I agree to a degree. Muzzin was pedigree and important playoff minutes accumulated. Montour the age and years of control. Still think if the deals were made in years past, they would have gone for more. But I wouldn’t be surprised if the shrinking we’re seeing in the returns in the trade markets are here for good. The jury is out, it’s becoming more and more like football, 1st and 2nd rounders need to become steady solid Pros. The league is going younger, the kids all trained and ready to play the style and pace the game is trending. Rental prices and guys who have 1 or 2 years remaining are gonna keep going down, especially when a lot of these good players have some sort of trade protection, building in a ceiling the buyers get to play off from the drop. I mean I had feeling Kreider’s 11team no trade clause was gonna kill his value bc 11 teams is pretty much nixing out all the bad teams and teams that can’t recruit players that would pay a premium for him. So returns are gonna plummet for guys nearing UFA and values skyrocketing on 1st and 2nds going forward
Agreed, I too think we are seeing somewhat of a shift in value being placed on 1st round picks. Much of it as you are saying is based on the league just having more youth come up and that youth being at least somewhat cost controlled.
Mostly if I were the guy selling at a deadline, I'm expecting only a couple of 1sts to move for pure rentals, those rentals are going to be the players viewed as near or the best on the market for their position.
If I really want a 1st beyond that, I'd have to move someone good who at least has a year of term left, or a rental who would extend wherever he is being traded to, or take back some major cap hit, or be willing to add something else to that deal.
Which is pretty much what we have seen happen.
(Montour is a little different, he has a year left and will still be a RFA at that contracts end. He's 24. That should also return some sort of premium asset. In fact I kind of feel as if Buffalo underpaid and made a pretty darn nice trade there especially given he is a RD.)
I think Gorton probably figured all that out, which kind of begs to question, how does he maybe squeeze more out of the market. I was thinking he'd be able to take back cap dumps in the process, yet none of those really moved at the deadline either. Which I find as odd, but they did not.
Beyond cap dumps, that leads to conditional stuff being negotiated.
Which in my opinion is multifaceted, if the conditionals hit, hooray.
Yet even if not, until those conditions are known that leaves an avenue open for further communication with that team. I'd speculate that he and Tampa talked about the conditional 2nd/1st but nothing materialized. Now he can talk with Dallas should they want to extend Zucc and want to work something out beyond/besides that conditional 3rd/1st. Having those teams have some vested interest still in those conditions goes beyond just cold calling them. It helps keep him in the conversation(s) and maybe even more in the know about those teams, and maybe even other teams "wants and do not wants" just through those conversations.
To get back to Lemieux, not going to pretend I knew/know much about him, yet all the same, them gambling on someone who could maybe play the role of top 9 agitator seems like a fine gamble to me since without, the Rangers are going to go out every off-season and try to overpay for those players and the ones they find are going to end up on the 4th line or bottom pair when really they should be depth.
Why not see if they can get a young one who can grow with the team and maybe have a longer term effect. In the first game it seemed to have awakened Buch who not only played a tougher game and fought, but also had 5 shots on goal (only second time all season). If they can get him going by using Lemieux this trade means a ton more than it did before. A more engaged game by game Buch is worth way more than a slightly better return on a rental should it play out that way.
(Disclaimer: I know I've made light of intangible effects in the past, and that was almost always related to the player's talent level not matching up to more than what should be a depth level player, if this kid can be more than that, I see that as being a big difference.)