going to do a complete breakdown of next year's roster... look at our unsigned players and do a quick comparison to the market to see what they will be asking for/offered... and see just where we sit thanks to the sweenius of our gm and the wizzardy of mr evan gold.
lets start with our currently projected 2020-21 lineup
LW
----
Brad Marchand 6,125,000
Nick Ritchie 1,498,925
Jake Debrusk ?
Par Lindholm 850,000
C
---
Patrice Bergeron 6,875,000
David Krejci 7,250,000
Charlie Coyle 5,250,000
Sean Kuraly 1,275,000
RW
----
David Patrnak 6,666,666
Ondrej Kase 2,600,000
Anders Bjork ?
Karson Kuhlman ?
Chris Wagner 1,350,000
D
---
Torey Krug ?
Charlie McAvoy 4,900,000
Matt Grzelyck ?
Brandon Carlo 2,850,000
John Moore 2,750,000
Zdeno Chara ?
Connor Clifton 1,000,000
Jeremy Lauzon 850,000
G
--
Tuuka Rask 7,000,000
Jaroslav Halak ?
Retained Salary
1.500,000
giving us a Total {before potential carryover penalties}
61,290,591
for
10 forwards
5 dmen
1 goalie all signed
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so lets call the cap 84 million for argument's sake... and let's say whatever cap penalty we suffer from the chara contract balances out with whatever the real cap might be above and beyond 84 million.
this will leave us 22.7 million to get our 7 open roster spots filled.
now lets figure out if we can afford our 7 known freeagents… would this be enough to give Torey Krug 8 mill a year?
There are currently only 7 dmen in the nhl that make 8 million or more. Does Krug compare? Erik Karlsson averages around 25 mins a night... hes a number 1. Drew Doughty averages 26 mins... hes a number 1. PK Subban averages 24 mins... hes a number 1. Oliver Ekman Larsson averages 23 1/2... hes a number 1... Jacob Trouba near 23 mins... hes a number 1. John Carlson is over 23 mins... hes anumber 1 and finally Brent Burns has been over 25 mins a night since converting to defense... hes a number 1.
Torey Krug averages a hair over 20 mins because he cant be a number 1. he cant do defensive zone starts against a scoring line. he cant PK. It's almost impossible to defend the idea that he would get 8 million as he turns 29 and is almost guaranteed to be in decline within a couple years. I actually think its a bit ridiculous to imagine anyone giving krug 8 on a long term deal. 6.5 though could make a lot of sense on a longer deal... and maybe go up to 7.5 per year to try to convince him to accept a 4 year deal ?
will we have enough to give jake debrusk 5.5 mill a year? debrusk now has 120 points in 200 career games.
Bradon Saad had 126 points in 208 games when he got 6 mill way back in 2015
Timo Meir had 108 points 193 games... he got 6 mill
william nylander had 135 points in 184 games and got almost 7 million
its a raw numbers game for scoring second line wingers and debrusks numbers say 5.5 mill is the lower end of what he will be getting
anders bjork and karson kuhlman will be 2 of the easier guys to figure. Neither has established himself as a full time player above the 3rd line. Both will get their qualifers and possibly a small little extra bonus... slot them in at 1.1 mill and we will be fine
Zdeno Chara... he's interesting. I think ultimately he lets the team tell him what we can afford this year. He isnt hanging around for every nickle and penny he can get his hands on. He wants to play on a winner and he will want this team to stay intact. I will put him down as a 2 mill cap hit in this little exercise.
Matt Grzelyck... is an 18 min per night, undersized guy with 52 points in 194 games... that isnt going to end up helping him much at an arbitration hearing. he is arbitration eligible. Brandon Carlo only got 2.85 mill so figure less than that. Matt Benning in edmonton got 1.9 mill so figure more than that. If we are trying to keep Grzelyck happy lets call it 2.5 mill
finally we got jaroslav halak. James Reimer and Tomas Griess are the highest paid backups in the nhl at around 3.4 mill. We can boost Halak up here even at his age
so we have my estimates for new deals {I will add suggested years too}
7.5 krug {4 year deal}
5.5 debrusk {4 year deal... lets him become an ufa at age 28 so he takes a bit less}
1.1 Kuhlman {2 year deal}
1.1 Bjork {2 year deal}
2.5 Grzelyck {2 year deal}
2 Chara {1 year deal possibly with bonuses}
3.4 Halak {2 year deal}
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23.1 mill for the new contracts
it puts us just slightly over the 22.7 mill we project to have.
if we trade john moore and give his spot to jacob zboril or zach senyshyn {both of whom are at risk to lose on waivers... our cap will work}
we actually can keep all of our free agents. we actually were able to afford the retention on backes. this is one time dom and a few others here were telling me not to worry... and damn if sweeney and evan gold arent on the cupse of pulling this off.
thanks to an unexpected boost in next year's cap... and a couple wise target trades to bring in established nhl talents on very good contracts... its looking damn good