Player Discussion Alexis Lafrenière: Part II

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That doesn't change the fact that the greatest goal-scorer in NHL history wasn't a PPG player D+1. What more evidence do we need that wingers are slow burners?

Kravtsov hasn't broken .5 PPG in any pro league and you're convinced he'll be a better Panarin any day now so I know you get the concept here.
I just don’t get why it would be so, wing is the simplest position to play. Are all those wingers just worse players? Should we have taken Byfield or Stutzle instead of Laf? Zegras or Dach instead of Kakko? I know you’re the analytic guy so your looking at their stats and it may very well be true that wingers take longer but I’m asking why do you think that is? If there were 2 players of the exact same skill level and ones a winger and ones a Center, would the winger still take longer?

and Kravtsov is over 0.5PPG in career playoffs, the greatest of all time in KHL playoffs among U-21 players. But yes I agree I get the concept
 
Gaborik had 36 points his first year and his first PPG season was D+5. Kovalchuk played in Russia D+1 and didn't crack PPG until D+4. Nash had 39 points his rookie year and hit PPG D+3. You're seriously misremembering on those.

Kane and Ovechkin are zeroth ballot Hall of Famers. Lafreniere was never that. And FWIW Ovechkin also spent his D+1 in Russia because of the lockout and wasn't a PPG player in the KHL. So yeah, even f***ing Ovechkin.

scoring was much lower back then and there werent many ppg players in The early 2000’s prior to lockout. Kovalchuck was a beast right out of the gate but yes it was his d+1 year.

Nash led his team in scoring in the d+1 year and pitted 41 goals

gaborik had 67 pts in 78 games in d+1 year with 30 goals.

so yeah my point still stands

edit: kovy and nash led the league in Goals in their d+2 and d +1 years respectively.
 
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I just don’t get why it would be so, wing is the simplest position to play. Are all those wingers just worse players? Should we have taken Byfield or Stutzle instead of Laf? Zegras or Dach instead of Kakko? I know you’re the analytic guy so your looking at their stats and it may very well be true that wingers take longer but I’m asking why do you think that is? If there were 2 players of the exact same skill level and ones a winger and ones a Center, would the winger still take longer?

and Kravtsov is over 0.5PPG in career playoffs, the greatest of all time in KHL playoffs among U-21 players. But yes I agree I get the concept
Well, like I said, part of it is that most of the slam dunks are playing center from age 11, that's the culture.

Now if we're assuming close to equal talent, then we're getting into some hot takes but whatever.

I think the whole thing is overblown. I think the difference in difficulty is marginal at best. Most of that line of thinking comes from the idea that centers have all this defensive responsibility. Looking at defensive metrics, I don't see it. Most first line centers in the NHL couldn't point to the defensive zone if you showed them a picture of the ice.

I think centers get preferential treatment. They're worked with more closely and get more opportunities because there's this idea that they're better. I think wingers are told to just go out and score and the unique difficulties of playing that position at this level (as all positions have) are just not addressed and kind of up to the player to figure out.

Centers get refined at lower levels because they have "responsibility" and wingers run around. Laf was playing a video game in the Q. Kakko was just dangling guys in Finland. You can't just run around at this level. Nobody is talented enough to just treat it like PlayStation in the NHL, except maybe McDavid. They're learning tactical things now that centers learn at 15 and I think we assume that wingers don't need it. They do.
 
scoring was much lower back then and there werent many ppg players in The early 2000’s prior to lockout. Kovalchuck was a beast right out of the gate but yes it was his d+1 year.

Nash led his team in scoring in the d+1 year and pitted 41 goals

gaborik had 67 pts in 78 games in d+1 year with 30 goals.

so yeah my point still stands

edit: kovy and nash led the league in Goals in their d+2 and d +1 years respectively.
I think you're not understanding what D+1 is. Nash scored 17 goals D+1.
 
maybe i dont.
nash was drafted in 2002. His draft season 2002-2003 he scored 17 goals. The year after he scored 41.

isnt that his d+1?

like wouldnt this be lafreniere’s d+1 year?
Your D+1 is your rookie year. Your draft year is when you're about to be drafted.

Lafreniere has played two games of the season Nash scored 41 goals in.

