With all 3 series that affect Canes' pick going to game 6's, here are the coin-flip(for each game) liklihoods for each outcome
21st. 14.06%
22nd. 51.56%
23rd. 29,69%
24th. 4.69%
I see Perrault is not on your list....hmmm....
With all 3 series that affect Canes' pick going to game 6's, here are the coin-flip(for each game) liklihoods for each outcome
21st. 14.06%
22nd. 51.56%
23rd. 29,69%
24th. 4.69%
21 | Isles, Stars, Canucks | 3/4 x 3/4 x 1/4 | 9/64 | 9/64 | 21 |
22 | Isles, Stars, Vegas | 3/4 x 3/4 x 3/4 | 27/64 | ||
22 | Isles, Canucks, Avs | 3/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 | 3/64 | 33/64 | 22 |
22 | Stars, Canucks, Flyers | 3/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 | 3/64 | ||
23 | Isles, Vegas, Avs | 3/4 x 3/4 x 1/4 | 9/64 | ||
23 | Stars, Vegas, Flyers | 3/4 x 3/4 x 1/4 | 9/64 | 19/64 | 23 |
23 | Avs, Flyers, Canucks | 1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 | 1/64 | ||
24 | Avs, Vegas, Flyers | 1/4 x 3/4 x 1/4 | 3/64 | 3/64 | 24 |
'closer to a finished product' might be a better term than 'closer to ready' because it makes it easier to judge the potential. but I cringe at that term because I think many fans look at in terms of fantasy GM roster building of getting draft picks immediately into the lineup...and at 22 the odds of that pick stepping right in isn't that high.
there can by different opinions of what BPA means but to me it is the player that you believe will be the best NHLer in 5 years, that guy isn't always the better player at 18. and as discussed countless times, there are tiers where you have a group of guys projected to be similar players. within those tiers you can take into account factors like position, style fit, and readiness. but the odds of someone checking all of the boxes is unlikely...
if you project player A as a 2nd liner and player B as a 2nd liner but player A is a year away and player B will probably take much longer, than by all means take the more ready player. But if player A projects as a 2nd/3rd liner player and is ready now but Player B projects as a 1st line player but will take 3-4 years I'll gladly wait.
where does Kaiden Guhle project most realistically? is he a top 4 guy? and where would he rank compared to Miller, Robertson and Jones? (realizing they are different type of dmen)...
we need forward depth more...but reading scouting reports about his defensive prowess and potential shutdown ability, he kind of sounds like the perfect fit/compliment given the right side that we've built...and sounds like he projects to be the type of D man that we are now trying to fantasy trade for to get as partners for trouba & d'angelo
Thank You for this. Right now it looks like 22 is most likelyhad a chance to detail it out for the curious
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
21 Isles, Stars, Canucks 3/4 x 3/4 x 1/4 9/64 9/64 21 22 Isles, Stars, Vegas 3/4 x 3/4 x 3/4 27/64 22 Isles, Canucks, Avs 3/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 3/64 33/64 22 22 Stars, Canucks, Flyers 3/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 3/64 23 Isles, Vegas, Avs 3/4 x 3/4 x 1/4 9/64 23 Stars, Vegas, Flyers 3/4 x 3/4 x 1/4 9/64 19/64 23 23 Avs, Flyers, Canucks 1/4 x 1/4 x 1/4 1/64 24 Avs, Vegas, Flyers 1/4 x 3/4 x 1/4 3/64 3/64 24
Yeah I may be in the slight minority but I take Kakko/Lafreniere over Hughes/Byfield for two main reasons. Lafreniere is the best overall prospect of the 4 and Byfield is most likely to bust out of the 4.
Love the kid and think that he brings exactly the roster diversification that the starting line up needs. I doubt he would be there with the Carolina pick, but would be all over him.I like Holloway more than most on this board, but I would definitely not put him in that category. He's going to need time, and ideally, structure.
Zary, Lapperierre, PerraultQuestion for the draft aficionados: who is a bit of a nightmare pick for you in that spot? I need something to fear.
Would not be able to take Bourque in any of those drafts with the players who seem to come after. And there is no way that Mysak drops to 30.Haven't done this in a while. Updated mocks....
