would it make any sense if you took it down to one game and said "There is a 50% chance the Rangers can win 100% of their next one games and if they win 100% of game's that's better than anyone else has played all season!"? It's the same thing just 27 games, instead of one game, instead of 55 games.

I think in a world full of arguments about various topics on here, this is probably getting close to the "are you serious?" category.