My guess is that that kid will rise a bit, many have him as a 2nd rounder, but I think that is putting a bit too much weight on abilities of others that might now transfer perfectly and underrating how much Foudy's skating will make him useful in the NHL. With that said, I am not super high on him, and especially his upside.
Look, I am a big fan of looking at things from a macro perspective. This draft is one of those instances. For like the last 10 years we have received rankings from someone like McKenzie in January, then late spring and another one just before the draft. If we compare the one in January to the actual draft result -- its super volatile. Players can be unlisted or ranked 2-3 round in January but still go top 5-10 in the draft. Moves 20-30 spots in either direction is not unusual in any way or form, right.
This year, we got a ranking in January, then a couple of months more hockey, and then everyone called it a day.
A big part of that volatility is that late in the year -- everyone get to see these kids play in new environments, and in many cases on the same ice against each other. The result of this is that often -- you get team A playing against team B.
*Team A is much better than Team B.
*Player X is one of the best players on team A.
*Player Y is a 4th line player on Team B that obviously is in over his head at the level the game between Team A and Team B is played.
*On the paper the executive has infront of him watching the game between Team A and Team B -- it says that player Y is ranked 60 spots ahead of player X.
Come draft day, an adjustment will be made thanks to this. This might sound like an exaggeration -- but it is not. This year we are not getting these movements beforehand. Compared to the expectations before the draft, I wouldn't at all be surprised if we saw a lot of movement and I also think we can capitilizse on this and make some really good selections.