OT: 2024 Washington Commanders thread: change we can believe in!

[Neil Racki]

^^^^ legit baller

high IQ, feel for the game, flows to the ball

I love that belicheck and some others said this was the steal of the draft and they were right

Plus, the Skins FO is a big fan of analytics, so I'm willing to bet these aren't just hunch moves by DQ. times also worth the risk.

I assume they have it on algorythm

anything less than 4 yards inside the 50 = automatic go

When they were 3rd and 3 or whatever, I assume they knew it was 2 down territory.

Also our kickers arent to be trusted

 

[kicksavedave]

I assume they have it on algorythm

anything less than 4 yards inside the 50 = automatic go

When they were 3rd and 3 or whatever, I assume they knew it was 2 down territory.

Also our kickers arent to be trusted

KK was doing his presser recently and he mentioned this - DQ and KK know in advance when its 2 down territory so KK can call plays based on that. They're not making these decisions as a hunch at the last second.

Also, Mikey has only been playing cornerback for 3 years, so he's got a lot of runway to keep getting better. He started college as a WR.

 

[CapitalsCupReality]

Banned and fired Eagles fan apologizes for berating Packers supporter, but says video lacks ‘full context’ — Philadelphia Inquirer

Banned and fired Eagles fan apologizes for berating Packers supporter, but says video lacks ‘full context’

apple.news

 

[kicksavedave]

 

[John Price]

 

[ynotcaps]

I was wrong. Apparently, JDR actually is still hire-able...

NFL to Europe: Ex-coach Del Rio hired in France

Former Jags and Raiders head coach Jack Del Rio has been hired as the head coach of the Paris Musketeers of the 17-team European League of Football.

www.espn.com

 

[Neil Racki]

SOOOOO EXCITTEEEEDDD!!!

detroit style pizza -- it is easy and fun to make the dough. I am not good w dough making but did a detroit style a few years ago and the dough was easy and you feel like a kitchen stud

 

[Roric]

If St. Juice is ever on St. Brown we are cooked

I think you put lattimore on st. brown and sainristil on jameson williams. Can't afford to be giving up deep bombs or huge YAC to williams over and over and i dont think lattimore can keep up with him. Not to say amon-ra isnt fast, but williams is definitely faster.

The only time st.juste should be covering anyone is when its part of a double team.

 

[kicksavedave]

 

[Ovechkins Wodka]

Caps v Pens at the same time as our playoff game. Get those screens ready <3

 

[ChaosLord]

My picks for this weekend (with the obligatory upset pick to keep it interesting):

Texans @ Chiefs. UPSET SPECIAL. Texans. Houston's D really impressed me last week.
They hounded and harassed Herbert all game long.
Plus the Texans have some names on their offense --
Stroud, Mixon, Diggs. Houston upsets the fat cat Chiefs.

Commanders @ Lions PICK Lions (sorry)

Rams @ Eagles PICK Eagles

Ravens @ Bills PICK Bills

 

[g00n]

My picks for this weekend (with the obligatory upset pick just to keep it interesting):

Texans @ Chiefs. UPSET SPECIAL. Texans. Houston's D really impressed me last week.
They hounded and harassed Herbert all game long.
Plus the Texans have some names on their offense --
Stroud, Mixon, Diggs. Houston upsets the fat cat Chiefs.

Commanders @ Lions PICK Lions (sorry)

Rams @ Eagles PICK Eagles

Ravens @ Bills PICK Bills

Chefs, WFT, Rams, Ravens

Mixon is gimpy and I don't see HOU keeping up with a rested KC team without him being a workhorse. Stroud has been inconsistent and that will kill you vs KC.

WFT is a super homer pick but also not. Deal with it.

Rams are the team nobody wants to play right now because their D is balling and the O has top tier healthy talent while the Iggles are still trying to figure out the offense other than Barkley and Hurts is one brotherly shove away from another concussion.

Ravens possibly another homer pick and you never know with the Bills but BAL have that same swagger and momentum WFT have, only moreso as a veteran team going into an MVP battle (not officially but we all know this is what will stick out). All the pressure is on the Bills and the BAL defense has been improving every week while BUF needed a big 2nd half to get past the rookie-led Donks.

