I think Gibson could be among the top 5-6 goalies in the league behind us. ANA has been rebuilding for a while, we get overly attached to our prospects as well I like them just as much as any Leafs fan but they could still be years and years away from making a difference. Id like to enjoy some winning soon especially before Matthews come to a close.
Im also down to scrap this offer all together and go after someone else that will help retain assets but Gibson just feels like a safer bet
He could be.. but he could also be the .904 goalie he's been the last 3 years....
Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying a hard no to acquiring Gibson, but it's a risk-reward thing considering how bad his contract is at his current level of play.
To give up a minimum of: 1st round pick, Robertson/Sandin, and Hirvonen is already a monumental ask that I just don't think the Leafs bite on. To give up those assets, plus remove a bunch of the upside with all the additional conditional picks included, simply doesn't make any sense.
With Gibson having 5 years left on his deal, conditional picks really don't make much sense at all give that you're not going to tie up conditions that last 3-4-5 years. Conditional picks only really work for guys that have 1-2 years left on their deal.
Ultimately, I think Gibson to Toronto makes a bit of sense given that there seems to be a fairly strong opinion that he's better than his numbers indicate, but at the end of the day, he's still a goalie, and because of the temperamental nature of goalies with contracts, their trade values are never really all that high. Nobody wanted to give up anything of value for Marc Andre Fleury coming off a Vezina with 1 year at $7m.
Yes, Gibson is younger and has term that a team might be able to successfully build around, but for a contending team that term also carries a ton of risk. If I'm the Leafs, I'd give up Robertson, Sandin, or Liljegren. I'd give up another prospect excluding Knies & Niemla. I'd give up Kerfoot and naturally Mrazek would be going the other way... but picks are a problem given how few of them the Leafs have. Perhaps if the Leafs are planning on moving Holl, Nylander or Muzzin, hat helps restock the pick pool a bit where you can include a pick; but the Leafs do need to keep some currency for future deals.