Prospect Info: 2024-25 Flyers Prospects - Top 20 SKATERS, #19

[Alex K]

1. Matvei Michkov 85.9%
2. Oliver Bonk 40.5%
3. Jett Luchanko 78.8%
4. Denver Barkey 77.8%
5. Emil Andrae 42.9%
6. Alex Bump 34.0%
7. Samu Tuomaala 26.5%
8. Massimo Rizzo 44.1%
9. Alex Ciernik 30.2%
10. Ronnie Attard 18.4%
11. Ilya Pautov 29.4%
12. Heikki Ruohonen 32.0%
13. Carter Sotheran 25.0%
14. Elliot Desnoyers 30.4%
15. Jack Berglund 35.3%
16. Hunter McDonald 19.4%
17. Owen McLaughlin 23.1%
18. Spencer Gill 33.3%

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[blackjackmulligan]

love me some Austin Moline. A player to keep an eye on the next 4 years.

 

[Tripod]

Didn't we not draft a top Dman in part because a certain someone still not selected, is in our depth chart?

Poo

 

[deadhead]

Buium is an offense first LHD taken in the middle of the 1st rd, GIll is a big, project RHD taken late in the 2nd rd, since they traded up, it suggests to me they expected him to be off the board and jumped when he was still available.

There should be a number of smaller, skilled LHDs in the 2025 draft, I expect the Flyers to draft at least one if not more.

 

[freakydallas13]

Once Michkov graduates to full-time player, this prospect pool ranks as slightly better than the barren Holmgren years.

 

[Tripod]

Buium is an offense first LHD taken in the middle of the 1st rd, GIll is a big, project RHD taken late in the 2nd rd, since they traded up, it suggests to me they expected him to be off the board and jumped when he was still available.

There should be a number of smaller, skilled LHDs in the 2025 draft, I expect the Flyers to draft at least one if not more.

Still defending every mgt move I see.

Gulp, gulp

 

[deadhead]

Still defending every mgt move I see.

Gulp, gulp

The two decisions were separate. Buium v Luchanko/Helenius and trading up for Gill.
That's pretty obvious when you look at them.

Gill is a long-term project. Given our depth at RHD, he had to be BPA in their eyes.

 

[pit]

Given our depth at RHD, he had to be BPA in their eyes.

BPA doesn't take position into account. That's the whole point of BPA.

 

[FLYguy3911]

Here's a list of some players they traded up for in the past:

Bjarnason
Wisdom
Desnoyers
Brink
Ratcliffe

 

[tymed]

I'm pretty sure they traded up to draft TK as well

 

[FLYguy3911]

I'm pretty sure they traded up to draft TK as well

Yes in a historic draft. Also 10 drafts ago at this point.

The focus was more on Day 2 trade ups, when the tiers smooth out, which have a horrendous track record league wide as some sort of evidence that a prospect is better than we are giving credit.

 

[deadhead]

BPA doesn't take position into account. That's the whole point of BPA.

Only when there's a clear "winner." Once you get past the first few players, there tends to be "tiers" of players of similar value, so within a tier, you can go both BPA and take into account position.

Given the amount of variance involved in evaluating prospects, it's probably arbitrary to rank them numerically, as there's probably little or no difference between say player #17 and #22 on your board. So grouping them by tiers of players who you think have similar value makes more sense.