 

[Ovechkins Wodka]

Chefs, WFT, Rams, Ravens

Mixon is gimpy and I don't see HOU keeping up with a rested KC team without him being a workhorse. Stroud has been inconsistent and that will kill you vs KC.

WFT is a super homer pick but also not. Deal with it.

Rams are the team nobody wants to play right now because their D is balling and the O has top tier healthy talent while the Iggles are still trying to figure out the offense other than Barkley and Hurts is one brotherly shove away from another concussion.

Ravens possibly another homer pick and you never know with the Bills but BAL have that same swagger and momentum WFT have, only moreso as a veteran team going into an MVP battle (not officially but we all know this is what will stick out). All the pressure is on the Bills and the BAL defense has been improving every week while BUF needed a big 2nd half to get past the rookie-led Donks.

I just did this play with some big teasers the other day. Good luck all

 

[Ridley Simon]

Plus, the Skins FO is a big fan of analytics, so I'm willing to bet these aren't just hunch moves by DQ. Someone is running the numbers and showing exactly the odds you just posted - Go 50/50 on TDs vs go 4/4 on FGs. Or the specific play success % for each individual call. They have to know that going for it on 4th and 2 is probably the higher percentage than kicking a 49 yard FG with the guy who can't stop fussing with his own hair. (no offense to people with OCD intended). Point is, your post saying "what's the better odds"? is exactly what they are doing, and at this point I'm not second guessing anything they are doing, they are all f***ing magic!

He's likely also taking into consideration that a missed FG is huge loss of momentum that actually gives the team the ball at the spot, whereas a missed 4th down gives them the ball at the LOS (incomplete pass) or farther from the other teams end zone on the case of a run/pass just short of the 1st down yard line. Making a 4th down conversion is a huge boost to our momentum, which is sometimes also worth the risk.

I don’t agree. A missed 4th down (on the road) when you are down is a HUGE mountain to overcome. I’m thrilled they did it — but that wont work vs Detroit. It’s situational. It just is.

Of course, IMO

My picks for this weekend (with the obligatory upset pick to keep it interesting):

Texans @ Chiefs. UPSET SPECIAL. Texans. Houston's D really impressed me last week.
They hounded and harassed Herbert all game long.
Plus the Texans have some names on their offense --
Stroud, Mixon, Diggs. Houston upsets the fat cat Chiefs.

Commanders @ Lions PICK Lions (sorry)

Rams @ Eagles PICK Eagles

Ravens @ Bills PICK Bills

Didn’t you also pick Tampa, last week?

 

[Ridley Simon]

Chefs, WFT, Rams, Ravens

Mixon is gimpy and I don't see HOU keeping up with a rested KC team without him being a workhorse. Stroud has been inconsistent and that will kill you vs KC.

WFT is a super homer pick but also not. Deal with it.

Rams are the team nobody wants to play right now because their D is balling and the O has top tier healthy talent while the Iggles are still trying to figure out the offense other than Barkley and Hurts is one brotherly shove away from another concussion.

Ravens possibly another homer pick and you never know with the Bills but BAL have that same swagger and momentum WFT have, only moreso as a veteran team going into an MVP battle (not officially but we all know this is what will stick out). All the pressure is on the Bills and the BAL defense has been improving every week while BUF needed a big 2nd half to get past the rookie-led Donks.

I like it all, save Ravens. I think Buffalo wins at home, in the frigid conditions

 

[g00n]

I like it all, save Ravens. I think Buffalo wins at home, in the frigid conditions

Possible. But BAL also beat the snot out of PIT in pretty cold conditions, though not Buffalo cold. Small spread for a reason there. Lamar got a rep for not liking the cold but they seem to have fixed that. My big concern is if it comes down to Tucker's wonky foot, at temps.

Also possible LA turn into Ramsicles in Philly if the forecast holds. But you never know. I've seen games I thought would definitely result in one team caving due to temps and it didn't happen. The only team that really seems to lose it in the cold is Miami.