Speculation: A long run of wins is coming

[Bjornar Moxnes]

Vegas will be tired, but they will also be motivated after the loss.

I think we can beat Vegas. But I put the likelihood at 20%. They are a much better team than we are.

TBF VGK kinda didn't try against the Leafs, so I don't think they're that tired.

 

[Alex1234]

Bottom line is he didn't provide any better hockey than a replacement-level 750k goalie would have. That's a problem for an 8.25 mil goalie who we also spent a 1st round pick to get.

Aside from the goals, he let some very juicy rebounds in that game too.

Stolarz would have been perfectly fine and it leaves money for a Broberg type of player

 

[Gil Gunderson]

Stolarz would have been perfectly fine and it leaves money for a Broberg type of player

Even Alex Lyon the year before was a much better route to take than Korpisalo.

 

[BonHoonLayneCornell]

Even Alex Lyon the year before was a much better route to take than Korpisalo.

There are few contracts as predictably bad as Korpisalo's.

 

[PlayOn]

Stolarz would have been perfectly fine and it leaves money for a Broberg type of player

Stolarz was a free agent, not like we have a choice of any player we want.

 

[robsenz]

Famous last words

I did I was sorry.

 

[RickyLafleur]

My cat threw up this morning, that usually means a big win

bigly if true

 

[DueDiligence]

The Sens will go on a winning streak very soon and be solidly in a playoff spot by the end of December. They are far better than their record.

 

[Nova Stutzlia]

Something to consider:

The Sens have played 12 games against teams that are currently in a playoff position.
(10 teams once and Vegas twice)
That leaves only 7 games (12+7=19) against non-playoff teams.
So things aren't as bleak as they might seem.

 

[BigRig4]

Something to consider:

The Sens have played 12 games against teams that are currently in a playoff position.
(10 teams once and Vegas twice)
That leaves only 7 games (12+7=19) against non-playoff teams.
So things aren't as bleak as they might seem.

Half of teams make it so I don’t think that’s much more than a small deviation from what we could expect.

We’re looking at ~62% (12/19) instead of the usual ~52% (16/31).

 

[Nova Stutzlia]

Half of teams make it so I don’t think that’s much more than a small deviation from what we could expect.

We’re looking at ~62% (12/19) instead of the usual ~52% (16/31).

If you look at the standings you'll see they're right there in the mix

 

[BigRig4]

If you look at the standings you'll see they're right there in the mix

Yeah for sure. Only 4 points out, still lots of runway but it needs to turn around soon.

 

[Beech]

Yeah for sure. Only 4 points out, still lots of runway but it needs to turn around soon.

Per Hockey night in Canada/Sportsnet's Elliot Freedman: Any team that is 4 or more points out by game 10 onwards, is more or less out of it for good.

Do some digging, he has/had a X post out there and he repeated it on HNIC about 3 weeks ago.

He has been tracing this for some 15 years.

 

[BigRig4]

Per Hockey night in Canada/Sportsnet's Elliot Freedman: Any team that is 4 or more points out by game 10 onwards, is more or less out of it for good.

Do some digging, he has/had a X post out there and he repeated it on HNIC about 3 weeks ago.

He has been tracing this for some 15 years.

I’ve heard something similar, but with American thanksgiving being the benchmark. With the 1 point OTL now, it’s just so hard to catch up if you fall behind.

 

[Karterthadon]

It's 4 points out but EIGHT teams ahead of us for the final playoff spot. That's a lot.

 

[Norris4Norris]

This is one of those threads where if you're right then you become heralded as a great predictor.

But if they continue to lose, as they did last night, this thread will become a dumpster fire burning on garbage time.

 

[CDN24]

Something to consider:

The Sens have played 12 games against teams that are currently in a playoff position.
(10 teams once and Vegas twice)
That leaves only 7 games (12+7=19) against non-playoff teams.
So things aren't as bleak as they might seem.

And their record in those 7 games against non playoff teams 3-3-1

Lost to Mtl, Buffalo, Islanders in regulation. Lost to Philly in OT. Beat Seattle, Blues, and Utah

Small sample size but statistical .500 against bottom feeders is not good enough

 

[Tuna99]

This thread will come true at some point, hopefully today. If they win their next 2 they’ll be okay, if they lose 1 they’ll be struggling with playoff seating until Christmas and we’ll see at the break where they are at.

It’s like their bad road record going into November you just knew it was going to be an anchor on their playoff posting even though it was only 1-3 it’s now 3-6, and now way to many indicators for the Sens are pointing in the wrong direction, goals against, road record, home record now is only 5-4-1 and start November it was 4-1, key players with embarrassingly bad - for way to long, Sanderson -12, Pitno-7, Brady -4, Sens are losing altitude slowly, need to point the plane in the other direction right now

 

[Stylizer1]

More like a long bout of the runs are coming.

 

[BigRig4]

This thread will come true at some point, hopefully today. If they win their next 2 they’ll be okay, if they lose 1 they’ll be struggling with playoff seating until Christmas and we’ll see at the break where they are at.

It’s like their bad road record going into November you just knew it was going to be an anchor on their playoff posting even though it was only 1-3 it’s now 3-6, and now way to many indicators for the Sens are pointing in the wrong direction, goals against, road record, home record now is only 5-4-1 and start November it was 4-1, key players with embarrassingly bad - for way to long, Sanderson -12, Pitno-7, Brady -4, Sens are losing altitude slowly, need to point the plane in the other direction right now

The issue with the road record is that they have a 9-game road stretch coming up because of the WJC, so they better figure it out soon.

 

[starling]

Can't wait for March to finally get on that long run of wins.

 

[L'Aveuglette]

Should rename this thread to "The Cope Room".

 

[Finnen]

I hope so. I really do.

Rather Senators on the winning track than Penguins/Bruins/Wild for example.

 

[SPF6ty9]

5 games of unparalleled success on the way

 

[SENStastic]

Can't wait for March to finally get on that long run of wins.

Right on que when games don't mean anything anymore, and just in time to make sure we drop out of a top 5 draft pick as usual.