I don't think Lafreniere is going to score 41 goals but the point being, most wingers (and we could argue over exceptions all day), are hitting their stride year 3-5. Most star centers are having their best year in year 2. Crosby's career high in points was at age 19. Toews was a 70-point player and captain of Blackhawks at 20.
 
Brayden Point had 40 in 66 at age 20 and he's wasn't even a high pick. Centers are consistently ahead of wingers the same age.
 
The only top 5 drafted wingers to step right in are Landeskog and Laine, and Laine sucks. Even Landeskog was a high-50's point player until D+8 when he became a PPG player.

Laine has played 352 games, 150 goals/123 assists and 273 points. Saying that Laine sucks is just straight up lying. See if Kakko or Laf can match those stats.

Last season he was horrendous, but before that he def didn't suck.
 
:laugh:
Your D+1 is your rookie year. Your draft year is when you're about to be drafted.

Lafreniere has played two games of the season Nash scored 41 goals in.

I don't think Lafreniere is going to score 41 goals but the point being, most wingers (and we could argue over exceptions all day), are hitting their stride year 3-5. Most star centers are having their best year in year 2. Crosby's career high in points was at age 19. Toews was a 70-point player and captain of Blackhawks at 20.


i like to do things differently.:laugh: But my point still stands as the years all align.

I do think that more of the “better” kids play center growing up or want to be a center. Could be why more “seem” to do better earlier.

i just dont buy that more wingers picked that high take longer. Some do, some dont.

anyway, im mot worried about either yet. Though i dont think their high end is as high as i thought it would be going into their respective drafts.
 
kinda crazy to me - this is an indictment on Panarin and Zib more than anything. Did you hear Oshie in the pregame yesterday talking about how he just wanted to help out Lapierre?

Can anyone imagine Zib or Panarin saying the same about Kakko or Laf? These guys should be helping them feel comfortable and guide them in finding a way to play their own game.

How about strome saying this? would that fit your criteria? skip to 5:50
 
Literally the only thing he does well is shoot. He's a much worse Zibanejad.

There is literally Matthews and Tkachuk from same draft who have more points. Most of the people from that draft dont even have 100 points. Laine has 150 goals.

He isn't going to be great two play player. He is sniper and if he can play 40g/+80 points seasons (and he has skill to do it) you can't say he sucks. He is only 23 after all with one bad season.

But enough of Laine.
 
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Brett Hull's shot, Brett Howden's everything else.
 
He may well be someone like Kakko who needs man strength to up his speed to acceptable levels and let him actually have a positive battle level at the NHL level. I think the big pain for everyone is for someone with his junior stats he's really not eye test impressive and is a lot more plodding 33 year old 3rd line winger than dynamic 1st overall.

Long term he may well be best served by playing through his uninspiring start to his career and a very gradual incline as he matures, while in the short term playing like a discount Sammy Blais is more effective and better for the 21-22 Rangers. Be interesting to see which gets favored.
 
Best game of the season last night, hopefully it carries over and is the start of his breakout season, we are going to need him to become that high-end forward sooner than later.
 
Last night could have gone so badly. I was POSITIVE that the Habs were scoring on that PP after Laf took that awful penalty. Not to be dramatic, but that could have triggered a downward spiral for this kid.

To have the game turn around the way it did is huge for us. We really need Laf playing with confidence and swagger and he needs points to start compiling for that to happen.
 
Last night could have gone so badly. I was POSITIVE that the Habs were scoring on that PP after Laf took that awful penalty. Not to be dramatic, but that could have triggered a downward spiral for this kid.

To have the game turn around the way it did is huge for us. We really need Laf playing with confidence and swagger and he needs points to start compiling for that to happen.

I too thought it was going to end badly. But fortunately it went our way. I don't see Laf as the type to go in a downward spiral after a couple bad games...but he definitely looked like a kid with a lot of weight off his shoulders in the post game presser. Happy for him.
 
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I too thought it was going to end badly. But fortunately it went our way. I don't see Laf as the type to go in a downward spiral after a couple bad games...but he definitely looked like a kid with a lot of weight off his shoulders in the post game presser. Happy for him.
He’s definitely a mentally tough kid, but that would have been a really rough situation in Montreal in front of his whole family like that. We are very lucky this turned out the way it did.
 
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