With the Prospect Showcase in 2 days I thought I would give my prospect rankings (lmk what yours would be or if you disagree with anything)
*Didn't consider Geekie or prospects drafted this year because I haven't watched them enough although Connor, Steen, and Saarelainen look promising*
*Lilleberg also not included because he signed an extension with a one-way contract*
#) Name (My Projection)- Analysis
1) Groshev (Top 6 NHLer)- Had a dominant development camp, rookie showcase and preseason last year leading to him having 7 points in his first 10 games playing
3rd/4th line minutes in SYR. After game 10 he was moved up to the first line and scored 6 goals in his next 3 games but shortly after during this brief stint getting 1st line minutes his scoring dried up. His line was moved down after about 5 games or so and he played the rest of the season on the 3rd/4th line with occasional time
on the 2nd PK unit. I struggle to think of a prospect that has been as badly mismanaged as Groshev has been going all the way back to his draft year. There are several reasons that I believe contributed to Groshev's scoring drought. The biggest reason I believe was there seemed to be a very distinct point during his 5 or so game stint getting 1st line minutes where he no longer was rushing the high man at the point when they were playing defense but instead would start covering the man in the slot which is usually reserved for the center to guard. I am not sure if this was a Coaches suggestion or what but this killed Groshev's production completely because he was getting pretty much all of his points from intercepting the D to D pass or stealing the puck from the defenseman at the blueline and creating odd man rushes. It did not help that he was pretty much stapled to the 3rd/4th line getting maybe 12 minutes a night for almost the entire season but he was still producing even despite this before his short 1st line stint. It appears that Tampa are really trying to mold Groshev into a defensive Bottom 6 Winger between the way his playstyle has changed, putting him on a line with defensively responsible players in Dumont and Walcott, and giving him only PK time. I really think Groshev has more potential than this with all of the intangibles he brings I could see him being a Top 6 NHLer. He has insane speed, amazing forechecking ability, protects the puck well, great with his stick, and a high hockey IQ. He is consistently winning his puck battles and is always a positive when on the ice. I don't think he has any real weaknesses but I didn't see him drive the net during the cycle as much in Syracuse as he would in the VHL and WJC games. He also could improve his shot and hands but they are by no means bad. If he is given an opportunity in the top 6 and PP1 time in SYR while being allowed to play to his strengths I think he could have a monster season.
2) Huuhtanen (Bottom 6 NHLer)- Great Season in the Liiga, Huuhtanen was pretty consistent the entire year even being top 5 in league scoring about 30 or so games into the season. Huuhtanen has an unreal one timer and great hands leading to several highlight reel goals this season. These two attributes are the main cause of his high production but he also has a physical element that leads to him being a strong forechecker. The big downfall with Huuhtanen is his skating but it has improved and did not look terrible for his short time in SYR. I also at times saw a lack of effort off the puck when he was in the Liiga but in SYR he played a pretty high energy physical game so he is capable of being an effective 5v5 player if he chooses to. The big thing with Huuhtanen is he is a right shot with a booming one timer and that is exactly what Tampa needs right now with Stamkos' departure. I could see him being used in Tampa as a powerplay specialist and seeing some pretty good production at the NHL level in this role. If his skating improves then the sky is the limit and he is still young so there is room to improve.
3) Duke (Bottom 6 NHLer)- Very solid season in Michigan where he led the Big 10 in goals. I am the most confident in Duke being an NHL player out of all of the prospects based off just how consistent and versatile he is. He is an elite net front presence, responsible defensively, has a clutch factor of scoring big goals in big moments and plays with a tenacity that will outwork the other players on every shift. His skating in his draft year was an area of concern but at this point I would say that it is pretty good. He should have a solid season in SYR.
4) Howard (Top 6 NHLer or AHLer)- He was okay with Michigan state but this year confirmed a few things to me about Howard I had been wondering. Howard in the NTDP, USHL and even in tournaments including the 2024 WJC has been able to produce at an elite level. Then when he went to Minnesota Duluth and his production fell off a cliff and at the time I thought it was partly because Minnesota Duluth is a very systematic and defensive team but also I was wondering if it was because Howard wasn't a play driver. Then he transfers to Michigan State and while the change of system and playing with better players helped some, he still did not return to NTDP form. Then in January at the WJC he was instantly back to being that playing alongside former linemates Brindley and Nazar and it became very clear he needs elite talent around him to play at an elite level. Howard has a great wrist shot, good speed, good hands, great vision and IQ in the O-zone. He is able to find the open areas of the ice around the net and make himself available for passes that others wouldn't have. He has played with great players for so long that he understands how to be an effective teammate and can elevate the play of others around him but he isn't a play driver in my opinion and might see some improvement at Michigan State this year but I am not expecting him to return to NTDP form there. I think he would have been much better off playing with Geekie in SYR and adjusting to the pro game. As for the flaws in his game he really needs to put in more effort defensively as he just waits for his team to get the puck. I am like 50/50 whether Howard will be a top 6 NHLer or an AHLer and I don't think it will be anything in between unless he is utilized like a Daniel Sprong for depth scoring. Howard's success will depend on if he is put in a starting top 6 role in Tampa and if he is able to capitalize on it.
5) Crozier (Bottom Pair NHLer)- He started out with a very good season in SYR where he and Lilleberg were a great shutdown pair. Offensively the production wasn't great but it wasn't bad either. During his time with the Lightning not much changed in his game and he was able to adapt very well to the NHL level. He doesn't bring the physical element of the game like Lilleberg does but I thought he was more solid overall and even did great cycling the puck in the O-zone to create scoring chances. I don't know if he will see any opportunities this year in Tampa barring any injuries as the top 7 appears set in place.
6) Powell (Top Pair AHLer)
7) Gauthier (Top 6 AHLer)
8) Goncalves (Top 6 AHLer)
9) Schmidt (Top 4 AHLer)
10) Finley (Middle 6 AHLer)