2020 NHL Mock Draft & Simulator | Tankathon
1 (1) LW: Alexis Lafreniere (CAN)(6'1"/192lbs., Shot: Left, Rimouski/QMJHL)
1 (24) C: Mavrik Bourque (CAN)(5'10"/165lbs., Shot: Right, Shawinigan/QMJHL)
2020 NHL Mock Draft | 2020 NHL Draft | NHL Draft
1 (1) LW: Alexis Lafreniere (CAN)(6'1"/192lbs., Shot: Left, Rimouski/QMJHL)
1 (24) D: Kaiden Guhle (CAN)(6'3"/187lbs., Shot: Left, Prince Albert/WHL)
2020 NHL Mock Draft - NHL - DraftSite.com
1 (1) LW: Alexis Lafreniere (CAN)(6'1"/192lbs., Shot: Left, Rimouski/QMJHL)
1 (22) C: Mavrik Bourque (CAN)(5'10"/165lbs., Shot: Right, Shawinigan/QMJHL)
3 (72) D: Michael Benning (CAN)(5'10"/174lbs., Shot: Right, Sherwood Park/AJHL) *U. of Denver Commit, Status Uknown via Covid*
3 (90) C: Tyler Tullio (CAN)(5'9"/161lbs., Shot: Right, Oshawa/OHL)
4 (103) D: Donovan Sebrango (CAN)(6'0"/179lbs., Shot: Left, Kitchener/OHL)
5 (134) D: Kirill Steklov (RUS)(6'5"/190lbs., Shot: Left, London/OHL)
6 (165) C: Logan Barlage (CAN)(6'5"/205lbs., Shot: Right, Lethbridge/WHL) *Overage +1*
7 (194) D: Ryan Helliwell (CAN)(6'1"/176lbs., Shot: Left, Langley/BCHL) *U. of Notre Dame Commit, Status Unknown via Covid*
7 (196) RW: Zachary Okabe (CAN)(5'8"/170lbs., Shot: Right, St. Cloud State/NCAA) *Overage +1*
7 (204) RW: Reid Valade (CAN)(5'10"/168lbs., Shot: Right, Kitchener/OHL)
Doubt this is the class they draft, outside of Lafreniere. I just don't see the Rangers dipping into this many CHL/Canadian players. Don't like the Bourque pick, especially with Gunler, Peterka, Khusnutdinov, Mysak and others there. Benning is an okay gamble in the 3rd, but I don't expect much from him in pros unless his offensive game skyrockets in development. Tullio is a good pick in the 3rd. He battles hard and is pretty quick. Offense probably won't translate. Sebrango is also a good pick in the 4th. Has excellent stretch passing ability and a good defensive awareness. Underrated a bit. Pass on Steklov, however, I'd like to see what he can do in another year with London. Barlage is a decent overager, but nothing special. Similar to Gettinger. Helliwell was being talked about early as a top prospect and fell drastically. Think he could be a good option as an undrafted target, but I wouldn't draft him. Needs to show more enthusiasm on the ice. Pass on Okabe. Valade is interesting. Does things similar to Zary, but to a lesser extent. Could boom with time.
Thoughts?
Toronto, now drafting #15, screams defense. That changes up the middle of the first round. Could mean a run on Defenseman happens sooner rather than later.
Elite prospects released their draft guide yesterday. It's huge.
love that site, but haven't taken the bait, to subscribe to Premium for $100/year
Has it been worth it?
i ordered @Steve Kournianos $5, 300+ page Draft Report for 2020
The 2020 NHL Draft Report is here! - The Draft Analyst
i don't always see what he sees, but great effort to compile
no one is perfect, in 2019 he overlooked Skinner and Edstrom, but did include Ciccolini
and foresaw Jones's strengths,
and in general it was great companion to draft watching,
and cross-referencing players as they catch your attention (like so many guys you all call out here)
love that site, but haven't taken the bait, to subscribe to Premium for $100/year
Has it been worth it?
Would not be able to take Bourque in any of those drafts with the players who seem to come after. And there is no way that Mysak drops to 30.
No idea if they will or won't, but think I am going to remember this one. Just in case of the need to call you out on it.Not even commenting on whether or not I agree with the picks, but if we take 4 kids from the OHL and not even ONE European player, I will videotape myself eating one of my neckties and post it on HF Boards.
Would not be able to take Bourque in any of those drafts with the players who seem to come after. And there is no way that Mysak drops to 30.
Are the Rangers the unluckiest lottery winners in history? Both years we need a center and we win the lottery to move into a spot where the consensus is a winger
Swap the two, and you have Hughes and Byfield instead
I hear you (and I'm a huge fan of Byfield and would love to get him) but consensus is that Lafreniere is the best player of the four, while in 2019 Hughes and Kakko were neck and neck, so it is probably the better result. And lest we forget, we do have Mika.Though I’m not sure that’s a better collection of talent overall.