I disagree.
He put up a lot of points last year at the NTDP as one of their best scorers. That’s great and all. It earned him a slot as a first round pick, but this year he’s taken it to a completely different level. He was one of the leading scorers at the World Juniors and is one of the leading scorers in the NCAA. That’s not expected of anyone other than the top 5-10 picks in their 18 year old year.
Is it true that he still will have to prove his game will translate to the NHL? Yes, but I don’t think anyone was expecting him to score to the degree he has this year. This is elite level scoring for a prospect of any draft range, not 23OA scoring.
The WJC part I agree with. I didn't expect him to have the impact he did as an underager. Same with Smith.
The NCAA part I don't. I think he's exceeding expectations, but not
drastically as I said, which is the way some are reacting in this thread as it drives their evaluation of the BC line. Not saying that's you, either. I am not shocked at all that he's comfortably over a PPG, even if I would have bet the under on his actual mark.
Perreault had 42 points (21g, 21a) in 22 college games as a U18, a 1.91 clip. Now some consideration needs to be extended to the fact that the NTDP games don't mean as much to NCAA teams so there is some inflation, but equal consideration needs to be given to the fact that he's also now older, as are his high end linemates who he has chemistry with, and his other teammates are better now too, so that offsets some of the inflation.
He's always been a points machine. He put up a lot of points against NCAA competition as a U18. He was stepping into a prime opportunity on BC. And the BC freshman line is loaded with a ton of chemistry. He is a top 10 talent skill wise where his deficiencies were not expected to be big issues at the college level. The signals were heavily in favor of him having a huge impact as a freshman.